21.06.2026
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A. Guerrieri vs D. Goffin Prediction — 22.06.2026

A. Guerrieri flag
ATP - 248
A. Guerrieri - D. Goffin
Wimbledon
June 22, 2026 13:30
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D. Goffin flag
ATP - 119
A. Guerrieri

Player Overview

Across the last 5 matches, A. Guerrieri posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.

For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: A. Guerrieri wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.

Match results: A. Guerrieri

15 Jun 2026 Dublin (Jon Ireland) - Qualification
A. Guerrieri
C. Broom
0 2
1 6
4 6
L
14 Jun 2026 Dublin (Jon Ireland) - Qualification
A. Guerrieri
Filippo Romano
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
12 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
F. Forti
A. Guerrieri
1 0
6 4
L
10 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
A. Vasilev
A. Guerrieri
0 1
5 7
W
8 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
A. Guerrieri
D. Svrcina
2 1
6 3
3 6
6 4
W
22 May 2026 Cervia (Italy) - Qualification
A. Guerrieri
M. Alcala Gurri
0 2
5 7
5 7
L
21 May 2026 Cervia (Italy) - Qualification
A. Guerrieri
C. A. Caniato
1 0
7 5
W
20 May 2026 Cervia (Italy) - Qualification
A. Guerrieri
G. Piraino
2 0
6 1
6 4
W
19 May 2026 Cervia (Italy) - Qualification
A. Guerrieri
O. Prihodko
2 0
6 3
6 2
W
17 May 2026 M25 Reggio Emilia
A. Guerrieri
G. Piraino
1 0
6 2
W
D. Goffin

Player Overview

D. Goffin, a veteran on the ATP tour, holds a career win percentage of 62.0% over 1,063 matches. However, his recent form has been concerning, with only 17 wins against 32 losses in the last two years, reflecting a steep decline. Goffin's Elo rating stands at 1927, and while he has shown flashes of brilliance, his current trajectory is downward. His serve remains a key asset, with a first serve win percentage of 71.6%, but inconsistency in execution has plagued him.

Goffin's recent results underscore this troubling trend. He has lost four of his last five matches, including a first-round exit at the ATP French Open to T. Samuel. Despite a solid win against C. H. Tseng prior to that, his inability to sustain performance raises questions heading into this clash. With the Wimbledon stage set, Goffin must find a way to regain his footing against Guerrieri, who could capitalize on any lapse in his opponent's form.

Match results: D. Goffin

20 May 2026 ATP French Open
T. Samuel
D. Goffin
2 1
5 7
6 3
6 3
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
D. Goffin
C. H. Tseng
2 0
6 3
6 1
W
29 Apr 2026 Aix en Provence
T. Faurel
D. Goffin
2 0
6 1
6 4
L
11 Apr 2026 ATP Munich
E. Nava
D. Goffin
2 0
6 4
6 2
L
5 Apr 2026 ATP Monte Carlo
D. Goffin
E. Nava
0 1
3 6
L
4 Apr 2026 ATP Monte Carlo
I. Buse
D. Goffin
1 2
6 2
3 6
3 6
W
12 Mar 2026 Cap Cana
R. Bautista-Agut
D. Goffin
2 0
6 1
6 4
L
2 Mar 2026 ATP Indian Wells
C. H. Tseng
D. Goffin
2 0
6 4
6 1
L
17 Feb 2026 Lille
D. Goffin
J. J. Schwaerzler
1 2
6 4
3 6
4 6
L
9 Feb 2026 Pau
D. Goffin
G. Zeppieri
1 2
7 5
1 6
L

Players Analysis

Andrea Guerrieri has shown impressive form recently, winning 9 out of his last 10 matches, with a notable win percentage of 90%. His recent victories have been predominantly on clay, where he has demonstrated strong performance, particularly in Challenger events. Guerrieri's serve stats reflect a solid game, with an ace percentage of 2.6% and a double fault percentage of 5.2% over the last two years. In contrast, David Goffin has struggled, winning only 2 out of his last 10 matches, resulting in a win percentage of 20%. His recent form indicates a decline, especially on clay, where he has lost matches against lower-ranked opponents. Goffin's serve has also been less effective, with an ace percentage of 6.2% and a higher double fault percentage of 4.7% in the same timeframe.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of head-to-head statistics, there are no previous matches between Andrea Guerrieri and David Goffin, which adds an element of unpredictability to this matchup. Guerrieri's recent form on clay has been significantly better than Goffin's, as indicated by their respective win percentages. Guerrieri's ability to win crucial points is highlighted by his break point saved percentage of 64.1%, compared to Goffin's 52.3%. This suggests Guerrieri is more reliable under pressure. Additionally, Goffin's recent performances have shown a trend of declining form, which could impact his confidence going into this match.

A. Guerrieri — D. Goffin Prediction

Considering the recent form and statistical analysis, Andrea Guerrieri is favored to win this matchup against David Goffin. Guerrieri's strong performance on clay, combined with Goffin's recent struggles, suggests a likely victory for Guerrieri. The predicted score is 3 sets to 0, with Guerrieri winning all sets decisively.

  • Final score in sets: 3-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: A. Guerrieri, 2nd set: A. Guerrieri, 3rd set: A. Guerrieri
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 6

In terms of tactics, Guerrieri is expected to leverage his strong serve and aggressive baseline play to put pressure on Goffin from the outset. Goffin will need to find a way to counter Guerrieri's serve and maintain consistency to have any chance of winning a set. However, given Guerrieri's current form and Goffin's struggles, it seems likely that Guerrieri will dominate the match.

3 Reasons Why A. Guerrieri Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Guerrieri 3:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Guerrieri.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Guerrieri has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than D. Goffin, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 13:30 Wimbledon
A. Guerrieri 3
D. Goffin 0
52
23
63

Where to watch A. Guerrieri vs D. Goffin

  • Wimbledon Official Website - Visit the official Wimbledon website for live updates, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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