Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa Jacquemot – Prediction – 28.05.2026

Players Analysis

Aryna Sabalenka, currently ranked 1 in the world, has a strong career win percentage of 71.8% and an impressive recent form with an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches. She has demonstrated her prowess on clay, although her recent performance has shown some inconsistency. In contrast, Elsa Jacquemot, ranked 67, has a win percentage of 52.9% overall and has struggled recently, winning only 10% of her last 10 matches. This significant difference in form and ranking suggests a clear advantage for Sabalenka.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Sabalenka's recent performance on clay has been solid, with notable victories, while Jacquemot has faced challenges, particularly in her last matches where she has lost against lower-ranked opponents. Sabalenka's serve statistics are also superior, with a higher ace percentage and fewer double faults compared to Jacquemot. The head-to-head record is non-existent, but given Sabalenka's overall experience and form, she is expected to dominate this matchup.

Aryna Sabalenka — Elsa Jacquemot Prediction

The prediction favors Aryna Sabalenka to win decisively against Elsa Jacquemot. Given Sabalenka's superior ranking, recent form, and overall match statistics, she is expected to secure a straightforward victory.

• Final score in sets: 2-0
• Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Aryna Sabalenka, Set 2 - Aryna Sabalenka
• Expected aces: 6
• Double faults: 2
• Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Sabalenka is likely to leverage her powerful serve to gain early advantages in games, aiming to pressure Jacquemot from the start. Jacquemot will need to focus on her return game to stay competitive, but Sabalenka's strong serve and aggressive baseline play may overwhelm her.

3 Reasons Why Aryna Sabalenka Will Win

• Surface Advantage. Aryna Sabalenka has shown strong performance on clay, which is crucial for this matchup in the French Open.
• Strong Recent Form. With an 80% win rate in her last 10 matches, Sabalenka is in excellent form compared to Jacquemot's 10%.
• Serve Reliability. Sabalenka's serve statistics indicate a higher ace percentage and fewer double faults, giving her a significant edge in service games.