12.07.2026
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N. Budkov Kjaer vs A. Pellegrino Prediction — 13.07.2026

N. Budkov Kjaer flag
ATP - 124
N. Budkov Kjaer - A. Pellegrino
Bastad
July 13, 2026 10:00
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A. Pellegrino flag
ATP - 155
N. Budkov Kjaer

Player Overview

N. Budkov Kjaer has struggled to find his footing on the ATP circuit, currently holding a career baseline win percentage below 56% on hard courts. His recent trajectory shows a declining trend, with a current form that reflects a lack of significant victories over the past two years. This has left him vulnerable against competitors, particularly on surfaces where he has been less effective.

Budkov Kjaer enters this match fresh off a mixed bag of results, with his latest outing ending in a loss to O. Virtanen at Wimbledon. His performance over the last five matches reveals no wins, highlighting a significant gap in confidence. Facing A. Pellegrino, who has had a slightly more favorable recent stretch, Budkov Kjaer must improve his game to stand a chance.

Match results: N. Budkov Kjaer

25 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
N. Budkov Kjaer
O. Virtanen
1 3
6 4
4 6
4 6
5 7
L
24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
N. Budkov Kjaer
M. Dodig
1 0
6 2
W
22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
N. Budkov Kjaer
J. Reis Da Silva
2 0
6 4
6 1
W
14 Jun 2026 Nottingham
N. Budkov Kjaer
M. McDonald
1 2
6 3
3 6
2 6
L
8 Jun 2026 Ilkley
A. Holmgren
N. Budkov Kjaer
1 0
6 0
L
2 Jun 2026 Birmingham
M. McDonald
N. Budkov Kjaer
1 0
6 3
L
20 May 2026 ATP French Open
N. Budkov Kjaer
T. Gentzsch
0 1
2 6
L
19 May 2026 ATP French Open
N. Budkov Kjaer
G. A. Bailly
2 1
2 6
6 4
6 2
W
13 May 2026 Valencia
N. Budkov Kjaer
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
4 6
4 6
L
12 May 2026 Valencia
N. Budkov Kjaer
J. Paul
2 0
6 1
6 4
W
A. Pellegrino

Player Overview

A. Pellegrino's recent performances paint a picture of inconsistency, with a career baseline win percentage that reflects a steady but unremarkable presence on the tour. Over the past two years, his form has remained stable, but recent results suggest he is stagnating rather than improving. His Elo rating indicates he is operating just above the lower tier of competitive players, which has implications for his mental approach going into matches.

Pellegrino's last match ended in disappointment against R. Brancaccio, highlighting his struggle to close out matches after a recent win against M. Alcala Gurri. With no wins in his last five matches, he faces a critical moment against Budkov Kjaer, who is also grappling with form issues. This matchup could serve as a pivotal point for both players as they seek to regain momentum.

Match results: A. Pellegrino

8 Jul 2026 Trieste
A. Pellegrino
R. Brancaccio
1 2
6 3
4 6
3 6
L
7 Jul 2026 Trieste
A. Pellegrino
M. Alcala Gurri
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
T. Boyer
A. Pellegrino
2 0
6 2
6 1
L
22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
J. Clarke
A. Pellegrino
1 2
6 2
4 6
W
6 Jun 2026 Perugia
D. Merida Aguilar
A. Pellegrino
2 1
6 3
5 7
6 3
L
5 Jun 2026 Perugia
A. Pellegrino
P. Basile
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
4 Jun 2026 Perugia
A. Pellegrino
R. Carballes Baena
2 1
4 6
7 5
6 3
W
2 Jun 2026 Perugia
A. Pellegrino
M. Kasnikowski
2 1
4 6
6 1
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Cobolli
A. Pellegrino
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
21 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Cecchinato
A. Pellegrino
0 1
2 6
W

Players Analysis

N. Budkov Kjaer has shown a mixed performance in his recent matches, with a record of 4 wins and 6 losses in his last 10 matches. His most recent match was a loss in the final of the ATP Wimbledon, indicating he has faced tough competition. In contrast, A. Pellegrino has been slightly more consistent, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory in the 1/16-finals of the Trieste Challenger. Pellegrino's form suggests he is more in rhythm compared to Budkov Kjaer.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall performance, Budkov Kjaer has scored 9 games in his last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 games per match, while conceding 11 games, averaging 1.1 games against per match. Pellegrino, on the other hand, has scored 13 games in his last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 games per match, and has also conceded 11 games, averaging 1.1 games against per match. This indicates that Pellegrino has a better scoring rate, which could play a crucial role in their upcoming match.

N. Budkov Kjaer — A. Pellegrino Prediction

Considering the recent forms and head-to-head statistics, A. Pellegrino is favored to win this match against N. Budkov Kjaer. Pellegrino's higher scoring average and better recent performance give him a slight edge in this matchup. The prediction suggests a competitive match, likely ending in a 2:1 set score in favor of Pellegrino.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - A. Pellegrino, 2nd set - N. Budkov Kjaer, 3rd set - A. Pellegrino
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactics, Pellegrino is expected to leverage his stronger serve to gain an early advantage in the first set, while Budkov Kjaer may look to counter with aggressive returns. The match could hinge on the ability of each player to convert break points, with Pellegrino likely to capitalize on any opportunities given his current form.

3 Reasons Why A. Pellegrino Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Pellegrino 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Pellegrino.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Pellegrino has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than N. Budkov Kjaer, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
13.07.2026 10:00 Bastad
N. Budkov Kjaer 1 0 1 0
A. Pellegrino 2 1 0 1
56
32
43

Where to watch N. Budkov Kjaer vs A. Pellegrino

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