21.06.2026
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M. Kecmanovic vs H. Medjedovic Prediction — 22.06.2026

M. Kecmanovic flag
ATP - 70
M. Kecmanovic - H. Medjedovic
ATP Mallorca 1/16-finals
June 22, 2026 11:00
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H. Medjedovic flag
ATP - 67
M. Kecmanovic

Player Overview

Currently, Miomir Kecmanovic holds a career win percentage of nearly 55% and has an Elo rating of 2035, indicating a solid baseline competency. However, his recent trajectory has been erratic; over the past two years, he has won 43 matches and lost 44, with a current win rate of 49.4%. His form is improving based on the last five matches, where he has won 80% of the time, but overall, he remains below his career average.

Kecmanovic is coming off a painful stretch, having lost his last two matches against F. Marozsan and N. Borges, both at ATP events. His recent victory against Marozsan in the French Open is overshadowed by his inability to capitalize on opportunities in key matches. As he steps onto the court against Hamad Medjedovic, Kecmanovic must address his inconsistency to turn the tide in his favor.

Match results: M. Kecmanovic

16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
F. Marozsan
M. Kecmanovic
2 1
6 3
3 6
6 4
L
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
N. Borges
M. Kecmanovic
3 1
3 6
6 2
6 1
6 2
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Kecmanovic
F. Marozsan
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
19 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
M. Kecmanovic
K. Khachanov
0 0
L
17 May 2026 Valencia
M. Kecmanovic
D. Vallejo
2 1
6 2
3 6
6 2
W
16 May 2026 Valencia
A. Tabilo
M. Kecmanovic
0 1
3 6
W
15 May 2026 Valencia
C. Ugo Carabelli
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
1 6
1 6
W
14 May 2026 Valencia
L. Riedi
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
13 May 2026 Valencia
N. Budkov Kjaer
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
A. Rublev
M. Kecmanovic
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
H. Medjedovic

Player Overview

Hamad Medjedovic brings a career win percentage of 61.8% and a formidable Elo rating of 2112, showcasing his prowess on various surfaces. His current form reflects a significant uptick, with 48 wins against just 31 losses over the past two years, translating to a 60.8% success rate. Medjedovic's last five matches have seen him win 80%, indicating a strong upward trend as he navigates through his early career.

Medjedovic's recent form is marked by decisive victories, including a win against Ugo Humbert in ATP London. His performance has been characterized by aggressive play and effective serving, evidenced by his ability to dominate opponents like Y. Hanfmann. Stepping into this matchup with Kecmanovic, Medjedovic’s challenge will be to maintain his momentum against a seasoned player while capitalizing on his recent successes.

Match results: H. Medjedovic

19 Jun 2026 ATP London
H. Medjedovic
U. Humbert
1 0
6 2
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. Rinderknech
H. Medjedovic
0 2
W
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
C. Ruud
H. Medjedovic
3 0
6 3
6 2
6 4
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
H. Medjedovic
Y. Hanfmann
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 4
W
12 May 2026 ATP Rome
H. Medjedovic
Martin Landaluce
0 2
5 7
4 6
L
11 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Navone
H. Medjedovic
1 2
6 4
3 6
4 6
W
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
H. Medjedovic
J. Fonseca
2 1
3 6
6 3
W
7 May 2026 ATP Rome
H. Medjedovic
V. Royer
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
18 Apr 2026 ATP Barcelona
A. Rublev
H. Medjedovic
2 1
3 6
6 2
6 2
L
17 Apr 2026 ATP Barcelona
H. Medjedovic
N. Borges
1 0
6 2
W

Players Analysis

Miomir Kecmanovic has shown a solid performance recently, with a win percentage of 70% over his last 10 matches. His recent form includes notable victories in the Challenger circuit, particularly on clay, where he has demonstrated strong serve reliability with an ace percentage of 6.1%. In contrast, Hamad Medjedovic has also been in good form, achieving an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches, including a strong showing at the ATP French Open. Medjedovic's serve has been impressive, with an ace percentage of 10.1% and a solid first serve win rate of 72.5%.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Both players have been performing well on clay, which will be the surface for this match. Kecmanovic's recent matches indicate a trend of improvement, especially in his ability to win crucial points, as evidenced by his break point saved percentage of 61.8%. Medjedovic, on the other hand, has a slightly higher overall win percentage and has been more effective at converting break points, with a percentage of 64.3%. The absence of previous head-to-head encounters means that their performance in recent tournaments will be the primary indicator of their potential success in this matchup.

M. Kecmanovic — H. Medjedovic Prediction

This match is expected to be closely contested, with both players in good form. However, Miomir Kecmanovic's recent performance and slightly better serve metrics give him a marginal edge. The prediction for the match is a 2-1 victory for Kecmanovic, with the first set likely going to Medjedovic due to his strong serving capabilities.

  • Final score in sets: 2-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - H. Medjedovic, Set 2 - M. Kecmanovic, Set 3 - M. Kecmanovic
  • Expected aces: 8
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, Kecmanovic will likely focus on returning Medjedovic's powerful serves, aiming to exploit any weaknesses in his opponent's second serve. Medjedovic, conversely, will need to maintain his aggressive serving to set the tone early in the match and capitalize on any break opportunities that arise.

3 Reasons Why M. Kecmanovic Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Kecmanovic 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Kecmanovic.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Kecmanovic has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than H. Medjedovic, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 11:00 ATP Mallorca
M. Kecmanovic 2 0 1 1
H. Medjedovic 1 1 0 0
85
32
53

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