25.07.2026
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Lea Ma vs A. Smith Prediction — 25.07.2026

Lea Ma flag
ATP - 343
Lea Ma - A. Smith
Washington
July 25, 2026 21:40
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
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Seconds
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A. Smith flag
ATP - 414
Lea Ma

Player Overview

Lea Ma has struggled to find her footing in recent tournaments, with a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. Currently, her form has been declining, as she has not secured a victory in her last five matches. This slide is evident from her recent performance, where she lost to opponents like Emina Mandlik and lost a tight match against K. Swan.

Her most recent outing ended in a disappointing draw, which highlights her ongoing battle to convert matches into wins. With no victories and a shaky trajectory, Ma faces a critical test against A. Smith. If she cannot turn her fortunes around, this match may further complicate her season.

Match results: Lea Ma

25 Jul 2026 WTA Washington
L. Ma
K. Swan
0 0
L
17 Jul 2026 W75 Granby
E. Mandlik
L. Ma
2 1
6 3
4 6
6 1
W
15 Jul 2026 W75 Granby
L. Cabrera
L. Ma
1 2
2 6
6 3
W
14 Jul 2026 W75 Granby
L. Ma
H. Kaji
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
9 Jul 2026 Newport
M. Sawangkaew
L. Ma
2 0
6 2
6 3
L
8 Jul 2026 Newport
L. Ma
C. Ngounoue
1 0
6 4
W
4 Jul 2026 W100 Cary, NC
L. Ma
S. Broadus
0 2
L
2 Jul 2026 W100 Cary, NC
L. Ma
C. Ngounoue
2 1
6 4
2 6
7 5
W
30 Jun 2026 W100 Cary, NC
E. Kalieva
L. Ma
1 2
4 6
6 2
1 6
W
25 Jun 2026 W35 Rome, GA
J. Chan
L. Ma
3 0
30 0
L
A. Smith

Player Overview

A. Smith has experienced a tumultuous patch, evident from her last five matches which have yielded only one win. Holding a career baseline win percentage of approximately 54%, her performance has been inconsistent, particularly on hard courts. While she secured a win against S. Jara, she fell to players like K. Collins and V. Ryser, indicating a lack of stability in her game.

Smith's recent matches have shown an inability to maintain leads, and her previous loss to K. Collins underscores this issue. With no wins in her last three outings before this clash, she will need to sharpen her focus against Ma. A victory here could provide a much-needed boost to her confidence and season outlook.

Match results: A. Smith

8 Jul 2026 Newport
K. Collins
A. Smith
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
5 Jul 2026 Newport
A. Smith
S. Jara
2 0
6 2
7 5
W
15 Jun 2026 Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification
V. Ryser
A. Smith
2 1
7 5
0 6
L
14 Jun 2026 Figueira Da Foz (Portugal) - Qualification
M. Liu
A. Smith
0 2
2 6
4 6
W
3 Jun 2026 W100 Sumter, SC
A. Smith
C. Ansari
0 2
5 7
3 6
L
17 May 2026 WTA Rabat
L. Zaar
A. Smith
2 0
6 2
6 4
L
16 May 2026 WTA Rabat
A. Smith
V. Bosio
2 0
6 1
6 3
W
14 May 2026 W35 Bethany Beach, DE
A. Smith
H. Klugman
0 2
3 6
2 6
L
13 May 2026 W35 Bethany Beach, DE
A. Smith
M. Iyengar
2 0
7 5
6 1
W
6 May 2026 W100 Indian Harbour Beach, FL
A. Akli
A. Smith
1 0
7 5
L

Players Analysis

L. Ma has shown a mixed form in her recent matches, winning 5 out of her last 10 matches. Her victories include a notable win against L. Cabrera, where she won 2-1. However, she also suffered losses against E. Mandlik and M. Sawangkaew, indicating some inconsistency. On the other hand, A. Smith has had a slightly better recent performance, winning 6 out of her last 10 matches, including a strong showing in the Newport tournament where she reached the final. This suggests that A. Smith may have a slight edge in terms of current form.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall performance, L. Ma has scored an average of 1.3 sets per match in her last 10 games, while A. Smith has averaged 0.9 sets per match. This indicates that L. Ma has been more competitive in her recent fixtures. However, A. Smith's recent form, particularly her ability to win matches, suggests she may capitalize on any weaknesses in L. Ma's game. Additionally, with no head-to-head matches available between the two players, the outcome remains uncertain, but A. Smith's recent success could play a crucial role in this matchup.

L. Ma — A. Smith Prediction

Considering the recent forms and performances of both players, A. Smith is predicted to win this match. L. Ma's inconsistency may be exploited by A. Smith, who has been more reliable in her recent outings.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: A. Smith, Set 2: L. Ma, Set 3: A. Smith
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 5

A. Smith is likely to focus on her strong serve to gain an early advantage, while L. Ma may need to improve her return game to counter A. Smith's powerful shots. The match could be closely contested, especially in the second set if L. Ma finds her rhythm.

3 Reasons Why A. Smith Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Smith 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Smith.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Smith has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than L. Ma, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
25.07.2026 21:40 Washington
Lea Ma 1 0 1 0
A. Smith 2 1 0 1
45
23
35

Where to watch Lea Ma vs A. Smith

  • WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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  • ESPN - Visit ESPN for coverage and broadcast information on tennis events, including the WTA.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides updates and broadcast information for tennis matches.
  • Live Tennis Streaming - WTA - Official WTA live streaming page for watching matches online.