20.06.2026
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F. Cerundolo vs T. Paul Prediction — 21.06.2026

F. Cerundolo flag
ATP - 21
F. Cerundolo - T. Paul
ATP London Final
June 21, 2026 14:30
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
T. Paul flag
ATP - 20

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 7
H2H W-L 5-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.43
Last 5 W-L 4-1
Last 3 W-L 3-0
Current streak W3
Sets balance +5
Avg sets (last 5) 2.20
Sets range 1-4
3-set matches 2 (40%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 1/1 • 0/0
71% 5 Wins
0% 0 Draws
29% 2 Wins
Last 5 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
24 Mar 2025
F. Cerundolo - T. Paul
1:0 (6-2)
Miami
1 Jun 2024
F. Cerundolo - T. Paul
3:1 (3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-2)
ATP French Open
28 Apr 2024
T. Paul - F. Cerundolo
0:2 (4-6, 2-6)
ATP Madrid
10 Aug 2023
T. Paul - F. Cerundolo
1:0 (6-3)
ATP Toronto
1 Jul 2023
F. Cerundolo - T. Paul
2:1 (6-4, 1-6, 6-4)
ATP Eastbourne
F. Cerundolo

Player Overview

Franco Cerundolo, known for his aggressive baseline play, has a career win percentage of 62.9%, showcasing his ability to compete at a high level. Over the past two years, he has maintained a solid win rate of 61.9%, with his recent form stable, reflected in a 60% win percentage in his last five matches. His Elo rating of 2176 indicates a competitive presence, especially on clay, while his serve statistics suggest he can control points effectively, winning over 67% of his first serves.

Arriving at this match, Cerundolo has recorded four consecutive victories in ATP London, including a convincing win against Brandon Nakashima. His recent results demonstrate a consistent ability to perform, although he faces a more formidable opponent in Tommy Paul. The draw could prove challenging, as Paul has been in strong form, which could test Cerundolo's current steadiness on the court.

Match results: F. Cerundolo

20 Jun 2026 ATP London
B. Nakashima
F. Cerundolo
0 2
3 6
4 6
W
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. Fery
F. Cerundolo
1 2
6 7
6 3
4 6
W
17 Jun 2026 ATP London
J. Brooksby
F. Cerundolo
0 2
0 6
4 6
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. Kovacevic
F. Cerundolo
1 2
4 6
7 6
2 6
W
15 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. Blockx
F. Cerundolo
0 0
L
30 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Cerundolo
Z. Svajda
2 3
3 6
4 6
6 3
6 4
3 6
L
28 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Cerundolo
H. Gaston
3 1
2 6
6 4
6 2
6 1
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Cerundolo
B. Van De Zandschulp
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 4
W
18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
F. Cerundolo
A. De Minaur
1 2
6 3
4 6
3 6
L
10 May 2026 ATP Rome
Lorenzo Musetti
F. Cerundolo
1 0
6 4
L
T. Paul

Player Overview

Tommy Paul enters this match with a career win percentage of 63.8%, reflecting his strong competitive edge. In the last two years, he has improved his performance significantly, achieving a win rate of 68.8% and an impressive 80% in his last five matches. His Elo rating of 2238 positions him well among his peers, particularly on hard courts where he excels. Paul's serve has also been effective, with a first-serve win percentage of 71.2%, making him a tough opponent to break.

Recently, Paul has been on a winning streak in ATP London, claiming victories against notable players like Ugo Humbert and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. His recent form indicates that he is improving, which poses a significant threat to Cerundolo. If Paul can maintain his current trajectory, he is likely to challenge for a deep run in this tournament, making this clash pivotal for both players.

Match results: T. Paul

20 Jun 2026 ATP London
T. Paul
U. Humbert
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
T. Paul
A. Davidovich Fokina
2 0
6 3
7 6
W
18 Jun 2026 ATP London
T. Paul
B. Van De Zandschulp
2 0
7 6
6 3
W
15 Jun 2026 ATP London
T. Paul
Z. Svajda
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
15 Jun 2026 ATP London
T. Paul
J. Munar
0 0
L
8 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart
T. Paul
G. Mpetshi Perricard
0 0
L
29 May 2026 ATP French Open
C. Ruud
T. Paul
2 1
4 6
6 4
7 5
L
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
L. Sonego
T. Paul
0 3
3 6
2 6
4 6
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
R. Hijikata
T. Paul
1 3
6 4
3 6
5 7
4 6
W
23 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
T. Paul
2 1
4 6
6 3
L

Players Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo and Tommy Paul are set to face off in the final of the ATP London tournament. Cerundolo has shown strong form recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, while Paul has been even more impressive with an 8-2 record in his last 10 outings. Both players have demonstrated resilience, with Cerundolo's recent matches indicating a solid performance on clay, while Paul has excelled on the same surface, particularly in the recent Hamburg tournament.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Cerundolo leads with 5 wins out of 7 matches against Paul. Notably, Cerundolo won their last meeting in the Miami Masters with a score of 6-2, 7-6(4). Both players have a similar height and playing style, but Paul's serve has been slightly more effective, averaging 7.1 aces per match compared to Cerundolo's 4.7. The match is expected to be competitive, with both players having a strong chance of breaking each other's serve.

F. Cerundolo — T. Paul Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, Francisco Cerundolo is slightly favored to win this match against Tommy Paul. The predicted score is 2-1 in sets, with Cerundolo winning the first set and Paul taking the second before Cerundolo clinches the match in the third. The expected aces are 5 for Cerundolo and 7 for Paul, while double faults are forecasted at 3 for Cerundolo and 2 for Paul. Break points are anticipated to be 4 for Cerundolo and 5 for Paul.

  • Final score in sets: 2-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - F. Cerundolo, 2nd set - T. Paul, 3rd set - F. Cerundolo
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactics, Cerundolo will likely focus on exploiting Paul's second serve, aiming to capitalize on any weaknesses. Conversely, Paul may try to maintain a high first-serve percentage to dictate play and keep Cerundolo on the defensive. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both players having the ability to adapt their strategies as needed.

3 Reasons Why F. Cerundolo Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors F. Cerundolo 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors F. Cerundolo.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, F. Cerundolo has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than T. Paul, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
21.06.2026 14:30 ATP London
F. Cerundolo 2 1 0 1
T. Paul 1 0 1 0
57
32
45

Where to watch F. Cerundolo vs T. Paul

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • Tennis TV - Official streaming service for ATP matches, including live and on-demand coverage.
  • ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of ATP events.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates on major tennis events, including ATP tournaments.
  • Sky Sports Tennis - Sky Sports offers live coverage and updates on ATP tennis matches.