21.06.2026
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Mark Ceban vs R. Carballes Baena Prediction — 22.06.2026

Mark Ceban flag
ATP - 4
Mark Ceban - R. Carballes Baena
Wimbledon
June 22, 2026 16:30
Days
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Hours
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R. Carballes Baena flag
ATP - 128
Mark Ceban

Player Overview

Mark Ceban, currently sitting at an Elo rating of 1416, is still in pursuit of his first professional victory. With a career win percentage of 0% across seven matches, his recent two-year form has not offered much hope, as he has lost both matches played in that span. Ceban's serve statistics reveal a first serve in percentage of 63.8% and a first serve won percentage of 63.6%, suggesting some potential on serve, but his overall performance has yet to translate into match wins.

Entering Wimbledon, Ceban is on a five-match losing streak, with his last victory dating back to early 2026. Competing against seasoned opponents like Ze Zhang and O. Crawford, he has faced a series of straight-sets defeats. This tournament marks another opportunity for Ceban to shift the narrative as he faces R. Carballes Baena, who has shown more resilience recently. The pressure is mounting for Ceban to convert his potential into results.

Match results: Mark Ceban

13 Jun 2026 Nottingham
Ze Zhang
Mark Ceban
2 0
7 5
7 5
L
7 Jun 2026 Ilkley
O. Crawford
Mark Ceban
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
31 May 2026 Boys French Open
Mark Ceban
Z. Nurlanuly
0 2
3 6
4 6
L
4 Feb 2026 M25 Sheffield
Mark Ceban
A. Funk
1 2
6 4
3 6
4 6
L
27 Jan 2026 Boys Australian Open
Keaton Hance
Mark Ceban
2 1
6 4
4 6
6 2
L
25 Jan 2026 Boys Australian Open
Mark Ceban
C. Doig
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
6 Aug 2025 M25 Roehampton 2
Mark Ceban
T. Martin
0 2
2 6
L
6 Jul 2025 Wimbledon
M. Farzam
Mark Ceban
2 0
7 5
6 2
L
30 May 2025 French Open
L. Lagerbohm
Mark Ceban
1 0
6 3
L
29 May 2025 French Open
Tito Chavez
Mark Ceban
1 2
5 7
6 4
0 6
W
R. Carballes Baena

Player Overview

R. Carballes Baena, with a career win percentage of 58% and an overall Elo rating of 1886, is a player of considerable experience. However, his recent form has been troubling, with a win percentage of just 45.6% over the past two years. Carballes Baena's serve has seen him land first serves at 63.4% while winning 66.7% of those points, yet his last five matches show a stark decline, winning only 20% of those encounters.

In the lead-up to Wimbledon, Carballes Baena has split his last five matches, winning two but losing three. His most recent performance in Parma included a solid win against Stefano Travaglia, but he followed it with a disappointing loss to Sebastian Ofner. The inconsistent results serve as a warning as he approaches the clash with Mark Ceban, who, despite his challenges, could pose an unexpected threat if Carballes Baena's form does not stabilize.

Match results: R. Carballes Baena

18 Jun 2026 Parma
S. Ofner
R. Carballes Baena
2 1
4 6
6 3
6 3
L
17 Jun 2026 Parma
R. Carballes Baena
S. Travaglia
2 1
6 1
6 7
6 3
W
16 Jun 2026 Parma
M. Damas
R. Carballes Baena
0 2
2 6
3 6
W
14 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
J. De Jong
R. Carballes Baena
2 0
6 3
6 2
L
13 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
R. Carballes Baena
F. Forti
2 1
3 6
6 1
6 4
W
12 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
R. Brancaccio
R. Carballes Baena
1 2
4 6
6 3
3 6
W
10 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
G. Ferrari
R. Carballes Baena
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
9 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
M. H. Rehberg
R. Carballes Baena
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
4 Jun 2026 Perugia
A. Pellegrino
R. Carballes Baena
2 1
4 6
7 5
6 3
L
2 Jun 2026 Perugia
R. Carballes Baena
Lorenzo Carboni
2 1
3 6
6 1
6 4
W

Players Analysis

Mark Ceban has struggled in his career with a record of 0 wins and 7 losses, showing a win percentage of 0.0%. His recent form is also poor, having lost all of his last 10 matches. In contrast, Roberto Carballes Baena has a career record of 600 wins and 435 losses, translating to a win percentage of 58.0%. His recent form shows improvement, with a win percentage of 50.0% over his last 10 matches, indicating a more competitive edge.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Mark Ceban's serve statistics are concerning, with only 1 ace and 8 double faults recorded in his career. His first serve win percentage is at 63.6%, which is relatively decent, but he struggles with second serve points, winning only 46.0%. On the other hand, Roberto Carballes Baena has a much more robust serve profile, with 1950 aces and a double fault percentage of 3.6%. His first serve win percentage is 66.7%, and he has a better second serve win percentage of 50.6%. This disparity in serving ability is likely to play a significant role in the match outcome.

Mark Ceban — R. Carballes Baena Prediction

Given the stark contrast in form and performance metrics, Roberto Carballes Baena is favored to win this match against Mark Ceban. Ceban's inability to secure wins in recent matches and his overall career struggles suggest a challenging encounter for him. Carballes Baena's experience and recent form provide him with a significant advantage.

  • Final score in sets: 3-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: R. Carballes Baena, 2nd set: R. Carballes Baena, 3rd set: R. Carballes Baena
  • Expected aces: 8
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, Carballes Baena is likely to exploit Ceban's weaknesses on the second serve and capitalize on his serve reliability. Expect Carballes Baena to engage in longer rallies, aiming to wear down Ceban and force errors, particularly given Ceban's recent struggles in maintaining competitive play.

3 Reasons Why R. Carballes Baena Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors R. Carballes Baena 3:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors R. Carballes Baena.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, R. Carballes Baena has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Mark Ceban, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 16:30 Wimbledon
Mark Ceban 0
R. Carballes Baena 3
18
32
25

Where to watch Mark Ceban vs R. Carballes Baena

  • Wimbledon Official Website - Official site for Wimbledon with live updates, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • ESPN Tennis - ESPN's official tennis page providing coverage of Wimbledon and broadcast details.
  • BBC Sport - Wimbledon - BBC Sport's dedicated Wimbledon page with live coverage and match information.
  • Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel's official site for live streaming and match coverage.
  • YouTube - Wimbledon Channel - Official Wimbledon YouTube channel for highlights and live coverage updates.