01.06.2026 • Updated: 18.06.2026

Reading time: 1 min

ATP Heilbronn

L. Giustino vs M. Topo – Match result – 01.06.2026

John Kane Football Edge Director

ATP - 212

L. Giustino - M. Topo

Heilbronn 1/16-finals

June 1, 2026 • 17:20

1—2

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 282

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 3

H2H W-L 1-0-2

Avg sets per match 2.67

Last 5 W-L 1-2

Last 3 W-L 1-2

Current streak L1

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 2.67

Sets range 2-3

3-set matches 2 (67%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 1/1

33% 1 Wins

0% 0 Draws

67% 2 Wins

Last 3 matches

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

1 Jun 2026

L. Giustino - M. Topo

1:2 (6-2, 2-6, 4-6)

Heilbronn

—

25 May 2026

M. Topo - L. Giustino

1:2 (4-6, 7-5, 2-6)

Chisinau

Clay

27 Feb 2025

M. Topo - L. Giustino

2:0 (6-4, 6-1)

M25 Faro

Clay

L. Giustino

Player Overview

Lorenzo Giustino, a right-handed player standing 180 cm tall, has a career win percentage of 51.4%, with a current two-year trajectory improving to 59.6%. His Elo rating sits at 1837, reflecting a solid baseline performance, though his recent form is concerning, trending downwards with a win percentage of just 40% in his last five matches. Giustino's surface identity remains less defined, with no recent success to speak of on any surface.

Recent results have been troubling for Giustino, as he has not secured a win in his last five outings, including a loss to Luca Nardi at the ATP French Open and a defeat against Sumit Nagal in Munich. Despite a previous victory against Marco Topo earlier this season, the current trajectory raises questions about his readiness for this rematch. With his recent form and lack of victories, Giustino faces a critical test in Heilbronn, needing to rediscover his competitive edge.

Match results: L. Giustino

16 Jun 2026 Poznan

M. Kasnikowski

L. Giustino

1 0

6 4

8 Jun 2026 Lyon

L. Giustino

D. Rincon

0 2

2 6

4 6

1 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

L. Giustino

M. Topo

1 2

6 2

2 6

4 6

27 May 2026 Chisinau

L. Giustino

L. Nardi

0 2

4 6

25 May 2026 Chisinau

M. Topo

L. Giustino

1 2

4 6

7 5

2 6

19 May 2026 ATP French Open

L. Giustino

K. Jacquet

0 1

3 6

11 Apr 2026 ATP Munich

L. Giustino

S. Nagal

1 2

6 1

3 6

11 Apr 2026 Munich

L. Giustino

A. Pellegrino

0 0

3 Apr 2026 Barletta

M. Poljicak

L. Giustino

2 1

6 2

3 6

6 2

2 Apr 2026 Barletta

L. Lokoli

L. Giustino

0 2

3 6

4 6

M. Topo

Player Overview

Marco Topo, also a right-handed player and slightly taller at 185 cm, holds a career win percentage of 55.2%, with a current two-year win rate of 62.0%. His Elo rating of 1825 indicates a competitive standard, but he is now experiencing a decline, having won just 20% of his last five matches. This downturn raises concerns about his ability to perform consistently, particularly against players in better form.

Topo arrives in Heilbronn with a recent string of losses, including a defeat against Giustino in Chisinau, where he was unable to convert opportunities into points. His last ten matches reveal a troubling pattern, as he has not secured a win, which could further impact his mental state going into this encounter. Facing Giustino again, Topo must turn around his fortunes quickly, or risk falling further behind in his pursuit of improvement.

Match results: M. Topo

14 Jun 2026 Parma

M. Topo

R. Seggerman

0 1

4 6

8 Jun 2026 Bratislava

Federico Cina

M. Topo

2 0

6 3

6 2

3 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

M. Topo

E. Nava

0 2

3 6

4 6

1 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

L. Giustino

M. Topo

1 2

6 2

2 6

4 6

25 May 2026 Chisinau

M. Topo

L. Giustino

1 2

4 6

7 5

2 6

16 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

M. Topo

H. Gaston

0 2

1 6

2 6

11 May 2026 Oeiras 6

M. Topo

E. Vasa

1 2

6 2

3 6

28 Apr 2026 Mauthausen

M. Topo

M. Krumich

1 2

5 7

7 6

2 6

28 Apr 2026 Mauthausen

M. Topo

N. Basavareddy

0 0

21 Apr 2026 Rome

M. Topo

C. Cretu

0 2

2 6

0 6

Topo Triumphs in a Hard-Fought Encounter

M. Topo emerged victorious against L. Giustino with a match score of 2:1 in the 1/16-finals of the Heilbronn tournament.

The match featured three competitive sets, with Topo taking the first set 6-2, only for Giustino to respond by winning the second set 6-2. However, Topo regained control in the deciding set, clinching it 6-4, which ultimately secured his victory.

Throughout the match, Topo displayed a slight edge in total games won, finishing with 14 compared to Giustino's 12. Notably, Topo converted 3 breaks out of 7 opportunities, while Giustino managed 2 breaks from 6 chances.

In terms of service performance, Giustino held serve 10 times out of 13, while Topo was slightly more effective, holding serve 11 times. This efficiency in service games proved crucial in the tight moments of the match.

This encounter showcased the resilience of both players, but it was M. Topo's ability to capitalize on key break points that ultimately made the difference.

Players Analysis

In this matchup, Home Team is represented by L. Giustino, while Away Team is represented by M. Topo. L. Giustino has shown mixed results in recent matches, winning only 3 out of his last 10 matches, with a notable victory against M. Kasnikowski but suffering losses against L. Nardi and M. Topo. On the other hand, M. Topo has a slightly better recent form, winning 4 out of his last 10 matches, including victories against L. Giustino and Federico Cina. This suggests that M. Topo may have a slight edge in terms of current form.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

When analyzing the statistics, M. Topo has scored 15 goals in his last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals per match, while L. Giustino has scored 14 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Both players have a solid defensive record, allowing only 6 goals against in their last 10 matches. However, M. Topo's slightly better scoring rate and recent victories over L. Giustino could influence the outcome of this match.

Home Team — Away Team Prediction

Considering the recent form and head-to-head results, M. Topo is predicted to win this match against L. Giustino. The expected scoreline is 2 sets to 1 in favor of M. Topo, with the first set likely going to M. Topo based on his recent performance.

Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - M. Topo, Set 2 - L. Giustino, Set 3 - M. Topo
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 3
Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, M. Topo may focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his strong serve to gain an advantage, while L. Giustino will need to rely on his defensive skills and counter-attacking to disrupt M. Topo's rhythm.

3 Reasons Why Away Team Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Away Team 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Away Team.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Away Team has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Home Team, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

01.06.2026 17:20 Heilbronn

L. Giustino 1

M. Topo 2

Where to watch Home vs Away

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