22.06.2026
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G. Maristany vs J. Ortenzi Prediction — 23.06.2026

G. Maristany flag
ATP - 189
G. Maristany - J. Ortenzi
Wimbledon
June 23, 2026 12:00
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J. Ortenzi flag
ATP - 169
G. Maristany

Player Overview

Gabriela Maristany, with a career win percentage of 58% and a solid 56.8% over her last two years, is showing signs of improvement. Her Elo rating of 1994 reflects her competitive stature, particularly on clay where she boasts a 69.7% win rate in lower-tier tournaments. This upward trajectory is evident in her last five matches, where she secured four victories, indicating her growing confidence.

In her recent outings, Maristany has split her last five matches, with a notable win against Emma Mandlik at the W75 Zaragoza, while suffering a disappointing loss to Karla Quevedo at the WTA French Open. Her recent form suggests she is gaining momentum, yet the loss to J. Ruggeri highlights potential vulnerabilities. As she heads into this Wimbledon matchup, her ability to capitalize on her recent success will be crucial.

Match results: G. Maristany

30 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
J. Ruggeri
G. Maristany
2 0
7 5
6 4
L
29 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
G. Maristany
E. Mandlik
2 0
7 5
6 0
W
28 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
G. Maristany
Ares Teixido Garcia
2 0
6 1
6 0
W
27 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
G. Maristany
A. Tikhonova
2 0
6 2
6 4
W
22 May 2026 WTA French Open
G. Maristany
K. Quevedo
1 2
6 3
4 6
3 6
L
20 May 2026 WTA French Open
K. Juvan
G. Maristany
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
19 May 2026 WTA French Open
G. Maristany
J. Belgraver
2 0
6 4
6 1
W
9 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
D. Vekic
G. Maristany
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
8 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
L. Pigossi
G. Maristany
0 2
0 6
2 6
W
6 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
S. Hunter
G. Maristany
0 2
2 6
1 6
W
J. Ortenzi

Player Overview

Gian Marco Ortenzi has built a career win rate of 64.7% and is currently performing at 62.1% over the past two years, indicating her competitive edge. With an Elo rating of 1904, she shows promise on both clay and hard courts but has struggled on grass, where her performance lingers around a win percentage of 40% in recent tournaments. Her serve game is respectable, with a first serve win percentage of 58.6%, reflecting her potential to challenge opponents.

Ortenzi's recent form has been uneven, marked by a recent loss against E. Yaneva in qualification matches, which raises concerns about her stability. She did manage a win against Francesca Pace, but her overall results in the last five matches leave room for improvement. As she approaches this clash with Maristany, her ability to find consistency will be crucial if she hopes to advance in the tournament.

Match results: J. Ortenzi

18 Jun 2026 Brescia (Italy) - Qualification
J. Ortenzi
E. Yaneva
0 2
2 6
1 6
L
16 Jun 2026 Brescia (Italy) - Qualification
J. Ortenzi
F. Pace
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
8 Jun 2026 Modena (Italy) - Qualification
K. Quevedo
J. Ortenzi
2 0
6 3
6 4
L
7 Jun 2026 Modena (Italy) - Qualification
J. Ortenzi
V. Turini
2 1
0 6
7 5
6 0
W
4 Jun 2026 W75 Caserta
J. Ortenzi
M. Lombardini
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
3 Jun 2026 W75 Caserta
J. Ortenzi
B. Ricci
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
20 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Korneeva
J. Ortenzi
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 2
L
18 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Rus
J. Ortenzi
1 2
4 6
6 1
W
9 May 2026 W100 Indian Harbour Beach, FL
K. Liutova
J. Ortenzi
2 1
6 1
2 6
L
8 May 2026 W100 Indian Harbour Beach, FL
J. Ortenzi
E. Kalieva
2 1
6 4
5 7
6 3
W

Players Analysis

Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales has shown strong form recently, winning 7 out of her last 10 matches, including a notable victory against Jan Mandlik. Her recent performances indicate a solid ability to dominate her opponents, particularly on clay surfaces. In contrast, Jazmin Ortenzi has also been performing well, with a similar win rate in her last 10 matches. However, she has faced tougher competition, resulting in a slightly lower overall win percentage.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Maristany's serve statistics reveal an ace percentage of 1.2% and a double fault percentage of 4.6%, indicating a reliable serve. Ortenzi, while also consistent, has a slightly higher ace percentage at 1.3% but a comparable double fault percentage of 4.2%. The head-to-head record shows no previous encounters, making this match a fresh contest. Given the players' recent form and serve reliability, Maristany appears to have a slight edge.

G. Maristany — J. Ortenzi Prediction

This match is expected to be competitive, but Guiomar Maristany is favored to win based on her recent form and serve reliability. The predicted score is 2-1 in sets, with Maristany taking the first set and Ortenzi responding in the second before Maristany closes out the match in the third.

  • Final score in sets: 2-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: G. Maristany, Set 2: J. Ortenzi, Set 3: G. Maristany
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 4

Maristany's ability to maintain pressure on her opponent's serve will be crucial, particularly in the deciding set. If she can capitalize on break points and maintain her first serve percentage, she should secure the victory.

3 Reasons Why G. Maristany Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors G. Maristany 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors G. Maristany.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, G. Maristany has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J. Ortenzi, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
23.06.2026 12:00 Wimbledon
G. Maristany 2 1 0 1
J. Ortenzi 1 0 1 0
54
33
43

Where to watch G. Maristany vs J. Ortenzi

  • Wimbledon Official Website - Official site for Wimbledon with match schedules, live updates, and broadcast information.
  • ESPN Tennis Coverage - ESPN's official tennis page providing coverage and broadcast details for Wimbledon.
  • BBC Sport - Wimbledon - BBC Sport's official page for Wimbledon, including live coverage and match information.
  • Tennis Channel - Official Tennis Channel website with information on live broadcasts and streaming options.
  • YouTube - Wimbledon Channel - Official Wimbledon YouTube channel featuring highlights and live coverage.