18.07.2026
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A. Pellegrino vs G. Bueno Prediction — 19.07.2026

A. Pellegrino flag
ATP - 155
A. Pellegrino - G. Bueno
ATP Estoril Final
July 19, 2026 13:00
Days
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Hours
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Seconds
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G. Bueno flag
ATP - 215
A. Pellegrino

Player Overview

A. Pellegrino has a career baseline near 56% on hard courts, reflecting a steady performance profile that doesn't fully translate to current form. The last two years have seen him on a downward trajectory, which is concerning given his recent results. He has struggled to find his footing, particularly in matches against higher-ranked opponents, indicating a need for improvement in his game strategy.

His recent matches tell a story of inconsistency. Pellegrino's last five outings feature two wins, but they came against lesser competition, while losses to established players like Andrey Rublev and R. Brancaccio highlight his vulnerability. With a lack of competitive edge in recent tournaments, he faces a significant challenge against G. Bueno, who is coming off a solid victory.

Match results: A. Pellegrino

18 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
A. Pellegrino
J. D. Silva
2 0
6 3
6 2
W
16 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
A. Rublev
A. Pellegrino
1 0
6 3
L
14 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
N. Budkov Kjaer
A. Pellegrino
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
8 Jul 2026 Trieste
A. Pellegrino
R. Brancaccio
1 2
6 3
4 6
3 6
L
7 Jul 2026 Trieste
A. Pellegrino
M. Alcala Gurri
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
T. Boyer
A. Pellegrino
2 0
6 2
6 1
L
22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
J. Clarke
A. Pellegrino
1 2
6 2
4 6
W
6 Jun 2026 Perugia
D. Merida Aguilar
A. Pellegrino
2 1
6 3
5 7
6 3
L
5 Jun 2026 Perugia
A. Pellegrino
P. Basile
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
4 Jun 2026 Perugia
A. Pellegrino
R. Carballes Baena
2 1
4 6
7 5
6 3
W
G. Bueno

Player Overview

G. Bueno, with a career baseline around 54% on hard courts, has been treading water recently, showing a stable yet uninspired form over the past two years. His current trajectory suggests he is trying to regain his footing after a series of disappointing results, making this match pivotal for his confidence moving forward.

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Match results: G. Bueno

18 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
F. Rocha
G. Bueno
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
12 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
G. Bueno
I. Marcondes
0 2
4 6
6 7
L
7 Jul 2026 Braunschweig
L. Djere
G. Bueno
2 0
6 1
6 2
L
22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
J. Kym
G. Bueno
2 1
4 6
7 5
6 1
L
18 Jun 2026 Poznan
G. Bueno
D. Svrcina
0 2
2 6
3 6
L
17 Jun 2026 Poznan
G. Bueno
F. Ferreira Silva
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
16 Jun 2026 Poznan
G. Bueno
T. Berkieta
1 0
6 3
W
9 Jun 2026 Cattolica (Italy) - Qualification
G. Bueno
F. Forti
1 2
5 7
6 4
L
2 Jun 2026 Perugia
G. Bueno
D. Lajovic
0 2
4 6
1 6
L
26 May 2026 Vicenza
T. Compagnucci
G. Bueno
1 0
6 3
L

Players Analysis

A. Pellegrino comes into this final match with a solid recent form, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches. His victories include a strong performance in the semi-finals against J. D. Silva, where he won decisively. G. Bueno, on the other hand, has had a tougher time, winning only 4 out of his last 10 matches, including a semi-final win against F. Rocha. This contrast in form suggests Pellegrino may have the upper hand.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall performance, Pellegrino has scored 15 games in his last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 games per match, while Bueno has only managed 7 games, averaging 0.7 games per match. Pellegrino's ability to win matches convincingly, as seen in his recent results, indicates a higher level of competitiveness. Furthermore, the absence of head-to-head matches between these two players means that their current forms will be the primary factor in determining the outcome.

A. Pellegrino — G. Bueno Prediction

Given the current forms and recent performances, A. Pellegrino is favored to win this match against G. Bueno. Pellegrino's strong serve and ability to capitalize on break points will likely play a crucial role in his victory. The prediction is for Pellegrino to win in straight sets, reflecting his superior form and recent match outcomes.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: A. Pellegrino, Set 2: A. Pellegrino
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

Pellegrino's serve has been particularly effective lately, and he is expected to maintain pressure on Bueno's service games. If Pellegrino can secure an early break in the first set, it may set the tone for the rest of the match, allowing him to dictate play and control the tempo.

3 Reasons Why A. Pellegrino Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Pellegrino 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Pellegrino.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Pellegrino has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than G. Bueno, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
19.07.2026 13:00 ATP Estoril
A. Pellegrino 2
G. Bueno 0
53
23
42

Where to watch A. Pellegrino vs G. Bueno

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