23.06.2026
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M. L. Carle vs J. Vandromme Prediction — 24.06.2026

M. L. Carle flag
WTA - 209
M. L. Carle - J. Vandromme
WTA Wimbledon Semi-finals
June 24, 2026 16:30
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J. Vandromme flag
WTA - 179
M. L. Carle

Player Overview

M. L. Carle has demonstrated a career marked by resilience, with a win percentage hovering near 60.8% across 505 matches. However, her recent form tells a different story; the last two years have seen her win rate dip to 48.8%, indicating a struggle to find consistency. She is currently stable but facing challenges, particularly on grass, where her Elo rating stands significantly lower at 1462.

Carle's recent performances reflect this dichotomy. She secured a win against L. Havlickova at Wimbledon, showcasing her potential, but earlier losses to players like A. Firman and R. Sramkova highlight vulnerabilities. With no recent wins in her last five matches before Wimbledon, expectations are tempered; she needs to capitalize on this opportunity to gain traction in the tournament.

Match results: M. L. Carle

23 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
M. L. Carle
L. Havlickova
2 1
7 5
5 7
6 4
W
16 Jun 2026 W75 Blois
A. Firman
M. L. Carle
2 0
6 3
6 2
L
22 May 2026 WTA French Open
R. Sramkova
M. L. Carle
2 1
6 4
5 7
6 2
L
20 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. L. Carle
M. Timofeeva
2 1
2 6
6 0
6 4
W
19 May 2026 WTA French Open
R. Masarova
M. L. Carle
1 2
3 6
6 4
3 6
W
5 May 2026 W100 Indian Harbour Beach, FL
M. L. Carle
B. Palicova
0 1
1 6
L
1 May 2026 W100 Bonita Springs, FL
M. Stoiana
M. L. Carle
2 1
6 4
1 6
6 4
L
30 Apr 2026 W100 Bonita Springs, FL
M. L. Carle
A. Rogers
2 0
6 3
6 0
W
28 Apr 2026 W100 Bonita Springs, FL
A. Penickova
M. L. Carle
1 2
6 3
4 6
5 7
W
23 Apr 2026 W100 Charlottesville, VA
M. L. Carle
M. Capurro Taborda
1 2
3 6
6 3
2 6
L
J. Vandromme

Player Overview

J. Vandromme enters this match with a career win percentage of 71.3%, underscoring her status as a formidable competitor. Over the last two years, she has excelled with a 76.9% win rate, though her recent form shows signs of decline, with a win percentage of 60% in the last five matches. Her Elo rating of 2033 reflects her capabilities, particularly on hard courts.

Vandromme's recent match history is a mix of triumph and frustration. Winning convincingly against Y. Yuan at Wimbledon was a highlight, yet losses against A. Aksu and K. Quevedo suggest cracks in her recent game. As she prepares to face Carle, the challenge lies in regaining the form that has defined her success, especially after a significant win-loss ratio in the last ten matches that raises questions about her current trajectory.

Match results: J. Vandromme

23 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Vandromme
Y. Yuan
2 1
4 6
6 0
6 2
W
19 Jun 2026 Figueira Da Foz (Afonso Portugal) - Qualification
J. Vandromme
A. Aksu
1 2
5 7
6 1
4 6
L
18 Jun 2026 Figueira Da Foz (Afonso Portugal) - Qualification
J. Vandromme
V. Ryser
1 0
6 1
W
16 Jun 2026 Figueira Da Foz (Afonso Portugal) - Qualification
J. Vandromme
A. Zamarripa
2 1
3 6
7 5
W
10 Jun 2026 Modena (Italy) - Qualification
K. Quevedo
J. Vandromme
2 1
6 3
3 6
6 4
L
8 Jun 2026 Modena (Italy) - Qualification
J. Vandromme
A. Fita Boluda
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
19 May 2026 WTA French Open
J. Vandromme
A. Ito
0 2
5 7
5 7
L
6 May 2026 W75 Saint-Gaudens
J. Vandromme
K. Zavatska
0 1
2 6
L
2 May 2026 W100 Wiesbaden
J. Vandromme
N. Noha Akugue
0 1
4 6
L
1 May 2026 W100 Wiesbaden
J. Vandromme
S. Kraus
2 1
2 6
7 5
7 5
W

Players Analysis

Maria Lourdes Carle has shown a mixed form recently, with a win rate of 40% in her last ten matches. Her performance in the WTA French Open, where she reached the semi-finals, indicates her capability to compete at a high level. However, she has struggled against higher-ranked opponents, as seen in her recent losses. On the other hand, Jeline Vandromme has been in better form, boasting a win rate of 80% in her last ten matches, including a strong showing in the WTA Wimbledon quarter-finals. Her recent victories against competitive players suggest she is in good shape heading into this semi-final.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, Maria Lourdes Carle has recorded 45 aces and 448 double faults over her recent matches, indicating a struggle with consistency on serve. Her first serve percentage is decent at 68.2%, but her second serve win percentage is lower at 38.1%. Conversely, Jeline Vandromme has a higher ace count of 110 and a lower double fault count of 210, showcasing her stronger serving ability. Vandromme's first serve win percentage is also higher at 65.2%, which could give her an edge in this match. The absence of head-to-head matches between these players makes it difficult to predict outcomes based on past encounters, but current form heavily favors Vandromme.

M. L. Carle — J. Vandromme Prediction

Given the recent forms and serve statistics, Jeline Vandromme is favored to win this semi-final match against Maria Lourdes Carle. Vandromme's superior recent performance and serving statistics suggest she will likely dominate the match. The predicted score is 2-0 in sets, with Vandromme winning both sets convincingly.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Vandromme 1st set, Vandromme 2nd set
  • Expected aces: 6
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

Strategically, Vandromme is expected to leverage her strong serve to put pressure on Carle from the outset. If she can maintain her first serve percentage and capitalize on break points, she should be able to secure a straightforward victory. Carle will need to find a way to disrupt Vandromme's rhythm, but given her recent struggles, this will be a challenging task.

3 Reasons Why J. Vandromme Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors J. Vandromme 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors J. Vandromme.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, J. Vandromme has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. L. Carle, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
24.06.2026 16:30 WTA Wimbledon
M. L. Carle 0
J. Vandromme 2
36
22
24

Where to watch M. L. Carle vs J. Vandromme

  • WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and live updates for Wimbledon matches.
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  • Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website provides information on matches, schedules, and viewing options.