20.06.2026
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A. Walton vs A. Ghibaudo Prediction — 21.06.2026

A. Walton flag
ATP - 103
A. Walton - A. Ghibaudo
ATP Mallorca Final
June 21, 2026 11:00
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A. Ghibaudo flag
ATP - 355
A. Walton

Player Overview

A. Walton has built a solid foundation as a competitor with a career baseline win percentage of 60.3%. Over the past two years, he has won 54.5% of his matches, reflecting a recent upward trend with a perfect 100% win rate in his last five outings. His Elo rating of 2006 indicates he is a formidable contender, especially on hard courts, where he boasts an impressive 72.3% win rate on first serves.

Walton arrives at this match after a string of victories, including three consecutive wins at home in Tyler, showcasing his dominance on familiar ground. However, he faced a setback against H. Wendelken in London, hinting at potential vulnerabilities. With his recent form, Walton is poised to capitalize on Ghibaudo's inconsistencies, making this clash a critical test of his rising status.

Match results: A. Walton

20 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
A. Walton
Federico Bondioli
2 0
6 1
7 5
W
13 Jun 2026 ATP London
H. Wendelken
A. Walton
2 0
6 3
6 3
L
7 Jun 2026 Tyler
A. Walton
A. Ilagan
2 0
7 5
6 1
W
6 Jun 2026 Tyler
A. Walton
L. Draxl
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
5 Jun 2026 Tyler
A. Walton
T. Legout
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
5 Jun 2026 Tyler
A. Walton
A. Martin
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
3 Jun 2026 Tyler
A. Walton
Wu Tung-Lin
2 1
4 6
6 1
W
28 May 2026 ATP French Open
Z. Svajda
A. Walton
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 2
L
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Walton
D. Medvedev
3 2
6 2
1 6
6 1
1 6
6 4
W
8 May 2026 Wuxi
A. Walton
Y. Bu
0 2
2 6
0 6
L
A. Ghibaudo

Player Overview

A. Ghibaudo has a career win percentage of 56.6%, which includes a robust performance in recent years, winning 61% of his last 77 matches. With an overall Elo rating of 1753, he remains competitive, particularly on hard courts where his first serve success stands at 70.1%. His form has been stable lately, with a 60% win rate in his last five matches, demonstrating his ability to compete effectively even when the odds are against him.

Ghibaudo enters this match following a victory against P. Bar Biryukov, yet his recent losses against lower-ranked opponents suggest he may struggle against a player like Walton. His previous performances at the ATP Mallorca have not been stellar, which raises concerns. Facing Walton, he must bring his best game to counteract the latter's surge in form and assert his presence in the tournament.

Match results: A. Ghibaudo

20 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
A. Ghibaudo
P. Bar Biryukov
2 0
6 2
6 4
W
8 Jun 2026 Ilkley
O. Okonkwo
A. Ghibaudo
2 1
3 6
6 3
6 4
L
31 May 2026 Birmingham
J. Watt
A. Ghibaudo
1 0
6 4
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Ghibaudo
M. Zheng
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
11 May 2026 Tunis
F. Agamenone
A. Ghibaudo
1 0
6 3
L
10 May 2026 Tunis
S. Nsairi
A. Ghibaudo
1 2
6 3
5 7
1 6
W
2 May 2026 Shymkent 2
A. Ghibaudo
M. Dhamne
0 2
4 6
3 6
L
1 May 2026 Shymkent 2
A. Ghibaudo
A. Nedic
2 1
3 6
6 4
6 0
W
29 Apr 2026 Shymkent 2
A. Ghibaudo
S. Pieri
2 1
5 7
6 2
6 3
W
28 Apr 2026 Shymkent 2
A. Ghibaudo
O. Krutykh
2 0
6 2
7 5
W

Players Analysis

Adam Walton has shown impressive form recently, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance in the ATP Mallorca semi-finals where he defeated Federico Bondioli 2-0. His recent matches have been characterized by solid serving, with a notable ace percentage of 9.1% in the last two years. In contrast, Antoine Ghibaudo has a more mixed record, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, but he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents, as evidenced by his recent losses at the ATP French Open and other Challenger events.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Walton's overall win percentage stands at 60.3%, with a significant improvement in his recent form, boasting a 100% win rate in his last five matches. He has been particularly effective on hard courts, which is the surface for this match. Ghibaudo, while having a respectable win rate of 56.6%, has shown inconsistency, especially against stronger players. Walton's ability to win points on his first serve (71.6%) and his higher ace count (747 in the last two years) give him a tactical advantage in this matchup.

A. Walton — A. Ghibaudo Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head context, Adam Walton is favored to win this match. His recent performances indicate a player in peak condition, while Ghibaudo's inconsistency may hinder his chances. Walton's strong serving and ability to capitalize on break points will likely play a crucial role in determining the outcome.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: A. Walton, Set 2: A. Walton
  • Expected aces: 8
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

Walton's strategy will likely focus on aggressive serving and taking control of the rallies early on, aiming to pressure Ghibaudo into making errors. Ghibaudo will need to improve his return game and capitalize on any opportunities to break Walton's serve to have a chance in this match.

3 Reasons Why A. Walton Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Walton 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Walton.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Walton has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Ghibaudo, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
21.06.2026 11:00 ATP Mallorca
A. Walton 2
A. Ghibaudo 0
83
24
41

Where to watch A. Walton vs A. Ghibaudo

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for match schedules and broadcast information.
  • Tennis TV - Official streaming service for ATP matches, including live and on-demand matches.
  • ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of ATP events.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates on tennis matches, including ATP events.
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