25.07.2026
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Miguel Tobon vs B. Tomic Prediction — 26.07.2026

Miguel Tobon flag
ATP - 501
Miguel Tobon - B. Tomic
Los Cabos
July 26, 2026 03:00
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B. Tomic flag
ATP - 194
Miguel Tobon

Player Overview

Miguel Tobon has faced a challenging season, currently exhibiting a career baseline win percentage near 43% on hard courts and reflecting a declining trajectory over the past two years. His recent performances have not shown signs of improvement, as he has lost all five of his last matches, suggesting difficulties in both confidence and execution.

His recent defeats include a string of straight-set losses, notably a 2-0 setback against F. Diaz Acosta in Milan and a competitive but ultimately unsuccessful match against M. Krumich at home. With no wins in his last ten matches, the pressure mounts as he faces B. Tomic, who is on a hot streak. Tobon will need to find a way to break his losing streak to stay competitive in Los Cabos.

Match results: Miguel Tobon

20 Jul 2026 Segovia
M. Gonzalez Fernandez
M. Tobon
2 1
6 7
6 3
7 6
L
13 Jul 2026 Pozoblanco
T. Pereira
M. Tobon
2 1
6 4
6 7
6 3
L
30 Jun 2026 Milan
F. Diaz Acosta
M. Tobon
2 0
6 2
6 2
L
22 Jun 2026 Targu Mures
M. Tobon
M. Krumich
1 2
4 6
6 4
4 6
L
15 Jun 2026 Parma
R. Seggerman
M. Tobon
2 1
6 4
3 6
L
14 Jun 2026 Parma
Y. Milev
M. Tobon
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
9 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
M. Tobon
A. Vasilev
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
8 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
P. Ricci
M. Tobon
0 1
W
7 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
P. Fajta
M. Tobon
0 1
3 6
W
1 Jun 2026 Perugia
M. Tobon
E. Dalla Valle
0 2
2 6
4 6
L
B. Tomic

Player Overview

B. Tomic has emerged as a formidable competitor, boasting a career baseline win percentage around 54% and currently climbing with a strong upward trend over the last two years. His recent Elo rating reflects a significant improvement, bolstered by a solid performance on hard surfaces, where he has achieved a notable success rate.

His last five matches tell a compelling story of dominance, including a decisive 3-1 victory against T. Boyer and a strong showing against M. Lajal, both on home turf. Tomic's confidence is palpable, and as he prepares to face Miguel Tobon, he carries the momentum of three consecutive wins. This match presents a clear opportunity for Tomic to extend his winning streak and capitalize on his opponent's struggles.

Match results: B. Tomic

22 Jul 2026 Bloomfield Hills
B. Tomic
T. Boyer
3 1
0 0
W
20 Jul 2026 Lincoln
B. Tomic
M. Lajal
2 1
4 6
7 6
7 6
W
19 Jul 2026 Lincoln
B. Tomic
S. Johnson
2 1
6 7
6 3
6 2
W
18 Jul 2026 Lincoln
M. Forbes
B. Tomic
0 2
6 7
3 6
W
16 Jul 2026 Lincoln
J. McCabe
B. Tomic
0 1
4 6
W
15 Jul 2026 Lincoln
Dar. Blanch
B. Tomic
0 2
4 6
3 6
W
9 Jul 2026 Newport
B. Tomic
A. Walton
1 2
4 6
6 4
2 6
L
8 Jul 2026 Newport
B. Tomic
B. Shick
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
30 Jun 2026 Cary
Wu Tung-Lin
B. Tomic
0 0
L
24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
B. Tomic
C. O'Connell
0 2
4 6
4 6
L

Players Analysis

M. Tobon has struggled in recent matches, losing 8 out of his last 10 games, with a particularly poor performance against lower-ranked opponents. In contrast, B. Tomic has shown better form, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory in the Lincoln Challenger. Tomic's recent success indicates a stronger competitive edge heading into this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall performance, B. Tomic has scored an average of 1.4 games per match in his last 10, while M. Tobon has only managed 0.8. This discrepancy in scoring reflects Tomic's superior form and ability to capitalize on break points. Additionally, Tobon's recent matches have seen him concede an average of 1.6 games, which could be a significant factor in this encounter.

M. Tobon — B. Tomic Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, B. Tomic is favored to win this match. His consistent performance and ability to secure victories against tougher opponents provide him with a significant advantage over M. Tobon, who has struggled to find form. The predicted outcome is a 2-0 victory for B. Tomic.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - B. Tomic, Set 2 - B. Tomic
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactics, B. Tomic is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his strong serve to gain early advantages in games. M. Tobon may struggle to respond effectively to Tomic's pressure, particularly if he fails to secure his own service games.

3 Reasons Why B. Tomic Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors B. Tomic 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors B. Tomic.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, B. Tomic has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Tobon, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
26.07.2026 03:00 Los Cabos
Miguel Tobon 0
B. Tomic 2
35
21
14

Where to watch Miguel Tobon vs B. Tomic

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • Tennis TV - Official streaming service for ATP matches, including Los Cabos tournament.
  • ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of tennis events.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides updates and broadcast information for tennis matches.
  • Official Los Cabos Open Website - Visit the official tournament website for information on matches and viewing options.