21.06.2026
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A. Li vs E. Alexandrova Prediction — 22.06.2026

A. Li flag
WTA - 29
A. Li - E. Alexandrova
WTA Bad Homburg 1/16-finals
June 22, 2026 11:00
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WTA - 10

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 3
H2H W-L 1-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.00
Last 5 W-L 1-2
Last 3 W-L 1-2
Current streak W1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 2.00
Sets range 1-3
3-set matches 1 (33%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 1/0
33% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
67% 2 Wins
Last 3 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
19 May 2026
A. Li - E. Alexandrova
2:1 (4-6, 6-4, 6-3)
WTA Strasbourg
8 Oct 2025
E. Alexandrova - A. Li
1:0 (6-2)
Wuhan
2 Apr 2025
E. Alexandrova - A. Li
2:0 (6-3, 6-0)
Charleston
A. Li

Player Overview

A. Li has yet to find her footing on the professional circuit, with a career win percentage still untested. The absence of recent match victories highlights a challenging trajectory, and her current form over the last two years reflects no wins in competitive play. With no solid data on her performance metrics, it's hard to gauge her serve and return capabilities, leaving her identity on the court largely undefined.

In her last five matches, A. Li has faced a mix of opponents but only managed to secure two wins, one of which came against a lower-ranked player. Her recent loss to Viktorija Golubic in Nottingham underscores ongoing difficulties as she heads into this match against Ekaterina Alexandrova, who presents a significant challenge given her recent form. A. Li will need to summon her best to make an impact.

Match results: A. Li

19 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Li
V. Golubic
1 2
3 6
6 2
3 6
L
18 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Li
T. Preston
2 1
5 7
6 2
6 2
W
16 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Li
K. Birrell
2 1
4 6
6 4
W
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Li
D. Parry
0 2
3 6
4 6
L
26 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Li
S. Zhang
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
22 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
E. Navarro
A. Li
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
21 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
M. Bouzkova
A. Li
0 2
3 6
5 7
W
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
A. Li
E. Alexandrova
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
W
17 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
M. Joint
A. Li
0 2
1 6
2 6
W
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
L. Samsonova
A. Li
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
E. Alexandrova

Player Overview

Ekaterina Alexandrova has experienced a significant dip in form, with a recent win percentage of just 20% over her last five matches. This decline is notable against the backdrop of a solid career record of 59.9% and a strong historical performance on grass. Her Elo rating of 2154 suggests she has the potential for higher-level play, but recent results show a worrying trend, particularly as she approaches this match.

Alexandrova's recent outings have seen her struggle, highlighted by a straight-sets loss to Aryna Sabalenka and an earlier defeat to Li in Strasbourg. These setbacks come after a win against Anastasia Potapova, indicating inconsistency in her performances. With her current trajectory in decline, the upcoming matchup against A. Li could either serve as a turning point or further complicate her season. A strong showing is crucial for her to regain confidence.

Match results: E. Alexandrova

17 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
15 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
E. Alexandrova
A. Potapova
1 0
6 1
W
8 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
E. Alexandrova
P. Udvardy
0 1
4 6
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
C. Osorio
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 2
6 4
L
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
A. Li
E. Alexandrova
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
L
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
E. Alexandrova
L. Siegemund
0 2
4 6
1 6
L
16 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Alexandrova
L. Noskova
0 2
1 6
1 6
L
14 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Alexandrova
G. Knutson
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
9 Apr 2026 WTA Linz
Ka. Pliskova
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
2 Apr 2026 WTA Charleston
Y. Starodubtseva
E. Alexandrova
0 0
L

Players Analysis

Lee Ann has shown a mixed performance recently, with a record of 4 wins and 6 losses in her last 10 matches. Her most recent victory was against Ekaterina Alexandrova in May 2026, where she won 2 sets to 1, demonstrating her ability to compete effectively against her upcoming opponent. On the other hand, Ekaterina Alexandrova has struggled lately, with only 2 wins in her last 10 matches, including a recent loss to Lee Ann. This trend indicates a decline in form, which could impact her performance in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Lee Ann has won 2 out of 3 matches against Ekaterina Alexandrova, including their last meeting where she won in three sets. Lee Ann's performance in recent tournaments has been better compared to Alexandrova, who has faced difficulties, particularly on clay surfaces. Lee Ann's recent win against Alexandrova suggests a psychological edge, while Alexandrova's declining form could further hinder her chances in this match.

A. Li — E. Alexandrova Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head results, Lee Ann is favored to win this match. The prediction is for Lee Ann to win in straight sets, likely 2-0, as she has shown the ability to close out matches effectively against Alexandrova.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - Lee Ann, 2nd set - Lee Ann
  • Expected aces: 3
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Lee Ann is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing her recent success against Alexandrova to dictate the pace of the match. She may target Alexandrova's second serve, which has been less reliable, aiming to capitalize on any weaknesses early in the match.

3 Reasons Why A. Li Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Li 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Li.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Li has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than E. Alexandrova, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 11:00 WTA Bad Homburg
A. Li 2
E. Alexandrova 0
32
23
42

Where to watch A. Li vs E. Alexandrova

  • WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • Tennis TV - Official streaming service for WTA matches, including live and on-demand coverage.
  • ESPN - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of WTA events.
  • BBC Sport - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates for tennis events, including WTA tournaments.
  • Eurosport - Eurosport is a broadcaster that covers WTA matches; check for live coverage and schedules.