21.07.2026
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L. van Assche vs P. Carreno-Busta Prediction — 22.07.2026

L. van Assche flag
ATP - 97
L. van Assche - P. Carreno-Busta
ATP Estoril 1/8-finals
July 22, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
P. Carreno-Busta flag
ATP - 91

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1
H2H W-L 1-0-0
Avg sets per match 1.00
Last 5 W-L 1-0
Last 3 W-L 1-0
Current streak W1
Sets balance +1
Avg sets (last 5) 1.00
Sets range 1-1
3-set matches 0 (0%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 0/0
100% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
0% 0 Wins
Last 1 match
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
19 Oct 2025
P. Carreno-Busta - L. van Assche
0:1 (2-6)
Olbia
L. van Assche

Player Overview

L. van Assche has struggled to find his footing on the ATP circuit, currently holding a career baseline win percentage of just under 56% on hard courts. His recent form has been declining, with several tough losses adding pressure as he enters this match. Although he has shown glimpses of potential, his performance over the last two years has not met expectations, making this encounter critical for him.

In his last five outings, van Assche has been unable to secure a victory, culminating in a loss against T. Droguet in ATP Umag. His recent matches against competitive opponents highlight a struggle to close out sets, which could be a concern moving forward. As he faces P. Carreno-Busta, the need to turn around his recent fortunes becomes paramount if he hopes to regain confidence on the court.

Match results: L. van Assche

20 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
F. Ferreira Silva
L. van Assche
0 2
5 7
1 6
W
15 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
L. van Assche
T. Droguet
1 2
1 6
6 1
5 7
L
13 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
D. Lajovic
L. van Assche
1 2
6 2
5 7
4 6
W
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
L. van Assche
M. Fucsovics
0 2
3 6
0 4
L
20 Jun 2026 Parma
S. Ofner
L. van Assche
1 2
6 2
2 6
3 6
W
19 Jun 2026 Parma
D. Rincon
L. van Assche
0 2
3 6
0 6
W
18 Jun 2026 Parma
M. Cecchinato
L. van Assche
1 2
6 3
0 6
1 6
W
17 Jun 2026 Parma
D. E. Galan
L. van Assche
0 2
1 6
3 6
W
15 Jun 2026 Parma
N. Sanchez Izquierdo
L. van Assche
1 2
3 6
6 3
3 6
W
10 Jun 2026 Lyon
N. Sanchez Izquierdo
L. van Assche
2 1
1 6
6 4
L
P. Carreno-Busta

Player Overview

P. Carreno-Busta enters this match with a solid career baseline win percentage of around 60% on hard surfaces, yet his current form is wavering. His trajectory over the last two years indicates a slight decline in performance, particularly evident in his recent results. The Spaniard's ability to return serves effectively has been a hallmark of his play, but inconsistency has marred his recent outings.

Match results: P. Carreno-Busta

21 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
V. Gaubas
P. Carreno-Busta
0 2
1 6
3 6
W
15 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
P. Carreno-Busta
C. Ugo Carabelli
1 2
6 3
5 7
5 7
L
14 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
M. Dodig
P. Carreno-Busta
0 2
4 6
2 6
W
2 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
3 2
3 6
6 3
1 6
6 3
6 4
L
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
D. Shapovalov
P. Carreno-Busta
0 1
3 6
W
31 May 2026 ATP French Open
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
3 2
4 6
4 6
6 1
6 2
6 2
L
29 May 2026 ATP French Open
T. A. Tirante
P. Carreno-Busta
1 2
5 7
6 3
4 6
W
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
T. Kokkinakis
P. Carreno-Busta
1 2
5 7
6 4
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
P. Carreno-Busta
J. Lehecka
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
15 May 2026 Valencia
P. Carreno-Busta
J. Munar
0 1
L

Players Analysis

L. van Assche has shown a mixed performance in his recent matches, winning 4 out of his last 10 matches. His last victory was against F. Ferreira Silva, where he won convincingly. In contrast, P. Carreno-Busta has struggled recently, losing 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent defeat against R. Jodar at Wimbledon. This trend indicates that Carreno-Busta may be facing challenges in his form.

In their only previous encounter, L. van Assche defeated P. Carreno-Busta in straight sets, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. This historical context could play a crucial role in the upcoming match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Analyzing the recent form, L. van Assche has a slightly better win rate compared to Carreno-Busta, particularly on clay surfaces. Van Assche's recent matches indicate a strong serving game, while Carreno-Busta has been prone to errors, reflected in his higher number of double faults in recent matches. The head-to-head record also favors van Assche, who won their last meeting decisively.

Both players have shown variability in their performances, but the current form and past encounters suggest that L. van Assche holds a slight advantage going into this match.

L. van Assche — P. Carreno-Busta Prediction

Given the recent performances and head-to-head results, L. van Assche is predicted to win this match. The forecast suggests a possible scoreline of 2:0 in sets, with van Assche winning both sets based on his current form and previous victory over Carreno-Busta.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - L. van Assche, Set 2 - L. van Assche
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 3

In terms of tactical expectations, L. van Assche is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his strong serve to gain early advantages in games. Carreno-Busta may struggle to respond effectively, particularly if he continues to face difficulties with his serve and consistency.

3 Reasons Why L. van Assche Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors L. van Assche 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors L. van Assche.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, L. van Assche has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than P. Carreno-Busta, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
22.07.2026 12:00 ATP Estoril
L. van Assche 2
P. Carreno-Busta 0
53
24
31

Where to watch L. van Assche vs P. Carreno-Busta

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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