23.06.2026
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J. Faria vs L. Pavlovic Prediction — 24.06.2026

J. Faria flag
ATP - 119
J. Faria - L. Pavlovic
ATP Wimbledon Semi-finals
June 24, 2026 12:00
Days
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Hours
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L. Pavlovic flag
ATP - 218
J. Faria

Player Overview

J. Faria, with a career win percentage of nearly 59%, has found his stride on the grass, reflected in a recent uptick in form. Over the last two years, he has won 56 out of 99 matches, maintaining a solid 56.6% success rate. Notably, his last five matches have seen him winning at an impressive 80% clip, showcasing a growing confidence in his game.

Faria's recent performances highlight a mixed bag. His victory against Hugo Grenier at Wimbledon suggests he is adapting well to the grass, following a disappointing loss to Ze Zhang in Nottingham. With his current trajectory, Faria appears poised to make a significant impact in this match against Pavlovic, especially considering his strong serve and return identity, which should serve him well on this surface.

Match results: J. Faria

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
J. Faria
H. Grenier
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
16 Jun 2026 Nottingham
J. Faria
Ze Zhang
0 2
4 6
5 7
L
15 Jun 2026 Nottingham
J. Faria
M. Echargui
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
30 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Faria
F. Tiafoe
1 2
6 4
1 6
2 6
L
28 May 2026 ATP French Open
J-L. Struff
J. Faria
0 2
5 7
2 6
W
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Faria
D. Shapovalov
3 0
6 4
7 5
6 4
W
21 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Faria
L. Neumayer
1 0
6 3
W
20 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Faria
C. Smith
2 1
6 1
3 6
6 3
W
19 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Faria
G. Dimitrov
2 1
3 6
7 5
W
15 May 2026 Oeiras 6
J. Faria
E. Nava
0 1
2 6
L
L. Pavlovic

Player Overview

L. Pavlovic has struggled to find his footing lately, with a career win percentage of 53.9% and a declining form trend that has seen him win just 40% of his last ten matches. His Elo rating of 1808 reflects a player who has seen better days, and his recent performances have mostly been underwhelming, particularly on grass where he holds a modest 28.6% win rate.

Recent results have been telling. Pavlovic's victory against M. Lajal at Wimbledon was a welcome relief, but it came after a series of losses, including a tough defeat to Daniel Elahi Galan. With a current form of just 54.4% over the last two years, he enters this match with warning signs flashing. If he can't find a way to elevate his performance, Faria may exploit his weaknesses effectively.

Match results: L. Pavlovic

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
M. Lajal
L. Pavlovic
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
8 Jun 2026 Lyon
L. Pavlovic
D. E. Galan
0 1
2 6
L
2 Jun 2026 Prostejov
N. Sanchez Izquierdo
L. Pavlovic
2 1
6 3
4 6
6 3
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Fonseca
L. Pavlovic
2 0
6 4
6 2
L
22 May 2026 ATP French Open
Dar. Blanch
L. Pavlovic
0 2
2 6
4 6
W
20 May 2026 ATP French Open
L. Pavlovic
Tomas Barrios Vera
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
19 May 2026 ATP French Open
L. Pavlovic
H. Wendelken
2 1
3 6
6 2
W
11 May 2026 Zagreb
J. Reis Da Silva
L. Pavlovic
2 0
6 4
6 1
L
28 Apr 2026 Ostrava
L. Pavlovic
V. Sachko
1 2
4 6
6 2
4 6
L
20 Apr 2026 Rome
H. Bernet
L. Pavlovic
2 0
6 3
6 4
L

Players Analysis

Jaime Faria has shown a strong performance recently, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a solid victory in the quarter-finals at Wimbledon. His recent form indicates improvement, especially on clay, where he has a win percentage of 80% in his last five matches. In contrast, Luka Pavlovic has struggled lately, winning only 4 out of his last 10 matches, with a concerning decline in form, particularly evident in his recent matches at the French Open.

Faria's serve statistics are impressive, with an ace percentage of 8.2% and a double fault percentage of 6.0%. Pavlovic, while having a higher ace percentage of 12.8%, has also been less consistent, with a double fault percentage of 5.5%. This serves as a crucial factor in their matchup, especially on grass, where serve reliability can dictate the flow of the match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Faria's recent performances have been characterized by strong serving and a solid return game, with a break point saved percentage of 56.8%. His ability to win points on his first serve (72.5%) gives him an edge in pressure situations. On the other hand, Pavlovic's recent form shows a decline, with only a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, and he has faced difficulties in converting break points, with a saved percentage of 67.2%. The head-to-head record is non-existent, but Faria's current ranking and form suggest he is the favorite in this matchup.

J. Faria — L. Pavlovic Prediction

Considering the recent form and statistics, Jaime Faria is predicted to win this match against Luka Pavlovic. Faria's consistent performance and higher win percentage on grass give him a significant advantage. The match is expected to be competitive, but Faria's serving capabilities and recent form should lead him to victory.

  • Final score in sets: 3-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: J. Faria, Set 2: J. Faria, Set 3: J. Faria
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 4
  • Break points: 5

Faria's strategy will likely focus on aggressive serving and taking control of the points early. He will aim to exploit Pavlovic's weaknesses on return games, especially given Pavlovic's recent struggles. If Faria can maintain his serve and pressure Pavlovic consistently, he should secure a straightforward victory.

3 Reasons Why Jaime Faria Will Win

  • Recent Form: Faria has won 7 of his last 10 matches, showcasing a strong upward trend in performance, while Pavlovic has only won 4 of his last 10, indicating a decline.
  • Serve Reliability: Faria's ace percentage of 8.2% and first serve win rate of 72.5% provide him with a solid foundation to dominate service games, compared to Pavlovic's 12.8% ace rate but lower overall consistency.
  • Surface Advantage: Faria's recent success on grass and his ability to handle pressure situations effectively give him a slight edge over Pavlovic, who has struggled to convert break points in recent matches.
Match Prediction
24.06.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon
J. Faria 3
L. Pavlovic 0
105
43
52

Where to watch J. Faria vs L. Pavlovic

  • ATP Official Website - Visit the official ATP website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon site for details on match timings and broadcast options.
  • ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage of ATP events, including Wimbledon. Check for local listings.
  • Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel offers live coverage and replays of ATP matches, including Wimbledon.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides updates and live coverage of Wimbledon matches.