21.06.2026
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F. Bax vs C. Rodesch Prediction — 22.06.2026

F. Bax flag
ATP - 254
F. Bax - C. Rodesch
Wimbledon
June 22, 2026 16:30
Days
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Hours
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C. Rodesch flag
ATP - 166
F. Bax

Player Overview

F. Bax, standing at 185 cm, has seen his career trajectory dip recently, with a baseline win percentage of 58.7% and an Elo rating of 1811. His current form over the last two years shows a win rate of 67.5%, but his last five matches reflect an alarming downward trend, going winless. His serve identity indicates he wins 74.6% of points on his first serve, yet the pressure of the grass courts may expose weaknesses.

Recently, Bax has faced a series of defeats, losing his last five matches, including a straight-sets loss to S. D'Agostino at the M25 Milano. His inability to secure sets in these encounters raises concerns about his readiness for Wimbledon. Without a recent victory, he enters this match against C. Rodesch with significant pressure to turn things around, needing a strong performance to regain confidence in this prestigious tournament.

Match results: F. Bax

16 Jun 2026 M25 Milano (Italy)
F. Bax
S. D'Agostino
1 2
1 6
6 3
6 7
L
10 Jun 2026 Lyon
T. Faurel
F. Bax
2 0
6 3
6 3
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
G. Bueno
F. Bax
1 0
6 0
L
10 May 2026 Brazzaville
F. Bax
C. Hemery
1 2
5 7
6 3
L
9 May 2026 Brazzaville
F. Bax
Franco Ribero
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
8 May 2026 Brazzaville
F. Bax
M. Erhard
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
7 May 2026 Brazzaville
F. Bax
Y. Lalami Laaroussi
2 0
6 2
6 4
W
6 May 2026 Brazzaville
F. Bax
A. Arcon
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
1 May 2026 Abidjan 2
N. Visker
F. Bax
1 0
6 3
L
30 Apr 2026 Abidjan 2
A. Dougaz
F. Bax
1 2
4 6
6 3
W
C. Rodesch

Player Overview

C. Rodesch, at 198 cm, possesses a solid career baseline win percentage of 68.7% and has maintained an Elo rating of 1943. His form over the last two years is commendable, with a 62.9% win rate, but he has shown signs of stability rather than improvement, as reflected in his last five matches. Rodesch's first-serve win percentage stands at 71.7%, which is vital for success on grass.

His recent matches have not been kind, with losses to opponents like G. Dimitrov and Y. Bu, culminating in a series of defeats that could weigh on his performance. Despite this, Rodesch's historical performance suggests he has the tools to compete effectively at Wimbledon. If he can harness his serving ability and find his rhythm, he may present a formidable challenge for Bax in their upcoming encounter.

Match results: C. Rodesch

16 Jun 2026 Dublin (Jon Ireland) - Qualification
G. Dimitrov
C. Rodesch
2 0
6 3
6 4
L
10 Jun 2026 Ilkley
Y. Bu
C. Rodesch
1 0
7 5
L
19 May 2026 ATP French Open
C. Rodesch
L. Riedi
0 1
2 6
L
14 May 2026 Zagreb
J. Choinski
C. Rodesch
2 0
6 3
7 5
L
14 May 2026 Zagreb
L. Mikrut
C. Rodesch
0 2
1 6
2 6
W
13 May 2026 Zagreb
Stefan Dostanic
C. Rodesch
1 2
7 5
4 6
2 6
W
4 May 2026 ATP Rome
D. Prizmic
C. Rodesch
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
21 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
C. Rodesch
D. Lajovic
0 2
4 6
4 6
L
20 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
R. Hijikata
C. Rodesch
0 1
2 6
W
13 Apr 2026 Oeiras 3
M. Echargui
C. Rodesch
1 0
6 4
L

Players Analysis

Florent Bax has shown a strong performance recently, with an 80% win rate over his last 10 matches. His recent form includes victories over lower-ranked opponents, indicating a solid upward trend. In contrast, Chris Rodesch has a more stable performance with a 50% win rate in his last 10 matches, struggling against higher-ranked players. Rodesch's recent matches have been inconsistent, which may affect his confidence going into this quarter-final.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Florent Bax has a higher overall win percentage of 58.7% compared to Chris Rodesch's 68.7%, but Rodesch has faced tougher competition recently. Bax's serve statistics show a higher ace percentage (8.4%) and a lower double fault percentage (3.8%) than Rodesch, who has an ace percentage of 8.6% and a double fault percentage of 4.2%. The match will be played on grass, a surface where Rodesch has performed better historically, but Bax's recent form on hard and clay surfaces suggests he can adapt well.

F. Bax — C. Rodesch Prediction

This match is expected to be competitive, with Florent Bax having a slight edge due to his recent form and serve reliability. However, Chris Rodesch's experience and height advantage could play a crucial role. The prediction leans towards Bax winning in a closely contested match.

  • Final score in sets: 3-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: F. Bax, 2nd set: C. Rodesch, 3rd set: F. Bax, 4th set: F. Bax
  • Expected aces: 12
  • Double faults: 5
  • Break points: 7

Expect Bax to leverage his serve effectively, aiming for quick points, while Rodesch may focus on returning aggressively to break Bax's rhythm. The match could see long rallies, especially in the second set, where Rodesch might find his footing.

3 Reasons Why F. Bax Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors F. Bax 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors F. Bax.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, F. Bax has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than C. Rodesch, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 16:30 Wimbledon
F. Bax 3
C. Rodesch 1
128
56
74

Where to watch F. Bax vs C. Rodesch

  • Wimbledon Official Website - Official site for Wimbledon with information on matches, schedules, and broadcasting.
  • ESPN Tennis Coverage - ESPN's official tennis page providing coverage and broadcast information for major tournaments including Wimbledon.
  • BBC Sport - Wimbledon - BBC Sport's official page for Wimbledon, featuring live coverage and updates.
  • Tennis Channel - Official Tennis Channel website with information on live broadcasts and streaming options.
  • YouTube TV - Streaming service that may offer live coverage of Wimbledon matches.