19.07.2026
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S. Wawrinka vs R. A. Burruchaga Prediction — 20.07.2026

S. Wawrinka flag
ATP - 125
S. Wawrinka - R. A. Burruchaga
ATP Estoril 1/16-finals
July 20, 2026 12:00
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R. A. Burruchaga flag
ATP - 56
S. Wawrinka

Player Overview

Stan Wawrinka, a three-time Grand Slam champion, is grappling with the sharp decline of his once-formidable game. With a career baseline win percentage hovering near 56% on hard courts, his current trajectory reflects a troubling downturn, as he has not secured a victory in his last five outings. This slump has left him searching for answers on the court, and his Elo rating has dipped, further highlighting the challenges he faces against rising opponents.

Wawrinka's recent results paint a bleak picture, with consecutive losses against players like J. Faria and Matteo Berrettini, both in straight sets. His last victory dates back to over a month ago, and he enters this match without any sets won in his last five matches. The upcoming clash against R. A. Burruchaga presents a crucial opportunity; failure to perform could deepen his struggles as he aims to turn his season around.

Match results: S. Wawrinka

14 Jul 2026 ATP Gstaad
J. Faria
S. Wawrinka
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
S. Wawrinka
M. Berrettini
1 3
L
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
S. Wawrinka
J. De Jong
1 3
3 6
6 3
3 6
4 6
L
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
S. Wawrinka
A. Fils
0 0
L
20 May 2026 ATP Geneva
S. Wawrinka
A. Michelsen
0 2
L
18 May 2026 ATP Geneva
R. Brancaccio
S. Wawrinka
1 2
2 6
6 4
W
18 May 2026 ATP Geneva
A. Tabilo
S. Wawrinka
0 0
L
5 May 2026 ATP Rome
P. Carreno-Busta
S. Wawrinka
1 0
L
4 May 2026 ATP Rome
S. Travaglia
S. Wawrinka
1 2
6 4
1 6
W
28 Apr 2026 Aix en Provence
S. Wawrinka
S. Ofner
0 2
3 6
4 6
L
R. A. Burruchaga

Player Overview

R. A. Burruchaga is currently in a phase of rebuilding his game, capitalizing on recent successes. While his overall performance has been inconsistent, he has shown glimpses of potential, particularly with a recent win over C. Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Umag. Burruchaga's career trajectory suggests he is still establishing himself, and his current form reflects a steady climb, albeit with significant room for improvement.

His recent matches highlight the challenges he faces, with a mixed bag of results that include a disappointing loss to D. Merida Aguilar. Despite this setback, he has managed to secure victories in two of his last five matches, which offers a glimmer of hope. Facing Wawrinka could be a pivotal moment; if Burruchaga can exploit his opponent's current vulnerabilities, he may find his footing and gain valuable confidence moving forward.

Match results: R. A. Burruchaga

17 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
R. A. Burruchaga
D. Merida Aguilar
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
16 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
R. A. Burruchaga
C. Ugo Carabelli
2 1
6 2
2 6
6 3
W
15 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
F. Cobolli
R. A. Burruchaga
0 2
2 6
4 6
W
14 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
M. Cecchinato
R. A. Burruchaga
0 2
1 6
4 6
W
7 Jul 2026 Braunschweig
R. A. Burruchaga
M. Schoenhaus
0 2
3 6
3 6
L
30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
A. De Minaur
R. A. Burruchaga
2 0
6 1
6 0
L
23 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
R. A. Burruchaga
A. Fery
1 2
2 6
6 4
5 7
L
28 May 2026 ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
R. A. Burruchaga
3 1
4 6
6 0
7 5
6 1
L
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
S. Baez
R. A. Burruchaga
1 3
6 2
5 7
2 6
W
19 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
L. Darderi
R. A. Burruchaga
1 0
6 3
L

Players Analysis

S. Wawrinka has had a challenging recent form, winning only 2 out of his last 10 matches, with a notable struggle in terms of sets won, particularly in high-stakes tournaments like the ATP Gstaad and ATP Wimbledon. His performance has been inconsistent, with losses against players like J. Faria and M. Berrettini. In contrast, R. A. Burruchaga has shown a more favorable trend, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory against C. Ugo Carabelli in the ATP Umag quarter-finals. Burruchaga's form indicates a stronger competitive edge leading into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Statistically, S. Wawrinka has struggled with a goals for average of 0.7 in his last 10 matches, while R. A. Burruchaga has a better average of 0.8. Wawrinka's recent matches have seen him concede an average of 2.0 goals against, compared to Burruchaga's 1.5. This suggests that Wawrinka has been less effective in both offense and defense. Additionally, the absence of head-to-head matches between the two players means that their past performances will be crucial in determining the outcome of this match, with Burruchaga's recent form giving him a slight edge.

S. Wawrinka — R. A. Burruchaga Prediction

Given the recent forms and statistical analysis, R. A. Burruchaga is predicted to win against S. Wawrinka. Burruchaga's consistency and recent victories provide him with a favorable outlook in this matchup.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: R. A. Burruchaga, Set 2: R. A. Burruchaga
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 3

In terms of tactical expectations, R. A. Burruchaga is likely to focus on exploiting Wawrinka's recent struggles with serve reliability, aiming to pressure him on break points. Burruchaga's ability to maintain a higher first serve percentage could be pivotal in securing quick points and minimizing Wawrinka's chances to recover during crucial moments.

3 Reasons Why R. A. Burruchaga Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors R. A. Burruchaga 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors R. A. Burruchaga.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, R. A. Burruchaga has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than S. Wawrinka, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
20.07.2026 12:00 ATP Estoril
S. Wawrinka 0
R. A. Burruchaga 2
35
22
13

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