J. De Jong vs S. Baez Prediction — 16.07.2026

Players Analysis

J. De Jong has shown mixed form in his recent matches, winning 4 out of his last 10 matches. His performance includes a notable victory against R. Hijikata, where he won 3 sets to 2, but he also suffered a defeat against J. Fonseca, losing 0 sets to 3. In contrast, S. Baez has been in better form, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory over M. Dahlin with a score of 2 sets to 1. Baez's consistency and ability to win close matches give him a slight edge in this matchup.

Both players have had varying success on different surfaces, with J. De Jong struggling on grass at Wimbledon, while S. Baez has performed well in Challenger events on clay. This match at ATP Bastad will be played on clay, which favors Baez's playing style.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last 10 matches, J. De Jong has scored a total of 13 games while conceding 12, averaging 1.3 games won per match. On the other hand, S. Baez has been more prolific, scoring 15 games and conceding only 7, averaging 1.5 games won per match. This indicates Baez's stronger offensive capabilities and defensive resilience. Additionally, J. De Jong's recent performances have shown a tendency to struggle against higher-ranked opponents, while Baez has demonstrated a capacity to win against competitive players.

With no previous head-to-head matches recorded, the analysis relies heavily on recent form and surface performance. Baez's recent victories and overall better statistics suggest he may have the upper hand in this encounter.

J. De Jong — S. Baez Prediction

Given the recent form and performance metrics, S. Baez is predicted to win this match against J. De Jong. The expected score is likely to be 2 sets to 0 in favor of Baez, with him winning both sets decisively.

• Final score in sets: 2:0
• Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - S. Baez, Set 2 - S. Baez
• Expected aces: 5
• Double faults: 2
• Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, S. Baez is likely to leverage his strong baseline game and powerful serves to dominate the rallies. J. De Jong may struggle to respond effectively, especially if Baez can secure early breaks in both sets. The match will hinge on Baez's ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on De Jong's weaknesses.

3 Reasons Why S. Baez Will Win

• Recent Form Advantage: S. Baez has won 6 out of his last 10 matches, showcasing better consistency compared to J. De Jong's 4 wins. This trend suggests Baez is in a stronger competitive rhythm.
• Surface Suitability: Baez has demonstrated superior performance on clay surfaces, which is the surface for this match. His recent victories in Challenger events on clay highlight his adaptability and skill on this surface.
• Offensive and Defensive Metrics: Baez has a better scoring average of 1.5 games per match compared to De Jong's 1.3. This indicates Baez's ability to win more games and maintain pressure on his opponents.