21.06.2026
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E. Lys vs E. Navarro Prediction — 22.06.2026

E. Lys flag
WTA - 80
E. Lys - E. Navarro
WTA Bad Homburg 1/16-finals
June 22, 2026 11:00
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E. Navarro flag
WTA - 15
E. Lys

Player Overview

E. Lys has a career win percentage of 58.3%, but her current form over the past two years shows a drop to 53.5%. She has been on a downward trajectory lately, with a win rate of just 30% in her last ten matches. With a hard court Elo rating of 2026, she has struggled to find her rhythm, particularly on grass where she has a notably low rating of 1534.

Recently, Lys lost to Elina Svitolina and Sorana Cirstea, both in straight sets, adding to a troubling sequence that includes no wins in her last five outings. This match against E. Navarro arrives at a critical juncture; if she cannot turn her performance around, she risks continuing her downward trend and facing early elimination in the tournament.

Match results: E. Lys

18 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
E. Svitolina
E. Lys
2 0
6 3
6 2
L
16 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
M. Frech
E. Lys
0 1
3 6
W
27 May 2026 WTA French Open
E. Lys
S. Cirstea
0 2
3 6
0 6
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
P. Marcinko
E. Lys
0 2
3 6
0 6
W
16 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
T. Gibson
E. Lys
2 1
6 2
3 6
6 0
L
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
N. Osaka
E. Lys
2 1
6 4
4 6
6 3
L
6 May 2026 WTA Rome
K. Boulter
E. Lys
1 2
4 6
6 3
4 6
W
22 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
S. Zhang
E. Lys
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
15 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Lys
E. Svitolina
0 2
1 6
0 6
L
14 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Lys
P. Badosa
2 1
2 6
7 5
6 4
W
E. Navarro

Player Overview

E. Navarro boasts a solid career win percentage of 61.7% and has recently shown signs of improvement, with a current two-year win rate of 54.4%. Her form has been bolstered by an impressive 80% win rate in her last five matches, suggesting a player on the rise. With an overall Elo rating of 2213, she has demonstrated her capability, especially in recent tournaments.

Match results: E. Navarro

21 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
M. Bouzkova
E. Navarro
2 1
4 6
6 2
L
20 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
E. Navarro
V. Golubic
1 0
6 2
W
19 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
J. Bouzas Maneiro
E. Navarro
0 1
2 6
W
17 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
Y. Starodubtseva
E. Navarro
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
15 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
S. Bejlek
E. Navarro
0 0
L
15 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Bondar
E. Navarro
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
10 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
E. Navarro
C. McNally
1 2
6 4
0 6
4 6
L
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
I. Jovic
E. Navarro
2 0
6 0
6 3
L
26 May 2026 WTA French Open
E. Navarro
J. Tjen
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
23 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
V. Mboko
E. Navarro
1 2
0 6
7 5
2 6
W

Players Analysis

Eva Lys has been struggling recently, with a win percentage of only 30% in her last 10 matches. Her performance on clay has been particularly poor, as evidenced by her recent losses at the French Open and other clay tournaments. In contrast, Emma Navarro has shown significant improvement, winning 70% of her last 10 matches, including a recent title at the Strasbourg tournament. Navarro's recent form indicates a strong upward trend, making her a formidable opponent.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall career statistics, Emma Navarro holds a higher win percentage (61.7%) compared to Eva Lys (58.3%). Navarro has also been more effective on clay, with a recent win percentage of 54.4% over the last two years, while Lys's win percentage on the same surface is only 53.5%. Additionally, Navarro has a better serve reliability, with a higher ace percentage (2.1%) compared to Lys's (1.1%), which could play a crucial role in this matchup.

E. Lys — E. Navarro Prediction

Considering the recent form and overall statistics, Emma Navarro is favored to win this match against Eva Lys. Navarro's current momentum and superior performance on clay give her a distinct advantage. The predicted score is likely to reflect Navarro's dominance in the match.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Emma Navarro, Set 2: Emma Navarro
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 3

Navarro is expected to leverage her strong serve and aggressive baseline play to dictate the pace of the match. Lys will need to focus on her return game and try to capitalize on any break opportunities, but Navarro's recent form suggests she will be able to maintain control throughout the match.

3 Reasons Why E. Navarro Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors E. Navarro 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors E. Navarro.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, E. Navarro has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than E. Lys, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 11:00 WTA Bad Homburg
E. Lys 0
E. Navarro 2
24
32
13

Where to watch E. Lys vs E. Navarro

  • WTA Official Website - Official site for the Women's Tennis Association, providing information on matches, schedules, and broadcast details.
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