21.06.2026
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S. Tsitsipas vs I. Buse Prediction — 22.06.2026

S. Tsitsipas flag
ATP - 75
S. Tsitsipas - I. Buse
ATP Mallorca 1/16-finals
June 22, 2026 11:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
I. Buse flag
ATP - 62
S. Tsitsipas

Player Overview

Stefanos Tsitsipas has built a career with a solid baseline win percentage near 66%, but his recent form tells a different story. Over the last two years, he has won just 55% of his matches, a stark contrast to his historical performance. His current trajectory is troubling; Tsitsipas has only claimed 40% of his last five matches, indicating a significant downturn that raises questions about his competitive edge on the court.

Tsitsipas arrives in Mallorca after a disappointing run, losing both of his last matches at the ATP French Open and ATP Geneva. His most recent defeat against Marco Arnaldi highlights ongoing struggles, particularly with consistency. With no wins in his last five matches, he heads into this fixture against I. Buse facing mounting pressure to turn things around and regain his footing on the tour.

Match results: S. Tsitsipas

28 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Arnaldi
S. Tsitsipas
2 1
5 7
6 3
6 2
L
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Muller
S. Tsitsipas
0 2
2 6
W
20 May 2026 ATP Geneva
S. Tsitsipas
L. Tien
0 2
L
18 May 2026 ATP Geneva
S. Tsitsipas
G. Mpetshi Perricard
1 0
6 4
W
7 May 2026 ATP Rome
S. Tsitsipas
T. Machac
0 1
4 6
L
28 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
S. Tsitsipas
C. Ruud
1 2
L
27 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
S. Tsitsipas
D. Merida Aguilar
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
25 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
A. Bublik
S. Tsitsipas
0 2
2 6
5 7
W
23 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
P. Kypson
S. Tsitsipas
1 0
6 3
L
15 Apr 2026 ATP Munich
F. Marozsan
S. Tsitsipas
2 1
3 6
6 4
L
I. Buse

Player Overview

I. Buse is currently riding a wave of improvement, boasting a 63% win record over the past two years. His recent form has been impressive, winning 80% of his last five matches, showcasing his ability to compete effectively, especially on the hard courts. Buse's solid career baseline win percentage of 62% reflects a player who knows how to win, and his Elo rating suggests he has the potential to challenge stronger opponents.

In his last outing, Buse secured a victory against Marcos Giron, adding to his recent success at the ATP London event. Despite a loss to Andrey Rublev at the French Open, he has shown resilience, with a mix of wins and a recent draw highlighting his competitive nature. Facing Tsitsipas, Buse will aim to capitalize on his opponent's struggles, seeking to further his ascent on the ATP rankings.

Match results: I. Buse

17 Jun 2026 ATP London
B. Nakashima
I. Buse
2 0
6 2
6 2
L
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
I. Buse
M. Giron
2 1
3 6
7 5
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
I. Buse
R. Jodar
0 0
L
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
I. Buse
A. Rublev
0 3
3 6
3 6
5 7
L
23 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
T. Paul
2 1
4 6
6 3
W
22 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
A. Kovacevic
I. Buse
0 2
1 6
4 6
W
21 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
U. Humbert
2 1
6 3
5 7
6 3
W
20 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
J. Mensik
2 0
6 0
6 3
W
19 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
F. Cobolli
I. Buse
0 2
2 6
5 7
W
17 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
H. Gaston
2 0
6 1
6 2
W

Players Analysis

Stefanos Tsitsipas has had a challenging recent form, winning only 50% of his last 10 matches. His performance has been declining, particularly on clay, where he has struggled against lower-ranked opponents. In contrast, Ignacio Buse has shown significant improvement, winning 80% of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance in Hamburg where he won the tournament. Buse's recent form indicates he is in better shape heading into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall career statistics, Tsitsipas holds a win percentage of 66.2, while Buse has a slightly lower win percentage of 62.1. However, Buse's recent performance on clay has been impressive, winning multiple matches convincingly. Tsitsipas has struggled with his serve, recording a higher number of double faults compared to Buse. This match will be crucial for Tsitsipas to regain confidence, but Buse's current form and momentum could play a significant role in the outcome.

S. Tsitsipas — I. Buse Prediction

Considering the recent form and performance statistics, Ignacio Buse is favored to win this match against Stefanos Tsitsipas. Buse's recent success and higher win percentage in the last 10 matches give him a slight edge. The expected score is likely to reflect Buse's current form and Tsitsipas's struggles.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Ignacio Buse, Set 2 - Ignacio Buse
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 3

In terms of tactical expectations, Buse is likely to capitalize on Tsitsipas's serve struggles, aiming to break early in both sets. Tsitsipas will need to improve his first serve percentage and reduce double faults to have any chance of competing effectively. Buse's aggressive baseline play and confidence from recent victories will put pressure on Tsitsipas throughout the match.

3 Reasons Why I. Buse Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors I. Buse 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors I. Buse.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, I. Buse has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than S. Tsitsipas, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 11:00 ATP Mallorca
S. Tsitsipas 0
I. Buse 2
45
32
23

Where to watch S. Tsitsipas vs I. Buse

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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