03.07.2026
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G. Dimitrov vs M. Berrettini Prediction — 04.07.2026

G. Dimitrov flag
ATP - 47
G. Dimitrov - M. Berrettini
ATP Wimbledon 1/16-finals
July 4, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
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Seconds
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M. Berrettini flag
ATP - 100
G. Dimitrov

Player Overview

Grigor Dimitrov, known for his fluid style and powerful serve, has seen a mixed trajectory in recent years. With a career baseline win percentage of 56% on hard courts, he has struggled to maintain that level consistently, especially on grass where his current form over the last two years shows signs of decline. Dimitrov's Elo rating reflects a player still seeking his peak, and his ability to dominate with serve-and-volley tactics needs to be on full display against tough opponents.

In his most recent outings, Dimitrov notched wins against Jiri Lehecka and D. Sweeny, but faltered against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. He has not won a match at Wimbledon since 2021, and this lack of recent success raises questions about his readiness. Facing Matteo Berrettini, who thrives on grass, Dimitrov must capitalize on his serve to counter Berrettini's powerful game.

Match results: G. Dimitrov

2 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
J. Mensik
G. Dimitrov
1 3
6 7
6 4
5 7
3 6
W
30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
D. Sweeny
G. Dimitrov
0 3
6 7
3 6
5 7
W
25 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
G. Dimitrov
A. Davidovich Fokina
0 2
3 6
3 6
L
24 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
A. Shelbayh
G. Dimitrov
0 2
2 6
4 6
W
23 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
M. Polmans
G. Dimitrov
0 1
1 6
W
18 Jun 2026 Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
G. Dimitrov
K. Jacquet
0 1
3 6
L
17 Jun 2026 Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
G. Dimitrov
C. Gannon
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
16 Jun 2026 Dublin (Ireland) - Qualification
G. Dimitrov
C. Rodesch
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
19 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Faria
G. Dimitrov
2 1
3 6
7 5
L
13 May 2026 Bordeaux
M. Damm
G. Dimitrov
2 0
L
M. Berrettini

Player Overview

Matteo Berrettini has established himself as a formidable force on grass courts, boasting a career baseline win percentage nearing 70% on this surface. His current form indicates a rising trend, highlighted by a strong performance at Wimbledon, where he reached the quarterfinals last year. Berrettini's serve is one of his biggest weapons, complemented by a solid baseline game that keeps opponents on the defensive.

Berrettini arrives at this match fresh off victories against Alexander Bublik and A. Fils, showcasing his ability to dominate matches. However, his recent loss to Stan Wawrinka reveals vulnerabilities that Dimitrov might exploit. With both players needing a win to boost their momentum in the tournament, this match is critical for Berrettini to assert his grass court credentials.

Match results: M. Berrettini

2 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
M. Berrettini
A. Fils
3 1
6 4
7 5
3 6
6 3
W
30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
S. Wawrinka
M. Berrettini
1 3
7 6
6 7
6 7
6 7
W
3 Jun 2026 ATP French Open
M. Berrettini
M. Arnaldi
0 2
5 7
2 5
L
1 Jun 2026 ATP French Open
J. M. Cerundolo
M. Berrettini
0 1
3 6
W
30 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Berrettini
F. Comesana
3 2
5 7
6 4
W
28 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Rinderknech
M. Berrettini
0 3
4 6
4 6
4 6
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Fucsovics
M. Berrettini
0 3
5 7
1 6
2 6
W
14 May 2026 Valencia
C. Ugo Carabelli
M. Berrettini
1 0
6 4
L
13 May 2026 Valencia
M. Berrettini
T. Daniel
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
7 May 2026 ATP Rome
A. Popyrin
M. Berrettini
2 0
6 2
6 3
L

Players Analysis

Grigor Dimitrov has struggled recently, with only 3 wins in his last 10 matches, including a disappointing performance at the ATP Mallorca where he lost to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. His recent form shows a lack of consistency, particularly in key moments of matches. In contrast, Matteo Berrettini has been in better form, winning 7 of his last 10 matches, including a strong showing at Wimbledon where he defeated Arthur Fils convincingly. Berrettini's powerful serve and aggressive baseline play have been key to his success.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of head-to-head statistics, there are no previous matches recorded between Grigor Dimitrov and Matteo Berrettini, which adds an element of unpredictability to this matchup. However, looking at their recent performances, Berrettini has a higher average of games won per match and has shown better serve reliability, which could be crucial on the grass surface of Wimbledon. Dimitrov's recent games indicate a tendency to struggle against aggressive servers, which Berrettini exemplifies.

G. Dimitrov — M. Berrettini Prediction

This match is expected to be competitive, but Matteo Berrettini's recent form and superior serving ability give him the edge. Dimitrov will need to find a way to neutralize Berrettini's serve and capitalize on any break points that arise. The prediction leans towards Berrettini winning in four sets, utilizing his powerful serve to secure key games.

  • Final score in sets: 3-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: M. Berrettini, 2nd set: G. Dimitrov, 3rd set: M. Berrettini, 4th set: M. Berrettini
  • Expected aces: 12
  • Double faults: 5
  • Break points: 6

Matteo Berrettini's strategy will likely focus on aggressive serving and taking control of the points early. He will aim to pressure Dimitrov with his powerful forehand and look for opportunities to break serve. Dimitrov, on the other hand, must rely on his defensive skills and tactical play to extend rallies and create openings against Berrettini's serve.

3 Reasons Why M. Berrettini Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Berrettini 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Berrettini.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Berrettini has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than G. Dimitrov, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
04.07.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon
G. Dimitrov 1
M. Berrettini 3
712
45
36

Where to watch G. Dimitrov vs M. Berrettini

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and live updates for Wimbledon and other tennis events.