14.06.2026
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J. Mensik vs A. Mannarino Prediction — 15.06.2026

J. Mensik flag
ATP - 18
J. Mensik - A. Mannarino
ATP London 1/16-finals
June 15, 2026 10:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
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Seconds
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A. Mannarino flag
ATP - 45
J. Mensik

Player Overview

J. Mensik stands at a career baseline win percentage of 64.2%, showcasing a solid foundation on the court. His current trajectory reflects a win percentage of 63.7% over the last two years, indicating a player on the rise, especially with an 80% win rate in his last five matches. Mensik's Elo rating of 2230, along with his height advantage at 193 cm, contributes to a serve identity that leverages his powerful frame effectively.

However, the past few weeks have been a mixed bag for Mensik. He recently lost to Alexander Zverev at the ATP French Open, but prior victories against strong contenders like Andrey Rublev and J. Fonseca demonstrate his potential. With a recent record of 2 wins and 3 losses, he needs to convert promising performances into consistent results. This match against Adrian Mannarino will be crucial for Mensik to regain his footing and build on his recent successes.

Match results: J. Mensik

5 Jun 2026 ATP French Open
J. Mensik
A. Zverev
1 3
5 7
2 6
6 3
3 6
L
2 Jun 2026 ATP French Open
J. Mensik
J. Fonseca
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
31 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Mensik
A. Rublev
3 2
6 3
4 6
2 6
6 3
W
29 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. De Minaur
J. Mensik
1 3
6 0
2 6
2 6
3 6
W
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Navone
J. Mensik
2 3
3 6
6 2
4 6
6 1
W
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
T. Droguet
J. Mensik
0 3
3 6
2 6
4 6
W
20 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
J. Mensik
2 0
6 0
6 3
L
18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
J. Mensik
J-L. Struff
1 0
6 2
W
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
A. Popyrin
J. Mensik
2 1
6 3
2 6
6 4
L
28 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
J. Mensik
A. Zverev
0 2
4 6
3 6
L
A. Mannarino

Player Overview

Adrian Mannarino has a career baseline win percentage of 54.3% and is currently struggling, with a win rate of just 43.8% over the last two years. His recent form shows a sharp decline, with a dismal 10% win rate in his last ten matches, reflecting a player in a downward spiral. At 180 cm, Mannarino's serve has been inconsistent, with a first serve percentage of only 60.3%.

Mannarino's recent outings have not yielded favorable results, including a loss to Alex de Minaur where he failed to win a single game. His last victory came against Arthur Rinderknech, but it feels distant amidst a string of disappointing performances. Facing J. Mensik, who is gaining momentum, could spell further trouble for Mannarino if he cannot rediscover his form quickly.

Match results: A. Mannarino

13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
A. Mannarino
A. De Minaur
0 2
4 6
0 6
L
12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
Ze Zhang
A. Mannarino
0 1
3 6
W
11 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
A. Mannarino
A. Rinderknech
2 1
3 6
6 3
W
9 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
G. Diallo
A. Mannarino
1 2
4 6
6 3
5 7
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
U. Humbert
A. Mannarino
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 3
L
19 May 2026 ATP Geneva
A. Mannarino
R. Collignon
0 1
3 6
L
6 May 2026 ATP Rome
D. Dzumhur
A. Mannarino
2 0
6 4
6 0
L
30 Apr 2026 Cagliari
J. De Jong
A. Mannarino
2 1
6 3
3 6
6 1
L
22 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
I. Buse
A. Mannarino
2 0
6 4
6 2
L
13 Apr 2026 ATP Barcelona
N. Borges
A. Mannarino
2 0
6 3
6 4
L

Players Analysis

Jakub Mensik has shown strong performance recently, with a win rate of 70% over his last 10 matches, including a notable victory over Andrey Rublev. His recent form indicates improvement, especially on clay, where he has been competitive against higher-ranked opponents. In contrast, Adrian Mannarino has struggled, winning only 10% of his last 10 matches, with a significant decline in form. His recent losses have come against lower-ranked players, which raises concerns about his current competitiveness.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Mensik's serve statistics are impressive, with an ace percentage of 15.2% and a solid first serve win rate of 78.2%. He has also been effective at saving break points, with a percentage of 64.7%. Mannarino, on the other hand, has a lower ace percentage of 6.1% and has faced difficulties with his serve, reflected in his higher double fault count. The lack of head-to-head matches between these players means that recent form and serve reliability will be crucial in determining the outcome of this match.

J. Mensik — A. Mannarino Prediction

Given the current form and serve statistics, Jakub Mensik is favored to win this match against Adrian Mannarino. Mensik's recent performances indicate he can capitalize on Mannarino's weaknesses, particularly in serve reliability and overall match confidence.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: J. Mensik, Set 2: J. Mensik
  • Expected aces: 8
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

Mensik is likely to dominate with his powerful serve and aggressive playstyle, which could put Mannarino under pressure early in the match. If Mensik can maintain his serving efficiency and capitalize on break point opportunities, he should secure a straight-sets victory.

3 Reasons Why J. Mensik Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors J. Mensik 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors J. Mensik.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, J. Mensik has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Mannarino, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
15.06.2026 10:00 ATP London
J. Mensik 2
A. Mannarino 0
83
25
41

Where to watch J. Mensik vs A. Mannarino

  • ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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