24.07.2026 • Updated: 24.07.2026
Reading time: 1 min

A. Rublev vs L. van Assche Match result — 24.07.2026

ATP - 16
A. Rublev - L. van Assche
ATP Estoril Quarter-finals
July 24, 2026 14:30
12
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
L. van Assche flag
ATP - 97

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 2
H2H W-L 1-0-1
Avg sets per match 3.00
Last 5 W-L 1-1
Last 3 W-L 1-1
Current streak L1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 3.00
Sets range 3-3
3-set matches 2 (99%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 0/1
50% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
50% 1 Wins
Last 2 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
24 Jul 2026
A. Rublev - L. van Assche
1:2 (6-3, 3-6, 4-6)
ATP Estoril
31 Jul 2024
A. Rublev - L. van Assche
2:1 (4-6, 6-3, 6-4)
ATP Washington
A. Rublev

Player Overview

Andrey Rublev, with a career baseline win percentage nearing 56% on hard courts, is currently in a strong upward trajectory. His Elo rating reflects a competitive edge, especially on this surface, where he typically dominates with an aggressive serve. Over the past two years, he has shown consistent improvement, indicating a player not just finding form, but elevating his game to new heights.

Arriving at this match, Rublev has secured three consecutive wins, including a decisive victory against Tomas Skatov, where he dominated without dropping a set. His recent draw against Lucas van Assche highlights the unpredictable nature of matchups, but given Rublev's recent form, he enters this encounter with a clear advantage. The outcome could set the tone for his performance in the latter stages of the tournament.

Match results: A. Rublev

24 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
A. Rublev
L. van Assche
1 2
6 3
3 6
4 6
L
23 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
A. Rublev
T. Skatov
2 0
6 1
6 1
W
19 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
A. Rublev
L. Darderi
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
18 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
A. Rublev
A. Tabilo
2 1
6 4
4 6
6 4
W
17 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
A. Rublev
S. Baez
2 0
6 1
6 2
W
16 Jul 2026 ATP Bastad
A. Rublev
A. Pellegrino
1 0
6 3
W
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
A. Rublev
R. Safiullin
1 2
4 6
6 3
3 6
L
24 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge
A. Rublev
T. Kokkinakis
1 2
6 7
6 4
4 10
L
23 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge
A. Rublev
A. Shevchenko
2 1
6 7
6 4
10 3
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
A. Rublev
H. Hurkacz
0 2
3 6
2 6
L
L. van Assche

Player Overview

Lucas van Assche, while still establishing his identity on the ATP tour, has demonstrated a competitive spirit with a recent win against Pablo Carreno-Busta. His career baseline is still in development, and he faces the challenge of competing against seasoned players like Rublev. Currently, he is in a stable phase, showing flashes of potential but lacking the consistency of higher-ranked opponents.

In his recent matches, van Assche has recorded a win against Francisco Ferreira Silva and a tough loss to Thomas Droguet. His draw against Rublev comes with mixed expectations; while the experience of facing a top player can be valuable, it also poses a daunting challenge. The outcome here will be crucial for his confidence moving forward in the tournament.

Match results: L. van Assche

24 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
A. Rublev
L. van Assche
1 2
6 3
3 6
4 6
W
23 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
L. van Assche
P. Carreno-Busta
2 1
6 3
4 6
6 2
W
20 Jul 2026 ATP Estoril
F. Ferreira Silva
L. van Assche
0 2
5 7
1 6
W
15 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
L. van Assche
T. Droguet
1 2
1 6
6 1
5 7
L
13 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
D. Lajovic
L. van Assche
1 2
6 2
5 7
4 6
W
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
L. van Assche
M. Fucsovics
0 2
3 6
0 4
L
20 Jun 2026 Parma
S. Ofner
L. van Assche
1 2
6 2
2 6
3 6
W
19 Jun 2026 Parma
D. Rincon
L. van Assche
0 2
3 6
0 6
W
18 Jun 2026 Parma
M. Cecchinato
L. van Assche
1 2
6 3
0 6
1 6
W
17 Jun 2026 Parma
D. E. Galan
L. van Assche
0 2
1 6
3 6
W
Van Assche Upsets Rublev in Quarter-finals

L. van Assche triumphed over A. Rublev with a match score of 2:1, advancing to the semi-finals of the ATP Estoril tournament.

The match featured a competitive atmosphere, with van Assche winning the first set 6-3, showcasing his ability to break Rublev's serve effectively, achieving three breaks throughout the match compared to Rublev's single break.

Rublev responded in the second set, taking it 6-3, but van Assche regained control in the deciding set, clinching it 6-4. Overall, van Assche won 15 games to Rublev's 13, reflecting a closely contested battle.

Statistically, Rublev served 9 aces but also committed 4 double faults, while van Assche recorded 5 aces and 2 double faults. The match highlighted van Assche's resilience, particularly in saving 91% of break points against him, a crucial factor in his victory.

This match serves as a reminder of the unpredictable nature of tennis, with van Assche demonstrating that he can compete at a high level against established players like Rublev.

Players Analysis

A. Rublev has shown strong form recently, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a solid performance in the ATP Estoril tournament. His recent victories include a 2-0 win against T. Skatov and a 2-0 win against L. Darderi. However, he faced a setback in his last match against L. van Assche, losing 1-2. L. van Assche, on the other hand, has also been in good form, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a notable win against P. Carreno-Busta. His recent performance indicates he is capable of competing at a high level, particularly in the ATP Estoril tournament.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, A. Rublev and L. van Assche have played twice, with each player winning once. The most recent match saw L. van Assche triumph with a score of 2-1, indicating a competitive rivalry. A. Rublev has a higher win rate in recent matches, but L. van Assche's ability to win crucial points has been evident in his last matches, particularly with a strong showing in break points. Both players have demonstrated the ability to win sets in tight situations, making this matchup particularly intriguing.

A. Rublev — L. van Assche Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head results, L. van Assche is slightly favored to win this match. His recent victory over A. Rublev and consistent performance in the ATP Estoril suggest he has the momentum going into this encounter. A. Rublev will need to improve his serve and capitalize on break points to turn the tide in his favor.

  • Final score in sets: 1:2
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: A. Rublev, Set 2: L. van Assche, Set 3: L. van Assche
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

The tactical expectations for this match suggest that A. Rublev will need to focus on his service game to avoid giving L. van Assche opportunities to break. L. van Assche's ability to return serves effectively will be crucial, and if he can maintain pressure during A. Rublev's service games, he may secure a victory.

3 Reasons Why L. van Assche Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors L. van Assche 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors L. van Assche.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, L. van Assche has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Rublev, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
24.07.2026 14:30 ATP Estoril
A. Rublev 1 1 0 0
L. van Assche 2 0 1 1
56
23
45

Where to watch Home vs Away

  • Official ATP Tour - Visit the official ATP Tour website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
  • Official WTA Tour - Check the official WTA Tour site for updates on women's tennis matches and viewing options.
  • Tennis Channel - Find broadcast information and streaming options for tennis matches on Tennis Channel.
  • ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage and broadcast details for various tennis tournaments.
  • BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport offers news, live scores, and broadcast information for tennis events.