22.06.2026
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E. Lys vs E. Navarro Prediction — 23.06.2026

E. Lys flag
WTA - 80
E. Lys - E. Navarro
WTA Bad Homburg 1/16-finals
June 23, 2026 11:00
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E. Navarro flag
WTA - 15
E. Lys

Player Overview

Elina Lys has a career baseline win percentage of 58.3%, but her current two-year trajectory shows a decline, with a win percentage of just 53.5%. Her recent form trend is troubling, with a win rate of only 40% over the last five matches. While she has the experience and ability to compete, her recent struggles on the court have left her ranking vulnerable, particularly on grass where her Elo rating sits at 1534.

In her last five outings, Lys has not secured a single victory, including losses to players like Elina Svitolina and Sorana Cirstea. With a disappointing 30% win rate over her last ten matches, she enters this fixture against Emma Navarro under significant pressure. Without a win since late May, Lys needs to rediscover her rhythm quickly to avoid another early exit in this tournament.

Match results: E. Lys

18 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
E. Svitolina
E. Lys
2 0
6 3
6 2
L
16 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
M. Frech
E. Lys
0 1
3 6
W
27 May 2026 WTA French Open
E. Lys
S. Cirstea
0 2
3 6
0 6
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
P. Marcinko
E. Lys
0 2
3 6
0 6
W
16 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
T. Gibson
E. Lys
2 1
6 2
3 6
6 0
L
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
N. Osaka
E. Lys
2 1
6 4
4 6
6 3
L
6 May 2026 WTA Rome
K. Boulter
E. Lys
1 2
4 6
6 3
4 6
W
22 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
S. Zhang
E. Lys
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
15 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Lys
E. Svitolina
0 2
1 6
0 6
L
14 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Lys
P. Badosa
2 1
2 6
7 5
6 4
W
E. Navarro

Player Overview

Emma Navarro has a solid career baseline win percentage of 61.7% and is currently showing improved form with a two-year win percentage of 54.4%. Her recent performance has been particularly impressive, with a win rate of 80% in her last five matches, bolstered by her strong grass court Elo rating of 1710. Navarro's serve has been effective, and her ability to win points on both first and second serves adds to her competitive edge.

Navarro's recent matches include a notable win against Viktorija Golubic and a string of victories at the WTA Nottingham, where she demonstrated her capacity to close out matches decisively. With a recent draw against Sara Bejlek and a loss to Marie Bouzkova, she will look to capitalize on Lys's vulnerabilities. The challenge against Lys represents an opportunity for Navarro to continue her upward trajectory and secure a place deeper in the tournament.

Match results: E. Navarro

21 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
M. Bouzkova
E. Navarro
2 1
4 6
6 2
L
20 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
E. Navarro
V. Golubic
1 0
6 2
W
19 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
J. Bouzas Maneiro
E. Navarro
0 1
2 6
W
17 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
Y. Starodubtseva
E. Navarro
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
15 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
S. Bejlek
E. Navarro
0 0
L
15 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
A. Bondar
E. Navarro
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
10 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
E. Navarro
C. McNally
1 2
6 4
0 6
4 6
L
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
I. Jovic
E. Navarro
2 0
6 0
6 3
L
26 May 2026 WTA French Open
E. Navarro
J. Tjen
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
23 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
V. Mboko
E. Navarro
1 2
0 6
7 5
2 6
W

Players Analysis

Eva Lys has struggled in her recent matches, with a win rate of only 30% over her last ten matches. Her performance on clay has been particularly disappointing, as evidenced by her recent losses at the French Open and other clay tournaments. In contrast, Emma Navarro has shown a marked improvement, boasting a 70% win rate in her last ten matches, including a recent victory in the Strasbourg final. Navarro's recent form indicates she is in better shape heading into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, Eva Lys has recorded 52 aces and 254 double faults over the last two years, indicating a struggle with her service game. Emma Navarro, however, has a more favorable ratio with 113 aces and 264 double faults, showcasing her ability to serve effectively under pressure. Additionally, Navarro has a higher first serve win percentage at 63% compared to Lys's 60%. This could play a crucial role in their upcoming match.

E. Lys — E. Navarro Prediction

Considering the recent form and serve statistics, Emma Navarro is favored to win this match against Eva Lys. Navarro's consistent performance and higher win percentage on clay give her a significant edge. The predicted score is likely to reflect Navarro's stronger form and serve reliability.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Emma Navarro, Set 2 - Emma Navarro
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

Navarro's tactical approach will likely focus on exploiting Lys's weaknesses on serve and maintaining pressure during rallies. Given Navarro's recent success in finals and her ability to close out matches, she is expected to dominate the play and secure a straight-sets victory.

3 Reasons Why Emma Navarro Will Win

  • Recent Form Emma Navarro has a strong recent win rate of 70%, showcasing her improved performance compared to Eva Lys's 30% win rate.
  • Serve Reliability Navarro has a higher first serve win percentage at 63%, which will be crucial in maintaining her service games against Lys.
  • Head-to-Head Advantage Although there are no previous matches between them, Navarro's overall experience and higher career win percentage of 61.7% compared to Lys's 58.3% suggest she is better equipped for this matchup.
Match Prediction
23.06.2026 11:00 WTA Bad Homburg
E. Lys 0
E. Navarro 2
35
21
14

Where to watch E. Lys vs E. Navarro

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