21.06.2026
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M. Dodig vs F. Ferreira Silva Prediction — 22.06.2026

M. Dodig flag
ATP - 231
M. Dodig - F. Ferreira Silva
Wimbledon
June 22, 2026 15:00
Days
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Hours
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Minutes
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Seconds
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F. Ferreira Silva flag
ATP - 238
M. Dodig

Player Overview

Marko Dodig, standing at 188 cm, has a solid career baseline with 136 wins against 85 losses, reflecting a win percentage of 61.5%. His recent form, however, tells a different story. Over the last two years, he's managed a win rate of 52.2%, indicating a slight decline from his career norm. Dodig's Elo rating rests at 1827, with a notable performance on hard courts but a less convincing record on grass surfaces, which will be tested here.

In the lead-up to Wimbledon, Dodig has struggled, losing his last three matches, including a disappointing defeat to C. Sanchez Jover in the Italian qualifiers. His last victory came against J. J. Schwaerzler, but that win feels distant amid a string of setbacks. With no wins in his last five outings, the pressure mounts as he faces Ferreira Silva, who has his own recent struggles. Dodig must find a way to turn things around to avoid an early exit.

Match results: M. Dodig

9 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
C. Sanchez Jover
M. Dodig
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
3 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
M. Dodig
G. Den Ouden
0 2
3 6
0 6
L
1 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
J. J. Schwaerzler
M. Dodig
1 2
4 6
6 2
4 6
W
20 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Dodig
H. Dellien
0 2
1 6
4 6
L
19 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Dodig
Yi Zhou
2 1
1 6
6 3
7 5
W
13 May 2026 Zagreb
M. Dodig
A. Holmgren
1 2
6 3
3 6
L
27 Mar 2026 Split
M. Dodig
M. Poljicak
0 1
1 4
L
25 Mar 2026 Split
M. Dodig
S. Kopp
2 1
6 4
3 6
6 2
W
24 Mar 2026 Split
M. Dodig
C. Langmo
2 1
3 6
7 5
6 2
W
24 Mar 2026 Split
M. Dodig
K. Feldbausch
0 0
L
F. Ferreira Silva

Player Overview

Frederico Ferreira Silva, 178 cm tall, boasts a career win percentage of 60.6% with 520 wins to 338 losses. His Elo rating of 1842 shows a competitive edge, particularly on hard courts, but his recent form is troubling. With a 58.1% win rate over the past two years, Ferreira Silva's trajectory is declining, evidenced by his recent performances.

Match results: F. Ferreira Silva

17 Jun 2026 Poznan
G. Bueno
F. Ferreira Silva
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
16 Jun 2026 Poznan
M. Erhard
F. Ferreira Silva
0 2
4 6
3 6
W
1 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
F. Ferreira Silva
P. Martinez
0 2
2 6
5 7
L
25 May 2026 Vicenza
M. Dhamne
F. Ferreira Silva
2 1
4 6
7 5
6 3
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Ferreira Silva
F. A. Gomez
0 2
3 6
3 6
L
12 May 2026 Oeiras 6
V. Gaubas
F. Ferreira Silva
2 1
6 3
2 6
6 1
L
7 May 2026 Francavilla
F. Ferreira Silva
C. H. Tseng
0 2
1 6
2 6
L
5 May 2026 Francavilla
H. Wendelken
F. Ferreira Silva
0 2
3 6
3 6
W
4 May 2026 Francavilla
F. Ferreira Silva
G. Johns
2 0
6 2
6 0
W
30 Apr 2026 Ostrava
D. Svrcina
F. Ferreira Silva
2 0
6 3
6 4
L

Players Analysis

Matej Dodig has had a mixed performance recently, with a win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches. His recent form shows some struggles, particularly in Challenger events, but he has demonstrated resilience in matches against lower-ranked opponents. On the other hand, Frederico Ferreira Silva has been on a declining trend, with only a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches. His recent performances have been marked by losses against players he would typically be expected to compete with, indicating a potential lack of confidence.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Dodig's serve statistics indicate a solid performance, with an ace percentage of 6.1% and a double fault percentage of 3.7% over the last two years. Ferreira Silva, however, has struggled with a lower ace percentage of 2.7% and a higher double fault percentage of 2.9%. This disparity in serving efficiency could play a crucial role in their matchup. Additionally, both players have not faced each other before, which adds an element of unpredictability to the match.

M. Dodig — F. Ferreira Silva Prediction

Considering the recent form and serve statistics, Matej Dodig is favored to win this match against Frederico Ferreira Silva. Dodig's higher win percentage and better serving stats suggest he can capitalize on Ferreira Silva's weaknesses. The match is expected to be competitive, but Dodig's experience and form give him the edge.

  • Final score in sets: 3:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: M. Dodig, 2nd set: F. Ferreira Silva, 3rd set: M. Dodig, 4th set: M. Dodig
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 5
  • Break points: 6

In terms of tactics, Dodig will likely focus on exploiting Ferreira Silva's weaker serve, aiming to break early in the match. Ferreira Silva, needing to regain form, may adopt a more aggressive approach to counter Dodig's strengths, but this could lead to more errors if he becomes too reckless.

3 Reasons Why M. Dodig Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Dodig 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Dodig.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Dodig has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than F. Ferreira Silva, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.06.2026 15:00 Wimbledon
M. Dodig 3
F. Ferreira Silva 1
105
57
64

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