29.06.2026
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N. Podoroska vs M. Kostyuk Prediction — 30.06.2026

N. Podoroska flag
WTA - 792
N. Podoroska - M. Kostyuk
WTA Wimbledon 1/64-finals
June 30, 2026 17:30
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M. Kostyuk flag
WTA - 26
N. Podoroska

Player Overview

Nadia Podoroska, with a career baseline win percentage around 56% on hard courts, has been on a downward trajectory over the last two years, reflecting a form that is currently declining. Her recent performances have shown difficulties, particularly in closing out matches, as evidenced by her latest defeat to Lucia Perez Alarcon, where she lost despite having the home advantage.

Podoroska's last five outings have yielded a solitary victory against Carla Troiano, with a combined scoreline that highlights her struggles. The lack of recent wins paints a concerning picture for her upcoming match against Marta Kostyuk. If she cannot stabilize her game, she risks another early exit at Wimbledon.

Match results: N. Podoroska

19 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 4 (Italy)
N. Podoroska
L. Perez Alarcon
1 2
4 6
6 2
0 6
L
18 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 4 (Italy)
R. Zhang
N. Podoroska
0 1
2 6
W
17 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 4 (Italy)
N. Podoroska
C. Troiano
2 0
6 0
6 4
W
14 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 3 (Italy)
N. Podoroska
L. Perez Alarcon
2 1
2 6
6 4
W
13 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 3 (Italy)
N. Podoroska
A. Zantedeschi
2 0
7 5
6 0
W
12 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 3 (Italy)
D. Maric
N. Podoroska
1 2
4 6
7 5
4 6
W
11 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 3 (Italy)
N. Podoroska
T. Kokkinis
2 0
6 3
7 5
W
10 Jun 2026 W35 San Gregorio 3 (Italy)
R. Zhang
N. Podoroska
0 2
1 6
2 6
W
29 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
L. Giovannini
N. Podoroska
2 0
6 2
6 1
L
28 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
N. Podoroska
S. Costoulas
2 1
3 6
6 0
W
M. Kostyuk

Player Overview

Marta Kostyuk, known for her aggressive baseline game, has experienced a turbulent season, culminating in a recent draw against Milica Stojsavljevic after a disappointing loss to Mirra Andreeva at the French Open. Her current form is stable, yet her results have not translated into consistent victories, with her last five matches showcasing a mix of wins and losses but lacking overall momentum.

Kostyuk's recent matches indicate a player who can compete but struggles against top-tier opponents, as reflected in her defeat to Andreeva. With a solid performance against Iga Swiatek prior to that loss, her potential remains evident. Facing Podoroska in the first round, Kostyuk must find a way to convert her capabilities into results to avoid another disappointing tournament run.

Match results: M. Kostyuk

9 Jun 2026 WTA London
M. Stojsavljevic
M. Kostyuk
0 0
L
4 Jun 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
M. Andreeva
0 2
1 6
3 6
L
2 Jun 2026 WTA French Open
E. Svitolina
M. Kostyuk
1 2
3 6
6 2
2 6
W
31 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
I. Swiatek
2 0
7 5
6 1
W
29 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
V. Golubic
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
27 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
K. Volynets
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
24 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
O. Selekhmeteva
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
2 May 2026 WTA Madrid
M. Andreeva
M. Kostyuk
0 2
3 6
5 7
W
30 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
M. Kostyuk
A. Potapova
2 1
6 2
1 6
6 1
W
29 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
M. Kostyuk
L. Noskova
1 0
6 0
W

Players Analysis

Nadia Podoroska has shown solid form recently, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a strong performance in the W35 San Gregorio tournaments. Her recent victories include a 2-0 win against C. Troiano and a 2-1 win against L. Perez Alarcon. In contrast, Marta Kostyuk has also been performing well, with 7 wins in her last 10 matches, including a notable 2-0 victory against Iga Swiatek in the WTA French Open. Both players have demonstrated their ability to compete at a high level, but Kostyuk's recent experience in higher-tier tournaments may give her an edge.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last 10 matches, Podoroska has averaged 1.6 sets won per match, while Kostyuk has averaged 1.7 sets. Kostyuk has a slightly better recent performance in terms of games won, with 17 goals for and only 4 against in her last 10 matches, indicating a strong defensive game. Podoroska, on the other hand, has allowed 7 goals against, which could be a factor in this matchup. Additionally, both players have not faced each other previously, making this a fresh encounter where current form will be crucial.

N. Podoroska — M. Kostyuk Prediction

This match is expected to be competitive, but Marta Kostyuk's recent form and experience in higher-level tournaments suggest she may have the upper hand. The predicted score is 2-1 in favor of Kostyuk, with Podoroska taking one set due to her strong recent performances.

  • Final score in sets: 2-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Kostyuk, Set 2: Podoroska, Set 3: Kostyuk
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 5

Expect Kostyuk to leverage her powerful serve and aggressive baseline play to dictate points, while Podoroska will need to rely on her defensive skills and counter-punching to stay competitive. The match could hinge on Kostyuk's ability to convert break points, as both players have shown resilience in their recent matches.

3 Reasons Why M. Kostyuk Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Kostyuk 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Kostyuk.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Kostyuk has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than N. Podoroska, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
30.06.2026 17:30 WTA Wimbledon
N. Podoroska 1 0 1 0
M. Kostyuk 2 1 0 1
46
23
35

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