23.06.2026
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A. Moro Canas vs H. Mayot Prediction — 24.06.2026

A. Moro Canas flag
ATP - 242
A. Moro Canas - H. Mayot
ATP Wimbledon Semi-finals
June 24, 2026 12:00
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H. Mayot flag
ATP - 167
A. Moro Canas

Player Overview

A. Moro Canas has a career record of 188 wins and 146 losses, translating to a 56.3% win rate. Currently, he has been slightly below his best with a 53.3% win rate over the last two years, indicating a steady but unremarkable trajectory. His serve identity shows he can win 66% of his first serves, yet he struggles to convert second serves effectively, winning just over half of those points. His Elo rating of 1840 suggests he remains competitive, particularly on hard courts, but his grass court performance, with an Elo of 1517, raises concerns for this tournament.

In his recent matches, Canas has been inconsistent, losing two of his last five outings, including a defeat to K. Coppejans at the Lyon event. His only recent victory came against F. Comesana, which provides a glimmer of hope. With a recent win percentage of just 40% in the last ten matches, Canas needs to stabilize his performance quickly to contend effectively at Wimbledon. The pressure will be on him to find his rhythm against H. Mayot, who has shown signs of improvement.

Match results: A. Moro Canas

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
F. Comesana
A. Moro Canas
1 2
6 4
4 6
W
15 Jun 2026 Royan
C. Sanchez Jover
A. Moro Canas
2 1
1 6
6 4
L
10 Jun 2026 Lyon
A. Moro Canas
K. Coppejans
0 2
1 6
1 6
L
9 Jun 2026 Lyon
C. Hemery
A. Moro Canas
0 1
3 6
W
5 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
A. Moro Canas
H. Squire
0 1
3 6
L
3 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
M. Schoenhaus
A. Moro Canas
0 2
3 6
4 6
W
2 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
M. Petkovic
A. Moro Canas
0 2
1 6
3 6
W
26 May 2026 Vicenza
S. Travaglia
A. Moro Canas
2 0
6 3
6 3
L
20 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Moro Canas
L. Neumayer
0 2
1 6
3 6
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Moro Canas
S. Napolitano
2 1
4 6
6 0
W
H. Mayot

Player Overview

H. Mayot brings a career win percentage of 54.5% to Wimbledon, backed by a slightly better 54.9% over the past two years. His recent trend is improving, with an impressive 80% win rate in his last five matches, which includes a victory over N. Moreno De Alboran. Mayot's Elo rating of 1888 indicates he is currently more competitive than his opponent, especially on grass, where he holds a solid 1520 rating. His serve statistics show he wins 70.1% of first serve points, which can be crucial in tight matches.

Mayot's recent matches reveal a mixed bag; he has won two of his last five, but his latest victory suggests he is on an upward trajectory heading into this contest. Although he faced setbacks against T. Kokkinakis and P. Henning, the victory against N. Moreno De Alboran could be a turning point. Mayot must leverage his recent form and serve effectively to challenge A. Moro Canas, who has struggled lately. The matchup presents an opportunity for Mayot to assert himself in this tournament.

Match results: H. Mayot

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
N. Moreno De Alboran
H. Mayot
0 2
2 6
2 6
W
14 Jun 2026 Dublin (Jon Ireland) - Qualification
H. Mayot
T. Kokkinakis
1 2
4 6
6 3
L
6 Jun 2026 Centurion 2 (South Africa) - Qualification
H. Mayot
P. Henning
0 2
1 6
4 6
L
5 Jun 2026 Centurion 2 (South Africa) - Qualification
H. Mayot
E. Coulibaly
2 0
7 5
6 4
W
3 Jun 2026 Centurion 2 (South Africa) - Qualification
H. Mayot
Semen Pankin
2 1
6 3
4 6
6 3
W
1 Jun 2026 Centurion 2 (South Africa) - Qualification
H. Mayot
Y. Takahashi
1 0
6 0
W
27 May 2026 Centurion (South Africa) - Qualification
H. Mayot
Semen Pankin
1 2
6 3
3 6
L
25 May 2026 Centurion (South Africa) - Qualification
H. Mayot
M. Hurrion
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
19 May 2026 ATP French Open
H. Mayot
Tomas Barrios Vera
1 2
4 6
6 1
3 6
L
12 May 2026 Tunis
G. A. Bailly
H. Mayot
2 1
4 6
6 0
6 1
L

Players Analysis

Alejandro Moro Canas has had a challenging recent form, winning only 4 of his last 10 matches. His performance on clay has been particularly inconsistent, with a win percentage of 40% in his last 10 outings. In contrast, Harold Mayot has shown a significant improvement, winning 6 of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance in his recent matches on hard courts, where he has a win percentage of 80% in his last 5 matches.

Both players are looking to capitalize on their strengths; Moro Canas has a solid serve with a career ace percentage of 3.7%, while Mayot has a higher ace percentage of 7.0%. This match will be crucial for both players as they aim to secure a place in the finals of the ATP Wimbledon.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall match statistics, Alejandro Moro Canas has a career win percentage of 56.3%, while Harold Mayot has a slightly lower win percentage of 54.5%. However, Mayot's recent form indicates an upward trend, especially on hard surfaces, which could give him an edge in this matchup. Additionally, Moro Canas has struggled with double faults, averaging 3.3% in his recent matches, compared to Mayot's 3.4%. The absence of head-to-head matches between these two players adds an element of unpredictability to the fixture.

Given the surface and their recent performances, Mayot's higher recent win percentage and better serve statistics suggest he may have the upper hand in this semi-final clash.

A. Moro Canas — H. Mayot Prediction

This match is expected to be competitive, with Harold Mayot slightly favored due to his recent form and higher ace percentage. The predicted score is 3 sets to 1 in favor of Mayot, reflecting his stronger performance in recent matches.

  • Final score in sets: 3-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: H. Mayot, Set 2: A. Moro Canas, Set 3: H. Mayot, Set 4: H. Mayot
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 5
  • Break points: 7

In terms of tactics, Mayot is likely to employ aggressive baseline play, utilizing his powerful serve to gain an early advantage in points. Moro Canas will need to focus on returning effectively and capitalizing on any break point opportunities to stay competitive in the match.

3 Reasons Why H. Mayot Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors H. Mayot 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors H. Mayot.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, H. Mayot has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Moro Canas, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
24.06.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon
A. Moro Canas 1
H. Mayot 3
510
64
37

Where to watch A. Moro Canas vs H. Mayot

  • ATP Official Website - Visit the official ATP website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for match details and broadcast options.
  • ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage of ATP events, including Wimbledon. Check for broadcast details.
  • Tennis Channel - The Tennis Channel offers live coverage and updates for ATP tournaments.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and live updates for Wimbledon matches.