22.06.2026
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U. Humbert vs M. Bellucci Prediction — 23.06.2026

U. Humbert flag
ATP - 36
U. Humbert - M. Bellucci
ATP Eastbourne 1/16-finals
June 23, 2026 12:00
Days
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Hours
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Seconds
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M. Bellucci flag
ATP - 80
U. Humbert

Player Overview

Ugo Humbert, a left-handed player standing at 188 cm, has achieved a career win percentage of about 59.2%. Over the last two years, he has not quite matched that level with a win rate of 54.8%, reflecting a stable but unremarkable trend. His Elo rating on hard courts is noteworthy at 2018, indicating his capability on that surface, though he struggles on grass with a rating of 1613. Humbert's serve has been a key aspect of his game, with a first serve win percentage of 74.2% illustrating his ability to capitalize on strong service games.

Recently, Humbert's form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in his last five matches. Notably, he secured a solid victory against Marin Cilic, but suffered defeats to Tommy Paul and Hiroki Sakai. As he approaches the match against Bellucci, Humbert's recent performance raises questions about his momentum; he will need to find a way to elevate his game to avoid another early exit in the tournament.

Match results: U. Humbert

20 Jun 2026 ATP London
T. Paul
U. Humbert
2 0
6 3
6 3
L
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
U. Humbert
R. Hijikata
2 0
6 1
6 2
W
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
H. Medjedovic
U. Humbert
1 0
6 2
L
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
U. Humbert
M. Cilic
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
11 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
U. Humbert
B. Bonzi
1 2
4 6
6 3
3 6
L
8 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
U. Humbert
E. Ymer
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
U. Humbert
Q. Halys
0 1
4 6
L
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
U. Humbert
A. Mannarino
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 3
W
21 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
U. Humbert
2 1
6 3
5 7
6 3
L
20 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
U. Humbert
K. Khachanov
2 1
6 3
3 6
W
M. Bellucci

Player Overview

Matheus Bellucci is a left-handed competitor, smaller at 175 cm, with a career win percentage of 57.0%. However, his recent form suggests a decline, capturing only a 47.3% win rate over the past two years. His Elo rating indicates a similar trajectory, with a hard court rating of 1852 that reflects his struggles in higher-tier competitions. Bellucci has shown a decent first serve win percentage of 72.7%, but his overall game has been shaky lately, with a last five win percentage of just 40.0%.

Bellucci arrives at Eastbourne after a mixed run, including a notable win against Alexander Bublik but losses to both Romain Collignon and Taylor Fritz. His recent matches indicate a player grappling with consistency, which could be a significant issue against Humbert. If Bellucci can't stabilize his performance, he risks exiting the tournament early, especially given the stakes of this matchup.

Match results: M. Bellucci

18 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
R. Collignon
M. Bellucci
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
L
16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
M. Bellucci
A. Bublik
1 0
6 1
W
14 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
M. Bellucci
A. Bolt
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
13 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
M. Bellucci
M. Kukushkin
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
12 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart
M. Bellucci
T. Fritz
1 2
7 5
5 7
5 7
L
10 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart
M. Bellucci
Y. Hanfmann
2 0
7 5
6 2
W
8 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart
A. Davidovich Fokina
M. Bellucci
0 2
2 6
1 6
W
2 Jun 2026 Birmingham
M. Bellucci
A. Bolt
0 2
3 6
0 6
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
Q. Halys
M. Bellucci
2 0
6 3
6 3
L
11 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Bellucci
Martin Landaluce
0 2
4 6
3 6
L

Players Analysis

Ugo Humbert has shown a solid performance recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches. His recent form includes victories against notable players, showcasing his ability to compete at a high level. In contrast, Mattia Bellucci has struggled, winning only 4 out of his last 10 matches, indicating a decline in form. Humbert's higher current ATP ranking (33) compared to Bellucci's (78) further emphasizes his advantage in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Humbert has a career win percentage of 59.2%, and he has been particularly effective on grass, which is the surface for this tournament. His serve statistics are impressive, with an ace percentage of 9.1% and a double fault percentage of 3.4%. Bellucci, while also a left-handed player, has a lower win percentage of 57.0% and has been less effective on grass, with a recent decline in performance. The head-to-head record is non-existent, but given their current forms and statistics, Humbert appears to have a significant edge.

U. Humbert — M. Bellucci Prediction

Considering the recent performances and statistical advantages, Ugo Humbert is favored to win this match. The prediction is for Humbert to take the match in straight sets, likely winning both sets decisively. The expected score is 2-0 in sets, with Humbert winning both sets 6-3.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Humbert 6-3, Humbert 6-3
  • Expected aces: 8
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Humbert will likely utilize his strong serve to dominate the points, aiming to pressure Bellucci early in each game. Bellucci's recent struggles suggest he may struggle to handle the pace and placement of Humbert's serves, leading to potential break opportunities for Humbert.

3 Reasons Why U. Humbert Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors U. Humbert 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors U. Humbert.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, U. Humbert has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Bellucci, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
23.06.2026 12:00 ATP Eastbourne
U. Humbert 2
M. Bellucci 0
84
23
42

Where to watch U. Humbert vs M. Bellucci

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