30.06.2026
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A. De Minaur vs A. Mannarino Prediction — 01.07.2026

A. De Minaur flag
ATP - 6
A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino
ATP Wimbledon 1/32-finals
July 1, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
A. Mannarino flag
ATP - 45

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 7
H2H W-L 6-0-1
Avg sets per match 2.57
Last 5 W-L 5-0
Last 3 W-L 3-0
Current streak W5
Sets balance +7
Avg sets (last 5) 3.00
Sets range 2-4
3-set matches 4 (80%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 1/3 • 0/0
86% 6 Wins
0% 0 Draws
14% 1 Wins
Last 5 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
13 Jun 2026
A. Mannarino - A. De Minaur
0:2 (4-6, 0-6)
ATP Hertogenbosch
5 Dec 2025
A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino
3:1 (13-12, 16-6, 11-12, 14-12)
Others matches
23 Jun 2023
A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino
2:1 (6-4, 4-6, 6-4)
ATP London
19 Jan 2023
A. Mannarino - A. De Minaur
1:2 (6-4, 4-6, 1-6)
Australian Open
29 Jul 2022
A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino
2:1 (4-6, 6-3)
Atlanta
A. De Minaur

Player Overview

Alex De Minaur, with a career baseline win percentage nearing 56% on hard courts, has shown a steady performance trajectory over the last two years, indicating a solid, if unspectacular, presence on the ATP circuit. His recent matches have highlighted a mixed form, with a notable win against Denis Shapovalov at the ATP London, yet a disheartening loss to Brandon Nakashima shortly after. This pattern suggests a player who can rise to the occasion but struggles with consistency against varied opponents.

De Minaur's path to this matchup has been uneven, marked by a recent victory against Roman A. Burruchaga at Wimbledon, contrasting with earlier defeats in London and Hertogenbosch. His last ten matches offer little in the way of statistical trends, but the fluctuations in performance raise questions about his readiness to face a determined Adrian Mannarino. With both players having faced challenges recently, the outcome may hinge on De Minaur's ability to maintain focus and capitalize on Mannarino's vulnerabilities.

Match results: A. De Minaur

30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
A. De Minaur
R. A. Burruchaga
2 0
6 1
6 0
W
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. De Minaur
B. Nakashima
0 2
5 7
3 6
L
17 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. De Minaur
D. Shapovalov
2 0
6 4
6 1
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. De Minaur
G. Diallo
1 0
6 3
W
14 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
K. Majchrzak
A. De Minaur
2 1
6 3
2 6
L
13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
A. Mannarino
A. De Minaur
0 2
4 6
0 6
W
12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
B. Bonzi
A. De Minaur
0 2
2 6
4 6
W
10 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
M. Damm
A. De Minaur
0 1
5 7
W
29 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. De Minaur
J. Mensik
1 3
6 0
2 6
2 6
3 6
L
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. De Minaur
A. Blockx
1 0
W
A. Mannarino

Player Overview

Adrian Mannarino enters this match with a career baseline win percentage around 52% on grass, reflecting a player who has historically been effective on this surface but is currently in a declining trend. Over the last two years, his form has been erratic, and recent performances have only intensified these concerns. A series of losses, including a recent defeat to Alex De Minaur in Hertogenbosch, suggests he is struggling to find his footing at a critical time.

His most recent match at Wimbledon saw a convincing win against T. Droguet, but prior to that, Mannarino suffered three consecutive defeats, raising doubts about his ability to maintain momentum. The absence of consistent wins in his last ten matches indicates a fragile state of play. As he faces De Minaur again, Mannarino must harness the lessons from their previous encounter and leverage his experience to turn the tide, or risk continuing his downward spiral.

Match results: A. Mannarino

30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
A. Mannarino
T. Droguet
3 0
6 2
6 4
6 1
W
21 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
N. Borges
A. Mannarino
2 0
6 2
6 2
L
17 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. Mannarino
A. Fery
0 1
4 6
L
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
J. Mensik
A. Mannarino
1 0
7 5
L
13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
A. Mannarino
A. De Minaur
0 2
4 6
0 6
L
12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
Z. Zhang
A. Mannarino
0 1
3 6
W
11 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
A. Mannarino
A. Rinderknech
2 1
3 6
6 3
W
9 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
G. Diallo
A. Mannarino
1 2
4 6
6 3
5 7
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
U. Humbert
A. Mannarino
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 3
L
19 May 2026 ATP Geneva
A. Mannarino
R. Collignon
0 1
3 6
L

Players Analysis

Alex De Minaur has shown strong form recently, winning 7 of his last 10 matches, including a convincing victory against Adrian Mannarino in their most recent encounter on June 13, 2026, where he won 2 sets to 0. Mannarino, on the other hand, has struggled, winning only 3 out of his last 10 matches, with a notable loss to De Minaur in their last meeting. This trend suggests that De Minaur is in better shape heading into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head matchups, De Minaur has a favorable record against Mannarino, winning 6 out of 7 encounters. The last five matches have seen De Minaur winning all of them, indicating a psychological edge. On grass, De Minaur has performed well, while Mannarino's recent form has been inconsistent. This match being played on grass at Wimbledon further favors De Minaur, who has a higher win rate on this surface.

A. De Minaur — A. Mannarino Prediction

Based on the current form, head-to-head statistics, and surface advantage, Alex De Minaur is predicted to win this match. The forecast suggests a likely score of 3 sets to 0 in favor of De Minaur, as he has consistently outperformed Mannarino in their previous encounters.

  • Final score in sets: 3:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: A. De Minaur, Set 2: A. De Minaur, Set 3: A. De Minaur
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 5

De Minaur's aggressive baseline play and strong serve will likely put Mannarino under pressure from the start. Expect De Minaur to capitalize on break points effectively, using his speed and court coverage to dictate play. Mannarino will need to find a way to disrupt De Minaur's rhythm, but given their recent match history, that seems a challenging task.

3 Reasons Why A. De Minaur Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. De Minaur 3:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. De Minaur.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. De Minaur has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Mannarino, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
01.07.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon
A. De Minaur 3
A. Mannarino 0
105
34
52

Where to watch A. De Minaur vs A. Mannarino

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
  • ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for live coverage and broadcast details of ATP events including Wimbledon.
  • Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel provides live coverage and updates on ATP tournaments.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport offers coverage and live updates for Wimbledon and other tennis events.
  • Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website provides information on matches, schedules, and broadcast options.