06.07.2026
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M. Kostyuk vs J. Paolini Prediction — 07.07.2026

M. Kostyuk flag
WTA - 26
M. Kostyuk - J. Paolini
WTA Wimbledon Quarter-finals
July 7, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
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J. Paolini flag
WTA - 8

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 3
H2H W-L 1-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.33
Last 5 W-L 1-2
Last 3 W-L 1-2
Current streak L2
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 2.33
Sets range 2-3
3-set matches 1 (33%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 1/0 • 1/1
33% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
67% 2 Wins
Last 3 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
14 Aug 2023
J. Paolini - M. Kostyuk
2:0 (6-2, 6-1)
WTA Cincinnati
10 Oct 2022
J. Paolini - M. Kostyuk
2:1 (5-7, 6-3, 6-4)
Cluj-Napoca
13 Aug 2022
J. Paolini - M. Kostyuk
0:2 (2-6, 2-6)
Cincinnati
M. Kostyuk

Player Overview

Marta Kostyuk has faced challenges on the WTA tour, with a career baseline win percentage around 56% on hard courts. Currently, she is experiencing a rising trend, showing signs of improvement in her game. Kostyuk's performance over the past two years reflects a willingness to adapt, but she remains untested at this level, especially on grass.

In her recent matches, Kostyuk has claimed four consecutive victories, including a convincing win against A. Krueger. However, her last match was a draw, hinting at potential inconsistency. As she steps onto the grass at Wimbledon, the pressure mounts to translate this recent success into a deep run in the tournament.

Match results: M. Kostyuk

6 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
A. Krueger
M. Kostyuk
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
4 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
E. Navarro
M. Kostyuk
1 2
2 6
6 4
1 6
W
2 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
A. Blinkova
M. Kostyuk
0 2
3 6
3 6
W
30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
N. Podoroska
M. Kostyuk
0 2
1 6
2 6
W
9 Jun 2026 WTA London
M. Stojsavljevic
M. Kostyuk
0 0
L
4 Jun 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
M. Andreeva
0 2
1 6
3 6
L
2 Jun 2026 WTA French Open
E. Svitolina
M. Kostyuk
1 2
3 6
6 2
2 6
W
31 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
I. Swiatek
2 0
7 5
6 1
W
29 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
V. Golubic
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
27 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Kostyuk
K. Volynets
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
J. Paolini

Player Overview

Jasmine Paolini, with her career Elo rating placing her in the upper echelons of women's tennis, has a solid grass court record that complements her aggressive baseline play. She is currently on a stable trajectory, consistently delivering strong performances, particularly at Wimbledon where she has gained valuable experience.

Paolini arrives at this match after winning five straight, including a notable victory over the higher-ranked Maria Sakkari. Her ability to outlast opponents in tight matches has been evident. As she faces Kostyuk, expectations are high that her recent form will carry her through, but a slip could expose her to an upset on this unpredictable surface.

Match results: J. Paolini

6 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
A. Eala
2 1
6 4
4 6
6 3
W
4 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
M. Sakkari
2 0
6 1
6 2
W
2 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
V. Golubic
1 0
6 4
W
30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
R. Montgomery
2 1
0 6
6 4
7 5
W
23 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
J. Paolini
T. Maria
0 2
4 6
3 6
L
27 May 2026 WTA French Open
J. Paolini
S. Sierra
1 2
6 3
4 6
3 6
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
J. Paolini
D. Yastremska
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
9 May 2026 WTA Rome
J. Paolini
E. Mertens
1 2
6 4
3 6
L
7 May 2026 WTA Rome
J. Paolini
L. Jeanjean
2 0
6 2
6 4
W
25 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
H. Baptiste
J. Paolini
2 0
7 5
6 3
L

Players Analysis

M. Kostyuk has shown strong form in recent matches, winning 8 out of her last 10 encounters, including a solid performance at Wimbledon where she has not dropped a set in her last three matches. In contrast, J. Paolini has had a mixed bag of results, winning 6 out of her last 10 but facing tougher opponents in the early rounds of the tournament.

In their head-to-head encounters, J. Paolini leads with 2 wins against M. Kostyuk, including a recent straight-sets victory at the WTA Cincinnati in August 2023. This historical context adds pressure on Kostyuk as she seeks to turn the tide in their rivalry.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Both players have demonstrated strong serving capabilities, but M. Kostyuk has a slight edge in terms of service games won, particularly on grass, where she has excelled this season. Kostyuk's recent matches have shown her ability to break opponents' serves effectively, while Paolini has struggled against aggressive returners. The surface at Wimbledon typically favors players with strong serve-and-volley tactics, which aligns with Kostyuk's style.

Moreover, Kostyuk's recent form indicates a higher winning percentage on grass compared to Paolini, who has had more mixed results. The psychological aspect of their previous encounters may also play a role, as Kostyuk will be eager to prove herself against a player who has had her number in the past.

M. Kostyuk — J. Paolini Prediction

Considering the recent form, head-to-head results, and surface advantages, M. Kostyuk is predicted to win this match. The forecast suggests a competitive match, but Kostyuk's current momentum and tactical advantages should see her through.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: M. Kostyuk, Set 2: J. Paolini, Set 3: M. Kostyuk
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactics, M. Kostyuk is expected to leverage her powerful serve to gain early advantages in games, aiming to pressure Paolini from the outset. Conversely, Paolini will need to focus on her return game and capitalize on any opportunities to break Kostyuk's serve, particularly in the second set where she may find her rhythm. The match could hinge on Kostyuk's ability to maintain her composure and execute her game plan effectively.

3 Reasons Why M. Kostyuk Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Kostyuk 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Kostyuk.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Kostyuk has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J. Paolini, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
07.07.2026 12:00 WTA Wimbledon
M. Kostyuk 2 1 0 1
J. Paolini 1 0 1 0
53
23
42

Where to watch M. Kostyuk vs J. Paolini

  • WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of WTA events.
  • Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel provides live coverage and updates on WTA matches.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport offers live coverage and updates for tennis events including Wimbledon.
  • YouTube - Wimbledon - Follow the official Wimbledon YouTube channel for highlights and live coverage.