16.06.2026 • Updated: 17.06.2026
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A. De Minaur vs D. Shapovalov Match result — 17.06.2026

A. De Minaur flag
ATP - 6
A. De Minaur - D. Shapovalov
London 1/8-finals
June 17, 2026 10:00
20
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
D. Shapovalov flag
ATP - 37

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 4
H2H W-L 4-0-0
Avg sets per match 1.25
Last 5 W-L 4-0
Last 3 W-L 3-0
Current streak W4
Sets balance +5
Avg sets (last 5) 1.25
Sets range 1-2
3-set matches 0 (0%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 1/0 • 0/0
100% 4 Wins
0% 0 Draws
0% 0 Wins
Last 4 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
17 Jun 2026
A. De Minaur - D. Shapovalov
2:0 (6-4, 6-1)
ATP London
29 Apr 2025
A. De Minaur - D. Shapovalov
1:0 (6-3)
Madrid
21 Oct 2022
A. De Minaur - D. Shapovalov
1:0 (6-2)
Stockholm
9 Aug 2022
D. Shapovalov - A. De Minaur
0:1 (5-7)
Montreal
A. De Minaur

Player Overview

Alex De Minaur stands as a potent force on grass, bolstered by a career win percentage of 63.9%. His recent form showcases a marked improvement, as he has secured 75 victories against 35 losses over the past two years, translating to a win rate of 68.2%. Notably, his Elo rating of 2238 reflects his competitive stature, particularly on hard courts where he excels with a 70.9% success rate on first serves.

De Minaur's recent performances paint a contrasting picture. After a solid win against G. Diallo, he faced setbacks against K. Majchrzak and A. Mannarino, indicating a struggle to maintain consistency. With no recent wins in his last five outings, he heads into this match needing to find his footing quickly. Given his improving trajectory and home advantage, he must capitalize on this opportunity to regain momentum.

Match results: A. De Minaur

17 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. De Minaur
D. Shapovalov
2 0
6 4
6 1
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. De Minaur
G. Diallo
1 0
6 3
W
14 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
K. Majchrzak
A. De Minaur
2 1
6 3
2 6
L
13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
A. Mannarino
A. De Minaur
0 2
4 6
0 6
W
12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
B. Bonzi
A. De Minaur
0 2
2 6
4 6
W
10 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
M. Damm
A. De Minaur
0 1
5 7
W
29 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. De Minaur
J. Mensik
1 3
6 0
2 6
2 6
3 6
L
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. De Minaur
A. Blockx
1 0
W
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. De Minaur
T. Samuel
3 0
6 4
6 4
6 2
W
22 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
A. De Minaur
T. Paul
1 2
6 2
3 6
3 6
L
D. Shapovalov

Player Overview

Denis Shapovalov, with a career win percentage of 57.0%, has been grappling with inconsistency, reflected in his 51.5% win rate over the past two years. His recent performances have seen him stuck in neutral, with only 34 wins against 32 losses in that timeframe. While he boasts an Elo rating of 2025, his effectiveness on grass remains in question, particularly as he struggles with a first serve win percentage that hovers around 75.6%.

Shapovalov's recent matches have been a mixed bag, highlighted by his recent victory over J. Pinnington Jones but marred by losses to M. Cilic and J. Faria. His last five matches show a stable trend, but that stability has not translated into success. Entering this match against De Minaur, he faces a critical juncture: the need to convert flashes of brilliance into consistent performance if he hopes to challenge effectively.

Match results: D. Shapovalov

17 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. De Minaur
D. Shapovalov
2 0
6 4
6 1
L
15 Jun 2026 ATP London
J. Pinnington Jones
D. Shapovalov
1 2
4 6
6 4
W
8 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
M. Cilic
D. Shapovalov
2 0
6 4
7 5
L
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
J. Faria
D. Shapovalov
3 0
6 4
7 5
6 4
L
7 May 2026 ATP Rome
D. Shapovalov
M. Navone
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
25 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
N. Budkov Kjaer
D. Shapovalov
2 0
6 2
6 1
L
17 Apr 2026 ATP Munich
D. Shapovalov
A. Molcan
0 2
4 6
4 6
L
16 Apr 2026 ATP Munich
D. Shapovalov
F. Marozsan
1 0
6 2
W
14 Apr 2026 ATP Munich
T. Griekspoor
D. Shapovalov
1 2
4 6
6 3
2 6
W
6 Apr 2026 ATP Monte Carlo
D. Shapovalov
A. Blockx
1 2
4 6
6 4
3 6
L
A. De Minaur Dominates Shapovalov in Straight Sets

A. De Minaur secured a convincing victory over D. Shapovalov, winning the match with a score of 2:0.

In the ATP London 1/8-finals, De Minaur showcased his dominance, winning the first set 6-4 and then decisively taking the second set 6-1. Throughout the match, he won a total of 12 games compared to Shapovalov's 5, highlighting his control on the court.

De Minaur's performance was marked by 5 breaks of serve, while Shapovalov managed only 1. The Australian held serve 7 times out of 8, demonstrating a solid service game that kept his opponent under pressure.

Despite not hitting any aces, De Minaur maintained a first serve percentage of 65% and won 71% of his first serve points, which contributed significantly to his success. His ability to convert 45% of break points further emphasized his aggressive play.

This match illustrates De Minaur's growing prowess on the ATP tour, as he continues to build momentum in the tournament.

Players Analysis

Alex De Minaur has shown strong form recently, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent straight-sets victory over Denis Shapovalov in their latest encounter. His performance on the court has been characterized by effective serving and solid baseline play. On the other hand, Denis Shapovalov has struggled, winning only 4 of his last 10 matches, and has faced challenges in maintaining consistency, particularly in his serve.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head matchups, De Minaur has a perfect record against Shapovalov, winning all 4 encounters. The last match ended with a score of 2-0 in favor of De Minaur, showcasing his ability to dominate Shapovalov. De Minaur's recent statistics indicate a higher ace percentage and lower double fault rate compared to Shapovalov, which could be a decisive factor in their upcoming match.

A. De Minaur — D. Shapovalov Prediction

Given the current form and head-to-head record, Alex De Minaur is favored to win this match against Denis Shapovalov. The prediction is for De Minaur to win in straight sets, reflecting his superior performance and recent success against Shapovalov.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Alex De Minaur, Set 2 - Alex De Minaur
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

De Minaur's tactical approach will likely focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his speed to pressure Shapovalov and capitalize on any weaknesses in his serve. Shapovalov will need to find a way to disrupt De Minaur's rhythm to have a chance in this match.

3 Reasons Why A. De Minaur Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. De Minaur 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. De Minaur.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. De Minaur has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than D. Shapovalov, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
17.06.2026 10:00 London
A. De Minaur 2
D. Shapovalov 0
53
24
42

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