27.05.2026
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Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens – Prediction – 28.05.2026

Maja Chwalinska flag
WTA - 113
Maja Chwalinska - Elise Mertens
WTA French Open 1/32-finals
May 28, 2026 11:00
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Elise Mertens flag
WTA - 22
Maja Chwalinska

Player Overview

Marta Chwalinska, a left-handed player with a 63.3% career win rate, has shown a solid performance on clay with a 70% win rate in her last 30 matches. Currently, she holds an Elo rating of 2082, indicative of her competitive edge. However, her trajectory is concerning; despite a 62% win rate over the past two years, her recent form is declining, with a 60% win rate in her last five matches.

Chwalinska's path to this match has been marked by four consecutive victories at the WTA French Open, including a convincing win over Qiang Zheng. Her recent match against Francesca Urgesi, which ended in a loss, might still linger in her mind, but the momentum gained in her French Open matches could be pivotal. As she faces Elise Mertens, who is a tough competitor, Chwalinska will need to maintain her aggressive play to exploit any openings.

Match results: Maja Chwalinska

25 May 2026 WTA French Open
Maja Chwalinska
Q. Zheng
2 0
6 4
6 0
W
21 May 2026 WTA French Open
Maja Chwalinska
S. Lamens
1 0
7 5
W
20 May 2026 WTA French Open
Maja Chwalinska
C. Monnet
2 0
6 0
6 1
W
18 May 2026 WTA French Open
Maja Chwalinska
A. Rame
2 0
6 0
6 3
W
11 May 2026 Parma
F. Urgesi
Maja Chwalinska
1 0
6 3
L
8 May 2026 W75 Saint-Gaudens
Maja Chwalinska
J. Ponchet
1 2
6 4
3 6
2 6
L
7 May 2026 W75 Saint-Gaudens
Maja Chwalinska
L. Zaar
2 1
3 6
7 5
6 2
W
6 May 2026 W75 Saint-Gaudens
Maja Chwalinska
A. Hesse
2 0
6 4
6 0
W
21 Apr 2026 Oeiras 4 (Portugal) - Qualification
M. Medvedeva
Maja Chwalinska
0 0
L
19 Apr 2026 Oeiras
Maja Chwalinska
S. Kraus
2 0
6 1
6 3
W
Elise Mertens

Player Overview

Elise Mertens, right-handed and standing at 179 cm, boasts a career win percentage of 63.3% and a strong 68.1% on clay. With an overall Elo rating of 2288, Mertens is no stranger to high-stakes matches. Her current form reflects stability, with a 63.4% win rate over the last two years, and she has maintained a steady 60% win rate in her last five matches, suggesting she is in a solid place heading into this clash.

Mertens reached this fixture after a straightforward victory against Tamara Maria at the French Open, bouncing back from a tough loss to Mirra Andreeva in Rome. Despite her fluctuating results earlier in the season, her recent performances indicate she is finding her groove on clay. Against Chwalinska, Mertens will look to capitalize on her experience, aiming to assert control early and dictate the pace of the match.

Match results: Elise Mertens

25 May 2026 WTA French Open
T. Maria
Elise Mertens
0 2
5 7
0 6
W
11 May 2026 WTA Rome
Elise Mertens
M. Andreeva
0 2
3 6
3 6
L
9 May 2026 WTA Rome
J. Paolini
Elise Mertens
1 2
6 4
3 6
W
7 May 2026 WTA Rome
P. Udvardy
Elise Mertens
0 2
4 6
2 6
W
26 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
Elise Mertens
Ka. Pliskova
1 2
5 7
6 2
L
24 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
Elise Mertens
A. Eala
2 0
6 2
6 1
W
16 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
K. Muchova
Elise Mertens
2 1
1 6
6 3
6 0
L
14 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
Elise Mertens
E. Seidel
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
11 Apr 2026 WTA Billie Jean King Cup
Elise Mertens
I. Jovic
0 0
L
10 Apr 2026 WTA Billie Jean King Cup
Elise Mertens
M. Kessler
0 1
2 6
L

Players Analysis

Maja Chwalinska has shown strong form recently, winning 7 out of her last 10 matches, with a notable performance at the WTA French Open where she reached the later rounds. Her recent victories include a straight-sets win against Qiang Zheng and a convincing performance against Clara Monnet. In contrast, Elise Mertens has also been consistent, winning 6 out of her last 10 matches, but her recent form has been slightly less impressive compared to Chwalinska, particularly in the WTA Rome tournament where she faced tough competition.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Chwalinska's serve stats indicate a solid performance with an ace percentage of 1.0 and a double fault percentage of 2.6 in her recent matches. Mertens, on the other hand, has a higher ace percentage of 6.8 but also a higher double fault percentage of 5.8. Both players have faced similar levels of competition, but Chwalinska's recent form and head-to-head statistics suggest she may have the edge in this matchup.

Maja Chwalinska — Elise Mertens Prediction

Considering the recent performances and statistical indicators, Maja Chwalinska is slightly favored to win this match against Elise Mertens. The prediction is for Chwalinska to win in straight sets, leveraging her recent form and serve reliability.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Maja Chwalinska, Set 2 - Maja Chwalinska
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 3

In terms of tactical expectations, Chwalinska is likely to focus on her strong baseline game, aiming to exploit Mertens' second serve. Mertens may need to adapt her strategy to counter Chwalinska's aggressive play, particularly on crucial points where break opportunities arise.

3 Reasons Why Maja Chwalinska Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Maja Chwalinska 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Maja Chwalinska.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, Maja Chwalinska has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Elise Mertens, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
28.05.2026 11:00 WTA French Open
Maja Chwalinska 2
Elise Mertens 0
42
23
31

Where to watch M. Chwalinska vs E. Mertens

  • WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
  • French Open Official Website - Check the official French Open site for match details and broadcast options.
  • ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage of major tennis events, including the French Open.
  • Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel offers live coverage and updates for tennis matches worldwide.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides news, live scores, and broadcast information for tennis events.