19.07.2026
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V. Gaubas vs P. Carreno-Busta Prediction — 20.07.2026

V. Gaubas flag
ATP - 121
V. Gaubas - P. Carreno-Busta
ATP Estoril 1/16-finals
July 20, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
P. Carreno-Busta flag
ATP - 91

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1
H2H W-L 0-0-1
Avg sets per match 3.00
Last 5 W-L 0-1
Last 3 W-L 0-1
Current streak L1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 3.00
Sets range 3-3
3-set matches 1 (99%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 0/1
0% 0 Wins
0% 0 Draws
100% 1 Wins
Last 1 match
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
7 Feb 2025
P. Carreno-Busta - V. Gaubas
2:1 (4-6, 6-3)
Tenerife
V. Gaubas

Player Overview

V. Gaubas has struggled to find his footing, with a career baseline around 56% on hard courts that reflects a player still searching for consistency. Currently, his two-year trajectory shows a declining form, which is evident in his recent performances where he has yet to secure a victory in his last five matches.

His latest outings include four losses and a draw, with the most recent defeat against J. De Jong marking a particularly challenging period. As he steps into this match, Gaubas faces the pressing need to turn the tide, especially in a tournament where he has not made a significant impact historically.

Match results: V. Gaubas

18 Jul 2026 Estoril
V. Gaubas
C. H. Tseng
0 0
L
13 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
J. De Jong
V. Gaubas
1 0
7 5
L
9 Jul 2026 Braunschweig
V. Gaubas
F. Diaz Acosta
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
7 Jul 2026 Braunschweig
N. Basilashvili
V. Gaubas
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
K. Jacquet
V. Gaubas
2 0
6 3
6 4
L
25 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
V. Gaubas
D. Lajovic
3 2
3 6
6 4
3 6
6 3
6 4
W
24 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
V. Gaubas
H. Searle
2 0
W
22 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
V. Gaubas
M. Mmoh
2 1
4 6
6 3
6 2
W
9 Jun 2026 Lyon
M. Damas
V. Gaubas
2 0
6 4
6 0
L
1 Jun 2026 Perugia
T. Skatov
V. Gaubas
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 2
L
P. Carreno-Busta

Player Overview

Pablo Carreno-Busta, with an Elo rating that places him in the upper tier of the ATP rankings, has shown flashes of brilliance but remains inconsistent. His surface-specific record highlights a player who thrives on clay but has struggled on hard courts, with a recent trend indicating a declining form over the past two years.

His last five matches show a pattern of mixed results, including a notable win against M. Dodig but also losses to C. Ugo Carabelli and R. Jodar, suggesting he is battling to regain his rhythm. As he approaches this encounter, Carreno-Busta must find a way to stabilize his game if he hopes to advance in a competition where he has previously found moderate success.

Match results: P. Carreno-Busta

15 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
P. Carreno-Busta
C. Ugo Carabelli
1 2
6 3
5 7
5 7
L
14 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
M. Dodig
P. Carreno-Busta
0 2
4 6
2 6
W
2 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
3 2
3 6
6 3
1 6
6 3
6 4
L
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
D. Shapovalov
P. Carreno-Busta
0 1
3 6
W
31 May 2026 ATP French Open
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
3 2
4 6
4 6
6 1
6 2
6 2
L
29 May 2026 ATP French Open
T. A. Tirante
P. Carreno-Busta
1 2
5 7
6 3
4 6
W
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
T. Kokkinakis
P. Carreno-Busta
1 2
5 7
6 4
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
P. Carreno-Busta
J. Lehecka
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
15 May 2026 Valencia
P. Carreno-Busta
J. Munar
0 1
L
14 May 2026 Valencia
S. Baez
P. Carreno-Busta
1 2
7 5
5 7
5 7
W

Players Analysis

V. Gaubas has had a mixed performance recently, winning 4 out of his last 10 matches. His last victory was against D. Lajovic at Wimbledon, where he won 3-2 in a closely contested match. However, he has also faced defeats against players like J. De Jong and K. Jacquet, indicating inconsistency in his form. On the other hand, P. Carreno-Busta has shown stronger form, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent win against M. Dodig. His ability to perform well in high-stakes matches, such as those in the ATP tournaments, gives him an edge in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, P. Carreno-Busta has a 100% win rate against V. Gaubas, having won their only match in February 2025 with a score of 2-1. This historical performance, combined with Carreno-Busta's higher average games won per match (1.7 goals for per game compared to Gaubas' 1.1), suggests he is the more reliable player. Additionally, Carreno-Busta's recent form shows he is capable of winning matches in straight sets, which could be crucial in a best-of-three format.

V. Gaubas — P. Carreno-Busta Prediction

Considering the recent form, head-to-head results, and overall performance metrics, P. Carreno-Busta is favored to win this match against V. Gaubas. The prediction is for Carreno-Busta to win in straight sets, likely 2-0, as he has demonstrated stronger consistency and success in recent matches.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - P. Carreno-Busta, Set 2 - P. Carreno-Busta
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

P. Carreno-Busta's tactical approach will likely focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his strong serve to gain early advantages in games. He may also exploit Gaubas' inconsistencies by applying pressure during critical points, aiming to break serve early in both sets.

3 Reasons Why P. Carreno-Busta Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors P. Carreno-Busta 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors P. Carreno-Busta.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, P. Carreno-Busta has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than V. Gaubas, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
20.07.2026 12:00 ATP Estoril
V. Gaubas 0
P. Carreno-Busta 2
35
21
24

Where to watch V. Gaubas vs P. Carreno-Busta

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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