02.07.2026
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F. Auger-Aliassime vs M. Zheng Prediction — 03.07.2026

F. Auger-Aliassime flag
ATP - 5
F. Auger-Aliassime - M. Zheng
ATP Wimbledon 1/16-finals
July 3, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
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M. Zheng flag
ATP - 182
F. Auger-Aliassime

Player Overview

Felix Auger-Aliassime has been a player of immense potential, with a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. Currently, he's on a declining trajectory, having lost two of his last three matches, including a recent setback against Frances Tiafoe. His serve, typically a strong asset, needs to regain its edge if he hopes to assert himself in this match.

Auger-Aliassime's recent performances at Wimbledon have shown him dominating lower-ranked opponents, but he also suffered a loss in Halle, which raises questions about his current form. He has not dropped a set in his last two matches at Wimbledon, but the challenge posed by Mingjie Zheng could expose any lingering vulnerabilities. His ability to adapt will be crucial as he faces an opponent who has shown resilience in recent matches.

Match results: F. Auger-Aliassime

1 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
D. Prizmic
3 0
7 6
6 3
7 5
W
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Shevchenko
3 0
6 3
6 1
6 4
W
19 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
F. Tiafoe
F. Auger-Aliassime
2 1
3 6
6 3
L
17 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
L. Tien
F. Auger-Aliassime
0 1
5 7
W
15 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
N. Borges
F. Auger-Aliassime
1 2
3 6
6 3
3 6
W
12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
K. Majchrzak
0 2
4 6
3 6
L
11 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
M. Fucsovics
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
3 Jun 2026 ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
F. Cobolli
1 3
6 4
4 6
4 6
4 6
L
1 Jun 2026 ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Tabilo
3 0
6 3
7 5
6 1
W
30 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
B. Nakashima
3 1
5 7
6 1
W
M. Zheng

Player Overview

Mingjie Zheng has carved out a reputation as a formidable competitor, leveraging a career baseline win percentage that reflects strong performance on various surfaces. His current form is stable, with a string of victories at Wimbledon, including a notable win against Cameron Norrie. As he approaches this match, Zheng's ability to maintain pressure through consistent baseline play will be key.

Zheng's recent matches reflect a player in command of his game, having won his last five matches without dropping a set. His victories against lower-ranked players build momentum, but he now faces a more complex challenge in Felix Auger-Aliassime. This encounter will test Zheng’s adaptability as he steps up to face a higher caliber opponent, and how he handles this pressure could define his tournament run.

Match results: M. Zheng

1 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
N. Mejia
M. Zheng
1 3
7 6
6 7
1 6
4 6
W
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
M. Zheng
C. Norrie
3 2
6 7
6 2
6 7
6 3
7 6
W
25 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
C. Smith
M. Zheng
1 3
4 6
6 4
2 6
3 6
W
24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
L. Djere
M. Zheng
0 2
5 7
3 6
W
22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
H. Squire
M. Zheng
0 1
2 6
W
14 Jun 2026 Nottingham
S. Mochizuki
M. Zheng
0 1
3 6
W
10 Jun 2026 Ilkley
M. Lajal
M. Zheng
2 1
4 6
6 4
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Zheng
D. Prizmic
0 3
1 6
1 6
3 6
L
21 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. De Jong
M. Zheng
0 2
5 7
3 6
W
20 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Zheng
S. Travaglia
2 0
7 5
7 5
W

Players Analysis

Félix Auger-Aliassime has shown strong form recently, winning 7 of his last 10 matches, including two convincing victories in the ATP Wimbledon earlier this week. His performance on grass has been solid, and he has demonstrated a reliable serve with a good number of aces. In contrast, M. Zheng has also been performing well, with a record of 6 wins in his last 10 matches, but he faced a tough loss against N. Mejia in his last outing. Auger-Aliassime's experience in high-stakes matches may give him an edge in this encounter.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last 10 matches, Félix Auger-Aliassime has averaged 1.9 sets won per match, while M. Zheng has averaged 1.8 sets. Auger-Aliassime has been particularly effective on grass, which is crucial for this Wimbledon matchup. Zheng's recent form shows he can compete, but his last match loss could impact his confidence. The absence of head-to-head matches between these players means we rely heavily on their recent forms and surface performance to predict the outcome.

Félix Auger-Aliassime — M. Zheng Prediction

Considering the recent forms, surface advantages, and overall match statistics, Félix Auger-Aliassime is favored to win this match. He has been more consistent and has a better track record on grass courts. The predicted score reflects a competitive match, but Auger-Aliassime's experience should see him through.

  • Final score in sets: 3:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: 1-0, 2nd set: 1-0, 3rd set: 0-1, 4th set: 1-0
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, Auger-Aliassime is likely to utilize his powerful serve to gain early advantages in games, aiming to pressure Zheng from the start. Zheng will need to focus on returning serve effectively and capitalizing on any break point opportunities to stay competitive in this match.

3 Reasons Why F. Auger-Aliassime Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors F. Auger-Aliassime 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors F. Auger-Aliassime.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, F. Auger-Aliassime has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Zheng, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
03.07.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime 3
M. Zheng 1
105
34
52

Where to watch F. Auger-Aliassime vs M. Zheng

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
  • Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for live streaming options and match details.
  • ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage of ATP events including Wimbledon. Check for broadcast details.
  • Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel offers live coverage and updates for ATP tournaments.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and streaming options for Wimbledon matches.