21.06.2026
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L. Draxl vs R. Bertola Prediction — 22.06.2026

L. Draxl flag
ATP - 132
L. Draxl - R. Bertola
Wimbledon
June 22, 2026 16:30
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R. Bertola flag
ATP - 255
L. Draxl

Player Overview

L. Draxl stands at a career win percentage of 64.8%, reflecting his solid grasp of the game. With a recent two-year win rate of 62.2% and an Elo rating of 1910, he has shown himself capable on various surfaces, although his performance on grass lags at 1471. Draxl's serve statistics indicate he struggles slightly with second serves, winning only 48.5% of them, but maintains a strong first serve success rate of 68.5%.

His recent form is stable, with a 60% win rate over his last ten matches. However, he arrives at this fixture with a mixed bag of results, losing to A. Walton in his last outing after a string of three victories. This inconsistency poses a concern as he faces R. Bertola, who is improving and comes off a more favorable run of results. Draxl will need to find his rhythm quickly to avoid another upset.

Match results: L. Draxl

6 Jun 2026 Tyler
A. Walton
L. Draxl
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
5 Jun 2026 Tyler
L. Draxl
B. Shick
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
4 Jun 2026 Tyler
L. Draxl
S. Gorzny
2 1
6 3
1 6
6 3
W
3 Jun 2026 Tyler
L. Draxl
A. Kim
2 0
6 1
6 3
W
1 Jun 2026 Tyler
L. Draxl
Y. Uchiyama
0 0
L
20 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. De Jong
L. Draxl
2 1
4 6
6 1
6 3
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
I. Simakin
L. Draxl
0 2
4 6
2 6
W
11 May 2026 Oeiras 6
L. Draxl
E. Nava
0 1
3 6
L
23 Apr 2026 Savannah
L. Draxl
K. Feldbausch
0 2
1 6
0 6
L
20 Apr 2026 Savannah
L. Draxl
P. Boscardin Dias
1 0
6 4
W
R. Bertola

Player Overview

R. Bertola has a career win rate of 56.7%, with a current win percentage of 57.4% in the last two years, signaling an upward trend, particularly after achieving an 80% success rate in his last five matches. His overall Elo rating sits at 1855, with a notable hard court performance, suggesting he can adapt well to different playing conditions. Although his ace percentage is modest at 5.3%, his first serve win rate of 69.9% demonstrates reliability in crucial points.

In the lead-up to this match, Bertola has shown resilience, rallying back from a recent loss to C. O'Connell with two consecutive wins. He has demonstrated a capacity to dominate lower-ranked opponents, as seen in his victories against Y. Wu and S. Mochizuki. With his form on the upswing, Bertola enters this contest against Draxl with a solid chance to capitalize on any weaknesses and continue his progression in the tournament.

Match results: R. Bertola

19 Jun 2026 Nottingham
R. Bertola
C. O'Connell
0 2
4 6
5 7
L
18 Jun 2026 Nottingham
S. Mochizuki
R. Bertola
0 2
3 6
4 6
W
16 Jun 2026 Nottingham
R. Bertola
Y. Wu
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
15 Jun 2026 Nottingham
L. Nardi
R. Bertola
1 2
6 3
6 7
6 7
W
14 Jun 2026 Nottingham
R. Bertola
J. McCabe
2 0
7 6
6 4
W
13 Jun 2026 Nottingham
R. Bertola
W. Jansen
2 1
7 5
2 6
W
5 Jun 2026 Perugia
H. Rocha
R. Bertola
2 1
6 2
4 6
6 2
L
4 Jun 2026 Perugia
L. Nardi
R. Bertola
1 2
2 6
6 4
3 6
W
2 Jun 2026 Perugia
R. Bertola
L. Ratti
2 1
6 4
4 6
6 2
W
2 Jun 2026 Perugia
R. Bertola
F. Maestrelli
0 0
L

Players Analysis

Liam Draxl has shown a solid performance recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, with a win percentage of 60% in his last 30 matches. His recent form indicates stability, particularly on hard courts, where he has a higher win percentage compared to clay. On the other hand, Remy Bertola has also been in decent form, winning 5 out of his last 10 matches, with an improving trend noted in his last 5 matches at 80% win rate. Both players have experience in best-of-5 formats, but Draxl's recent matches suggest he is more accustomed to the pressure of longer matches.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Draxl's serve statistics are noteworthy, with an ace percentage of 5.8% and a double fault percentage of 4.6% over the last two years. He has faced 710 break points, saving 60.4% of them, which indicates strong serve reliability. In contrast, Bertola has a slightly lower ace percentage of 5.7% and a higher double fault percentage of 5.2%. His break point save percentage is also slightly better at 61.3%. Given the surface is grass, Draxl's overall performance on hard courts may translate well, but Bertola's recent form on clay suggests he is adapting well to different surfaces.

L. Draxl — R. Bertola Prediction

This match is expected to be competitive, with both players having their strengths. However, Liam Draxl's recent form and serve reliability give him a slight edge over Remy Bertola. The prediction is that Draxl will win in a closely contested match.

  • Final score in sets: 3-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: L. Draxl, 2nd set: R. Bertola, 3rd set: L. Draxl, 4th set: L. Draxl
  • Expected aces: 12
  • Double faults: 5
  • Break points: 6

In terms of tactical expectations, Draxl may focus on using his serve to set up points early, while Bertola will likely aim to engage in longer rallies to exploit any potential fatigue from Draxl. The match could hinge on the effectiveness of their serves, particularly in the crucial moments of each set.

3 Reasons Why L. Draxl Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors L. Draxl 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors L. Draxl.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, L. Draxl has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than R. Bertola, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 16:30 Wimbledon
L. Draxl 3
R. Bertola 1
128
56
64

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