23.06.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

B. Tomic vs C. O’Connell Prediction — 24.06.2026

John Kane Football Edge Director

ATP - 194

B. Tomic - C. O'Connell

ATP Wimbledon Semi-finals

June 24, 2026 • 12:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 150

B. Tomic

Player Overview

Bernard Tomic, with a career win percentage of 55% and a recent two-year win rate of 54%, is navigating a challenging phase in his career. Despite a solid history on grass, reflected in his Elo rating of 1622, Tomic has struggled to maintain consistency, particularly evident in his fluctuating form trend, which shows improvement over his last five matches but a stark drop-off in his last ten.

His recent matches paint a troubling picture, with only one victory against K. Uchida in his last five outings, leaving Tomic with a daunting task ahead. As he faces Chris O'Connell, who has secured multiple wins recently, Tomic will need to leverage his serve to disrupt O'Connell's rhythm, a critical factor if he hopes to capitalize on his grass court experience.

Match results: B. Tomic

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

K. Uchida

B. Tomic

0 2

3 6

2 6

16 Jun 2026 Dublin (Jon Ireland) - Qualification

B. Tomic

C. Gannon

0 1

4 6

7 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

B. Bonzi

B. Tomic

2 0

6 2

7 5

6 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

A. Deckers

B. Tomic

0 2

2 6

3 6

3 Jun 2026 Tyler

B. Tomic

H. Matsuoka

0 2

30 May 2026 Little Rock

M. Mmoh

B. Tomic

2 0

6 3

27 May 2026 Little Rock

Y. Shimizu

B. Tomic

1 2

6 4

5 7

25 May 2026 Little Rock

B. Bicknell

B. Tomic

1 2

6 3

4 6

20 May 2026 ATP French Open

Federico Cina

B. Tomic

2 0

6 2

6 4

18 May 2026 ATP French Open

B. Tomic

M. Echargui

2 1

3 6

7 5

6 3

C. O'Connell

Player Overview

Chris O'Connell is establishing himself as a formidable opponent with a current Elo rating that reflects his rising status in the game. While specific statistics on his serve and return game are not available, his recent performances indicate a solid grasp of the grass surfaces, particularly following a string of victories in Nottingham and at Wimbledon, showcasing his ability to adapt and perform under pressure.

O'Connell's recent form has been impressive, with five consecutive wins, including a decisive victory against J. J. Schwaerzler in his last match. This upward trajectory suggests that he is not only confident but also well-prepared for Tomic. Facing a player with a fluctuating performance like Tomic, O'Connell will aim to maintain his momentum and capitalize on any lapses from his opponent.

Match results: C. O'Connell

22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

J. J. Schwaerzler

C. O'Connell

0 1

4 6

20 Jun 2026 Nottingham

O. Virtanen

C. O'Connell

0 2

19 Jun 2026 Nottingham

R. Bertola

C. O'Connell

0 2

4 6

5 7

18 Jun 2026 Nottingham

C. O'Connell

B. Bonzi

2 0

6 4

17 Jun 2026 Nottingham

C. O'Connell

J. Clarke

2 1

4 6

6 4

15 Jun 2026 Nottingham

H. Rocha

C. O'Connell

0 1

1 6

10 Jun 2026 Ilkley

Dar. Blanch

C. O'Connell

2 1

4 6

6 3

3 Jun 2026 Birmingham

E. Ymer

C. O'Connell

1 0

6 3

18 May 2026 ATP French Open

F. Diaz Acosta

C. O'Connell

2 1

4 6

6 4

12 May 2026 Valencia

D. Lajovic

C. O'Connell

2 0

6 4

6 3

Players Analysis

Bernard Tomic has had a challenging recent form, with only 4 wins in his last 10 matches, including a loss in the quarter-finals of the ATP Wimbledon. His performance has been inconsistent, particularly in high-stakes matches. In contrast, Christopher O'Connell has shown a better form recently, winning 6 of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance in the quarter-finals where he secured a straight-sets victory.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, Tomic has a career ace percentage of 9.1% and a double fault percentage of 2.4%, which indicates he can serve effectively but has also been prone to errors. O'Connell, on the other hand, has been more reliable in recent matches, winning 71.5% of his first serve points. The head-to-head record is currently unavailable, but O'Connell's recent form and higher win percentage in the last 10 matches suggest he may have the upper hand in this matchup.

B. Tomic — C. O'Connell Prediction

This match is expected to be competitive, but Christopher O'Connell's recent form gives him a slight edge over Bernard Tomic. O'Connell's ability to win crucial points and maintain a higher first serve percentage could be decisive in this semi-final match.

Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: C. O'Connell, 2nd set: B. Tomic, 3rd set: C. O'Connell, 4th set: C. O'Connell
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 5
Break points: 6

O'Connell's strategy will likely focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his serve to set up easy points. Tomic may need to rely on his experience and shot-making ability to counter O'Connell's momentum, particularly in the crucial moments of each set.

3 Reasons Why C. O'Connell Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors C. O'Connell 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors C. O'Connell.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, C. O'Connell has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than B. Tomic, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

24.06.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon

B. Tomic 1

C. O'Connell 3

1012

Where to watch B. Tomic vs C. O'Connell

ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
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