27.05.2026 • Updated: 29.05.2026
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M. Arnaldi vs S. Tsitsipas – Match result – 28.05.2026

M. Arnaldi flag
ATP - 106
M. Arnaldi - S. Tsitsipas
ATP French Open 1/32-finals
May 28, 2026 11:00
21
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
S. Tsitsipas flag
ATP - 75

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 2
H2H W-L 1-0-1
Avg sets per match 3.00
Last 5 W-L 1-1
Last 3 W-L 1-1
Current streak W1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 3.00
Sets range 3-3
3-set matches 2 (99%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 0/1
50% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
50% 1 Wins
Last 2 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
28 May 2026
M. Arnaldi - S. Tsitsipas
2:1 (5-7, 6-3, 6-2)
ATP French Open
Clay
2 Jun 2024
M. Arnaldi - S. Tsitsipas
1:2 (6-3, 2-6, 2-6)
ATP French Open
Clay
M. Arnaldi

Player Overview

Matteo Arnaldi has carved out a competitive identity with a career win percentage of 56.3%, showing a solid baseline performance on clay with an Elo rating of 2011. His recent form reflects an upward trajectory, with an 80% win rate in his last five matches, suggesting he is gaining confidence as he approaches this pivotal clash.

Arnaldi's recent matches include a notable victory over Tallon Griekspoor at the French Open, where he won decisively 3-1. However, he also faced setbacks against Alex De Minaur and R. Jodar, indicating inconsistency. As he steps onto the court against Stefanos Tsitsipas, the challenge will be maintaining his recent high level against a seasoned opponent.

Match results: M. Arnaldi

28 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Arnaldi
S. Tsitsipas
2 1
5 7
6 3
6 2
W
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
T. Griekspoor
M. Arnaldi
1 3
7 6
3 6
6 7
3 6
W
10 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Arnaldi
R. Jodar
1 2
1 6
6 4
3 6
L
8 May 2026 ATP Rome
Alex De Minaur
M. Arnaldi
1 2
6 4
4 6
W
6 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Arnaldi
J. Munar
2 1
6 3
3 6
6 3
W
3 May 2026 Cagliari
H. Hurkacz
M. Arnaldi
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
2 May 2026 Cagliari
M. Arnaldi
Gianluca Cadenasso
2 1
1 6
6 1
6 0
W
1 May 2026 Cagliari
M. Arnaldi
N. Borges
1 0
6 3
W
30 Apr 2026 Cagliari
J. M. Cerundolo
M. Arnaldi
0 2
2 6
3 6
W
29 Apr 2026 Cagliari
F. Arnaboldi
M. Arnaldi
0 2
4 6
2 6
W
S. Tsitsipas

Player Overview

Stefanos Tsitsipas boasts a career win percentage of 66.2%, with a strong clay Elo rating of 2052, positioning him as a formidable opponent. His current form over the last two years shows a win rate of 55.4%, and while his recent performances have been stable, he has not consistently found his best tennis, reflected in a 60% win rate in his last five matches.

Tsitsipas arrives at this match after a solid win against Alexander Muller at the French Open, but he also suffered a surprising loss to Learner Tien in Geneva. His recent form suggests he is capable of brilliance but also vulnerable to upsets. Facing Arnaldi, he must find a way to assert his dominance early to avoid any slip-ups.

Match results: S. Tsitsipas

28 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Arnaldi
S. Tsitsipas
2 1
5 7
6 3
6 2
L
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Muller
S. Tsitsipas
0 2
2 6
W
20 May 2026 ATP Geneva
S. Tsitsipas
Learner Tien
0 2
L
18 May 2026 ATP Geneva
S. Tsitsipas
G. Mpetshi Perricard
1 0
6 4
W
7 May 2026 ATP Rome
S. Tsitsipas
T. Machac
0 1
4 6
L
28 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
S. Tsitsipas
C. Ruud
1 2
L
27 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
S. Tsitsipas
D. Merida Aguilar
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
25 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
A. Bublik
S. Tsitsipas
0 2
2 6
5 7
W
23 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
P. Kypson
S. Tsitsipas
1 0
6 3
L
15 Apr 2026 ATP Munich
F. Marozsan
S. Tsitsipas
2 1
3 6
6 4
L
Arnaldi Upsets Tsitsipas in Thrilling Encounter

M. Arnaldi triumphed over S. Tsitsipas with a match score of 2:1, showcasing a remarkable comeback after dropping the first set.

The match, part of the ATP French Open 1/32-finals, saw Arnaldi winning the second and third sets decisively with scores of 6-3 and 6-2, respectively. This victory was marked by Arnaldi's impressive ability to break Tsitsipas's serve, achieving 9 breaks compared to Tsitsipas's 3.

Throughout the match, Arnaldi demonstrated superior service game efficiency, winning 22 out of 25 service games, while Tsitsipas managed to hold serve only 17 times out of 26 attempts. This disparity in service holds was crucial, contributing to Arnaldi's overall total of 17 games won against Tsitsipas's 12.

Arnaldi's performance was characterized by a strong first serve percentage of 60% and a commendable 77% of first serve points won, which helped him maintain pressure on Tsitsipas. The match featured a total of 51 games, with Arnaldi winning 9 out of 10 games that included a break point.

This victory not only highlights Arnaldi's resilience but also sets the stage for an exciting tournament ahead as he advances in the ATP French Open.

Players Analysis

Matteo Arnaldi has shown a strong performance recently, particularly on clay, with a win percentage of 80% in his last five matches. His recent victories include a notable win against Jaume Munar, showcasing his ability to compete against higher-ranked players. On the other hand, Stefanos Tsitsipas has struggled with consistency, having lost four out of his last ten matches, including a recent defeat to Learner Tien. Tsitsipas's career win percentage stands at 66.2%, but his recent form indicates a slight decline.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Arnaldi has a slight edge, having won the most recent match at the ATP French Open. The match was closely contested, with Arnaldi winning in three sets. Both players have a similar style of play, but Arnaldi's recent form and performance on clay give him a competitive advantage. Tsitsipas's serve statistics show a higher ace percentage, but his double faults have been a concern, which could impact his performance in crucial moments.

M. Arnaldi — S. Tsitsipas Prediction

Considering the recent form and head-to-head results, Matteo Arnaldi is favored to win this match against Stefanos Tsitsipas. The prediction is for Arnaldi to win in four sets, with a potential score of 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4. Arnaldi's strong performance on clay and his recent victories suggest he will capitalize on Tsitsipas's inconsistencies.

  • Final score in sets: 3-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Arnaldi, Tsitsipas, Arnaldi, Arnaldi
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 4
  • Break points: 5

Arnaldi's strategy will likely focus on exploiting Tsitsipas's second serve, aiming to create break point opportunities. Tsitsipas needs to improve his first serve percentage and minimize double faults to stay competitive. The match could hinge on Arnaldi's ability to maintain pressure during crucial points.

3 Reasons Why Matteo Arnaldi Will Win

  • Recent Form Advantage. Arnaldi has an 80% win rate in his last five matches, indicating strong momentum heading into this match.
  • Head-to-Head Success. Arnaldi has won the most recent encounter against Tsitsipas, demonstrating his capability to compete effectively against him.
  • Surface Proficiency. Arnaldi's performance on clay has been impressive, with a recent win against a higher-ranked opponent, showcasing his adaptability and skill on this surface.
Match Prediction
28.05.2026 11:00 ATP French Open
M. Arnaldi 3
S. Tsitsipas 1
108
46
53

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