20.06.2026
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A. Li vs E. Alexandrova Prediction — 21.06.2026

A. Li flag
WTA - 29
A. Li - E. Alexandrova
WTA Bad Homburg 1/16-finals
June 21, 2026 11:00
Days
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Seconds
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WTA - 10

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 3
H2H W-L 1-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.00
Last 5 W-L 1-2
Last 3 W-L 1-2
Current streak W1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 2.00
Sets range 1-3
3-set matches 1 (33%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 1/0
33% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
67% 2 Wins
Last 3 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
19 May 2026
A. Li - E. Alexandrova
2:1 (4-6, 6-4, 6-3)
WTA Strasbourg
8 Oct 2025
E. Alexandrova - A. Li
1:0 (6-2)
Wuhan
2 Apr 2025
E. Alexandrova - A. Li
2:0 (6-3, 6-0)
Charleston
A. Li

Player Overview

Across the last 5 matches, A. Li posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.

For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: A. Li wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.

Match results: A. Li

19 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Li
V. Golubic
1 2
3 6
6 2
3 6
L
18 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Li
T. Preston
2 1
5 7
6 2
6 2
W
16 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Li
K. Birrell
2 1
4 6
6 4
W
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Li
D. Parry
0 2
3 6
4 6
L
26 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Li
S. Zhang
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
22 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
E. Navarro
A. Li
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
21 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
M. Bouzkova
A. Li
0 2
3 6
5 7
W
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
A. Li
E. Alexandrova
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
W
17 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
M. Joint
A. Li
0 2
1 6
2 6
W
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
L. Samsonova
A. Li
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
E. Alexandrova

Player Overview

Ekaterina Alexandrova, once a formidable competitor with a career win percentage nearing 60%, has seen her performance dip recently. With a declining trend over the last five matches, her current form reflects a win rate of just 20%. This alarming shift raises questions about her ability to compete effectively, especially on grass, where her Elo rating is notably lower compared to her overall performance.

Alexandrova's recent matches include a disappointing loss to Aryna Sabalenka, where she failed to win a single set. The solitary victory against Anastasia Potapova does little to mask her overall downturn. As she takes on A. Li, the challenge is not just about winning; it’s about restoring her competitive edge and confidence at this crucial stage in the tournament.

Match results: E. Alexandrova

17 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
15 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
E. Alexandrova
A. Potapova
1 0
6 1
W
8 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
E. Alexandrova
P. Udvardy
0 1
4 6
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
C. Osorio
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 2
6 4
L
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
A. Li
E. Alexandrova
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
L
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
E. Alexandrova
L. Siegemund
0 2
4 6
1 6
L
16 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Alexandrova
L. Noskova
0 2
1 6
1 6
L
14 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Alexandrova
G. Knutson
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
9 Apr 2026 WTA Linz
Ka. Pliskova
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
2 Apr 2026 WTA Charleston
Y. Starodubtseva
E. Alexandrova
0 0
L

Players Analysis

Lee Ann has shown a mixed form in her recent matches, winning 3 out of her last 10 games. Her most recent victory was against Ekaterina Alexandrova in Strasbourg, where she won 2-1. This win could boost her confidence going into this match. On the other hand, Ekaterina Alexandrova has struggled recently, losing 7 out of her last 10 matches, including a recent defeat to Li. This trend indicates a decline in her performance, which may affect her chances in this upcoming match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Lee Ann has a slight edge with 2 wins out of 3 matches against Ekaterina Alexandrova. The last match between them saw Li winning in three sets, which may give her a psychological advantage. Additionally, Alexandrova's recent form shows a win percentage of only 20% in her last 10 matches, while Li's is 30%. This suggests that Li may have the upper hand in terms of current form and confidence.

A. Li — E. Alexandrova Prediction

Considering the recent performances and head-to-head results, Lee Ann is predicted to win this match. The forecast suggests a close match, likely going to three sets based on their previous encounters and current forms.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: A. Li, Set 2: E. Alexandrova, Set 3: A. Li
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, Lee Ann is expected to leverage her recent victory over Alexandrova by playing aggressively and targeting her opponent's weaker serve. Alexandrova will need to improve her first serve percentage to stay competitive, as her recent matches indicate a struggle to win points on her second serve.

3 Reasons Why A. Li Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Li 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Li.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Li has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than E. Alexandrova, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
21.06.2026 11:00 WTA Bad Homburg
A. Li 2 1 0 1
E. Alexandrova 1 0 1 0
43
34
54

Where to watch A. Li vs E. Alexandrova

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