25.07.2026
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Lea Ma vs K. Swan Prediction — 25.07.2026

Lea Ma flag
ATP - 343
Lea Ma - K. Swan
Washington
July 25, 2026 20:30
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
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Seconds
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K. Swan flag
ATP - 269
Lea Ma

Player Overview

Lea Ma, currently navigating a challenging patch, has a career baseline win percentage hovering just below 56% on hard courts. Her trajectory over the last two years suggests a stable performance level, but recent results indicate a trend in the wrong direction. With a serve that has shown promise but lacks consistency, Ma's current form could be described as declining, as she struggles to find her footing against tougher competition.

In her last five matches, Ma has not secured a win, with her most recent outing resulting in a two-set loss to E. Mandlik. This followed a victory against L. Cabrera, which momentarily hinted at a turnaround. However, the absence of sets won in her last ten matches raises concerns about her readiness for the challenge ahead. As she faces K. Swan, Ma must capitalize on her home advantage and find a way to regain her competitive edge.

Match results: Lea Ma

17 Jul 2026 W75 Granby
E. Mandlik
L. Ma
2 1
6 3
4 6
6 1
W
15 Jul 2026 W75 Granby
L. Cabrera
L. Ma
1 2
2 6
6 3
W
14 Jul 2026 W75 Granby
L. Ma
H. Kaji
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
9 Jul 2026 Newport
M. Sawangkaew
L. Ma
2 0
6 2
6 3
L
8 Jul 2026 Newport
L. Ma
C. Ngounoue
1 0
6 4
W
4 Jul 2026 W100 Cary, NC
L. Ma
S. Broadus
0 2
L
2 Jul 2026 W100 Cary, NC
L. Ma
C. Ngounoue
2 1
6 4
2 6
7 5
W
30 Jun 2026 W100 Cary, NC
E. Kalieva
L. Ma
1 2
4 6
6 2
1 6
W
25 Jun 2026 W35 Rome, GA
J. Chan
L. Ma
3 0
30 0
L
24 Jun 2026 W35 Rome, GA
V. Martinez
L. Ma
0 1
3 6
L
K. Swan

Player Overview

Across the last 5 matches, K. Swan posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.

For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: K. Swan wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.

Match results: K. Swan

2 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
K. Swan
M. Keys
0 2
1 6
4 6
L
30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
I. Begu
K. Swan
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
12 Jun 2026 Ilkley
K. Swan
A. Krueger
0 1
1 6
L
12 Jun 2026 Ilkley
V. Golubic
K. Swan
0 1
4 6
W
10 Jun 2026 Ilkley
T. Martincova
K. Swan
0 2
5 7
2 6
W
4 Jun 2026 Birmingham
K. Swan
T. Preston
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
4 Jun 2026 Birmingham
A. Tomljanovic
K. Swan
2 3
0 0
W
17 May 2026 W75 Kurume
K. Swan
K. Okamura
2 0
7 5
6 1
W
16 May 2026 W75 Kurume
K. Swan
M. Yamaguchi
2 0
6 1
6 1
W
15 May 2026 W75 Kurume
K. Swan
S. Saito
2 0
6 4
6 4
W

Players Analysis

L. Ma has shown a mixed form recently, winning 6 out of her last 10 matches, with a notable victory against L. Cabrera and a couple of losses against stronger opponents. Her performance indicates a solid ability to compete, particularly in the earlier rounds of tournaments. On the other hand, K. Swan has been in better form, winning 7 out of her last 10 matches, including a strong showing at Wimbledon where she reached the later rounds. This recent success suggests that she is in good shape and has the confidence needed for this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall performance, K. Swan has a higher average of games won per match compared to L. Ma, with 1.5 goals for per game against L. Ma's 1.3. Furthermore, K. Swan has been more effective at limiting her opponents, conceding only 0.4 games per match compared to L. Ma's 0.9. This trend indicates that K. Swan not only wins more frequently but also does so with a greater margin, which could play a crucial role in their upcoming match.

L. Ma — K. Swan Prediction

Given the current form and statistical analysis, K. Swan is slightly favored to win this match against L. Ma. The prediction suggests a competitive match, likely going to three sets, with K. Swan taking the edge based on her recent performance and overall consistency.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: K. Swan, Set 2: L. Ma, Set 3: K. Swan
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactical expectations, K. Swan is likely to utilize her powerful serve to gain an early advantage in the match, aiming to secure quick points and put pressure on L. Ma. Conversely, L. Ma may focus on constructing points and exploiting any weaknesses in Swan's return game, particularly if she can extend rallies and create opportunities for break points.

3 Reasons Why K. Swan Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors K. Swan 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors K. Swan.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, K. Swan has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than L. Ma, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
25.07.2026 20:30 Washington
Lea Ma 1 0 1 0
K. Swan 2 1 0 1
34
21
45

Where to watch Lea Ma vs K. Swan

  • WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • Tennis Channel - Check Tennis Channel for broadcast details and streaming options for WTA matches.
  • ESPN - ESPN often broadcasts WTA events; check their schedule for availability.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates on tennis events, including WTA matches.
  • YouTube - WTA Channel - Watch highlights and live coverage of WTA matches on the official WTA YouTube channel.