30.06.2026
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K. Swan vs M. Keys Prediction — 01.07.2026

K. Swan flag
WTA - 269
K. Swan - M. Keys
WTA Wimbledon 1/32-finals
July 1, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
M. Keys flag
WTA - 7

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 2
H2H W-L 0-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.50
Last 5 W-L 0-2
Last 3 W-L 0-2
Current streak L2
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 2.50
Sets range 2-3
3-set matches 1 (50%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 1/1
0% 0 Wins
0% 0 Draws
100% 2 Wins
Last 2 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
4 Jan 2023
M. Keys - K. Swan
2:1 (2-6, 6-3, 6-4)
WTA United Cup
28 Jun 2021
K. Swan - M. Keys
0:2 (3-6, 4-6)
Wimbledon
K. Swan

Player Overview

Katy Swan faces a challenging moment in her career, with a career win percentage below 56% on hard courts. Her recent trajectory has dipped, and she is currently on a downward trend after a string of losses. The 2026 season has not been kind, as she has failed to secure a single win in her last five matches, underscoring her struggles against varied opponents.

Her latest outings paint a grim picture, with defeats against players like Tamara Preston and Tereza Martincova, both by straight sets. The absence of recent victories has left her without a solid foundation heading into this match against Madison Keys, who is riding a wave of success. Swan will need to find her footing quickly to avoid another early exit at Wimbledon.

Match results: K. Swan

30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
I. Begu
K. Swan
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
12 Jun 2026 Ilkley
K. Swan
A. Krueger
0 1
1 6
L
12 Jun 2026 Ilkley
V. Golubic
K. Swan
0 1
4 6
W
10 Jun 2026 Ilkley
T. Martincova
K. Swan
0 2
5 7
2 6
W
4 Jun 2026 Birmingham
K. Swan
T. Preston
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
4 Jun 2026 Birmingham
A. Tomljanovic
K. Swan
2 3
0 0
W
17 May 2026 W75 Kurume
K. Swan
K. Okamura
2 0
7 5
6 1
W
16 May 2026 W75 Kurume
K. Swan
M. Yamaguchi
2 0
6 1
6 1
W
15 May 2026 W75 Kurume
K. Swan
S. Saito
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
14 May 2026 W75 Kurume
K. Swan
D. Hewitt
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
M. Keys

Player Overview

Madison Keys, boasting a career baseline win percentage of nearly 64% on hard courts, is currently on an upward trajectory with her game. The last two years have seen her performance steadily improve, particularly in recent weeks, as indicated by her Elo rating, which places her among the top competitors. Her serve remains a potent weapon, allowing her to dominate matches against both familiar and new opponents.

Keys has demonstrated her readiness for Wimbledon with an impressive string of victories, including a convincing win against K. Day in her last match. Prior to that, she secured solid wins over players like Tatjana Maria and P. Marcinko. With five consecutive wins leading into this match, Keys carries momentum that could prove decisive against Swan, who will need to elevate her play significantly to challenge the American.

Match results: M. Keys

30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
K. Day
M. Keys
0 2
4 6
3 6
W
27 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
T. Maria
M. Keys
0 2
5 7
4 6
W
26 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
P. Marcinko
M. Keys
0 1
1 6
W
25 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
M. Kessler
M. Keys
0 2
3 6
1 6
W
24 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
J. Bouzas Maneiro
M. Keys
0 2
0 6
1 6
W
23 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
T. Gibson
M. Keys
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
19 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
J. Pegula
M. Keys
2 0
L
18 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
M. Keys
K. Muchova
2 0
6 4
7 5
W
16 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
M. Keys
Xin. Wang
1 0
6 1
W
1 Jun 2026 WTA French Open
M. Keys
D. Shnaider
1 2
3 6
6 3
0 6
L

Players Analysis

K. Swan has shown strong form recently, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a recent victory against I. Begu at Wimbledon. Her performance has been particularly impressive on grass, where she has been able to dominate her opponents. In contrast, M. Keys has also been in good form, winning 7 out of her last 10 matches, but she has faced tougher competition in recent tournaments, including a loss to J. Pegula in the quarter-finals of the WTA Berlin.

In their head-to-head encounters, M. Keys has a perfect record against K. Swan, winning both matches. This includes a recent match at the WTA United Cup where Keys won 2-1, showcasing her ability to perform under pressure. The psychological advantage may play a significant role in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Both players have demonstrated solid serving capabilities, but M. Keys has a slight edge in terms of aces, averaging 5 per match compared to Swan's 3. Additionally, Keys has been more consistent in converting break points, which could be crucial in a tightly contested match. The surface at Wimbledon typically favors strong servers, and Keys' experience on this stage may give her an advantage. Furthermore, Swan's recent matches have shown her ability to win in straight sets, while Keys has had more three-set matches, indicating potential fatigue.

K. Swan — M. Keys Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, M. Keys is slightly favored to win this matchup. While K. Swan has been impressive, Keys' experience and previous victories against Swan provide her with a tactical advantage. The match is expected to be competitive, but Keys' ability to handle pressure in crucial moments may lead her to victory.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: M. Keys, Set 2: K. Swan, Set 3: M. Keys
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactics, M. Keys is likely to focus on her powerful serve to gain early advantages in games, while K. Swan may look to engage in longer rallies to exploit any weaknesses in Keys' movement. The match could hinge on the effectiveness of Keys' serve and her ability to convert break points when opportunities arise.

3 Reasons Why M. Keys Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Keys 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Keys.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Keys has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than K. Swan, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
01.07.2026 12:00 WTA Wimbledon
K. Swan 1 0 1 0
M. Keys 2 1 0 1
35
22
34

Where to watch K. Swan vs M. Keys

  • WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of WTA events including Wimbledon.
  • Tennis Channel - Find out when and where to watch WTA matches on Tennis Channel.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates for Wimbledon and other major tennis events.
  • Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website offers live streaming and match information.