28.06.2026
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B. Nakashima vs J. Pinnington Jones Prediction — 29.06.2026

B. Nakashima flag
ATP - 33
B. Nakashima - J. Pinnington Jones
ATP Wimbledon 1/64-finals
June 29, 2026 17:00
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J. Pinnington Jones flag
ATP - 137
B. Nakashima

Player Overview

Brandon Nakashima, currently navigating a challenging phase, has struggled to find his rhythm on the ATP circuit. With a career baseline win percentage just above 56% on hard courts, his current form shows a declining trend, evident from his recent performances which include two losses in his last three outings. His Elo rating reflects a player grappling with consistency, particularly as he faces opponents who capitalize on his serve-and-return identity.

Nakashima's recent matches tell a stark story. He recorded a disappointing loss to Francisco Cerundolo and drew against Jack Draper, indicating a struggle to close out matches. With no wins in his last five matches, the pressure mounts as he prepares to face J. Pinnington Jones at Wimbledon. Without a victory since mid-June, Nakashima needs to turn the tide quickly if he hopes to make an impact in this tournament.

Match results: B. Nakashima

22 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
B. Nakashima
J. Draper
0 0
L
20 Jun 2026 ATP London
B. Nakashima
F. Cerundolo
0 2
3 6
4 6
L
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. De Minaur
B. Nakashima
0 2
5 7
3 6
W
17 Jun 2026 ATP London
B. Nakashima
I. Buse
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
B. Nakashima
M. Fucsovics
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
30 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
B. Nakashima
3 1
5 7
6 1
L
28 May 2026 ATP French Open
L. van Assche
B. Nakashima
1 3
4 6
7 5
1 6
3 6
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
R. Bautista-Agut
B. Nakashima
0 3
2 6
5 7
2 6
W
11 May 2026 ATP Rome
B. Nakashima
N. Basilashvili
0 1
4 6
L
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
B. Nakashima
R. Bautista-Agut
2 0
6 4
6 0
W
J. Pinnington Jones

Player Overview

J. Pinnington Jones enters this match with a career baseline win percentage that suggests he can compete effectively, especially on grass. His current trajectory reflects stability, but his recent results reveal a mixed bag that includes a tough loss to Jack Draper and a hard-fought victory over Marco Trungelliti. As he prepares for this encounter, his performance on grass will be critical, especially given his surface-specific record.

Match results: J. Pinnington Jones

24 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
J. Draper
J. Pinnington Jones
2 0
7 5
6 4
L
22 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
J. Pinnington Jones
C. Ugo Carabelli
0 0
L
22 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
J. Pinnington Jones
M. Trungelliti
2 1
5 7
6 3
7 5
W
15 Jun 2026 ATP London
J. Pinnington Jones
D. Shapovalov
1 2
4 6
6 4
L
12 Jun 2026 Ilkley
F. Romano
J. Pinnington Jones
2 1
7 5
5 7
6 3
L
8 Jun 2026 Ilkley
H. Wendelken
J. Pinnington Jones
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
2 Jun 2026 Birmingham
J. Pinnington Jones
A. Vukic
1 2
6 2
4 6
3 6
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
V. Sachko
J. Pinnington Jones
2 1
3 6
7 5
L
13 May 2026 Oeiras 6
C. Smith
J. Pinnington Jones
2 0
6 4
6 1
L
11 May 2026 Oeiras 6
Dar. Blanch
J. Pinnington Jones
0 2
3 6
5 7
W

Players Analysis

B. Nakashima has shown a strong performance in recent matches, winning 6 out of his last 10 games. His victories include a notable win against I. Buse, where he won decisively with a score of 2-0. Conversely, J. Pinnington Jones has struggled, winning only 3 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent loss to J. Draper. This indicates a significant disparity in form heading into their matchup.

Both players have experience on grass, but Nakashima's recent form suggests he is more comfortable on this surface compared to Pinnington Jones, who has faced challenges in his recent outings. The head-to-head record is currently non-existent, which adds an element of unpredictability to the match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Nakashima's last 10 matches show an average of 1.6 sets won per match, while Pinnington Jones averages 1.0 sets won. This trend indicates that Nakashima not only wins more frequently but also tends to win more sets when he does. Additionally, Nakashima's performance includes a strong serve, which is crucial on grass courts, while Pinnington Jones has struggled with consistency in his service games, leading to a higher number of break points against him.

In terms of aces, Nakashima has been more effective, which could play a pivotal role in this match. The combination of Nakashima's superior form, service reliability, and recent match results suggests he will have the upper hand in this encounter.

B. Nakashima — J. Pinnington Jones Prediction

Based on the analysis of recent performances, surface suitability, and overall form, B. Nakashima is predicted to win this match against J. Pinnington Jones. The forecast suggests a score of 3-1 in sets, reflecting Nakashima's stronger performance and ability to capitalize on break points.

  • Final score in sets: 3-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: B. Nakashima, Set 2: J. Pinnington Jones, Set 3: B. Nakashima, Set 4: B. Nakashima
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactical expectations, Nakashima is likely to employ a serve-and-volley strategy, taking advantage of his strong serve to put pressure on Pinnington Jones early in the points. This approach could lead to quick points and potentially frustrate his opponent, who has shown vulnerability against aggressive play.

3 Reasons Why B. Nakashima Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors B. Nakashima 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors B. Nakashima.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, B. Nakashima has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J. Pinnington Jones, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
29.06.2026 17:00 ATP Wimbledon
B. Nakashima 3
J. Pinnington Jones 1
105
34
52

Where to watch B. Nakashima vs J. Pinnington Jones

  • ATP Official Website - Visit the official ATP website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for match details and broadcast options.
  • ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage of ATP events including Wimbledon. Check for broadcast details.
  • Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel offers live coverage and updates on ATP matches.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates for Wimbledon matches.